Severe weather expected tonight; more storms on Sunday
The next 24 hours are shaping up to be quite active, as I'm tracking not one but two chances for severe weather. Let's dive into the first round, which is set to arrive tonight.
Thunderstorms have developed along a cold front in Kansas and Oklahoma and are slowly making their way toward us. I expect this line of storms to reach our westernmost counties after midnight, and then move into Springfield around 2–3 a.m.
The primary concerns with this storm system are large hail, lightning, and damaging winds. While a tornado is possible, the risk appears isolated and relatively low. That said, we can't rule out the chance of a brief spin-up tornado.
The storms should clear out by Sunday morning as the atmosphere recovers and reloads for another round of storms later in the day. I expect thunderstorms to develop again in the afternoon, especially in our eastern counties.
The highest potential for severe storms and tornado development on Sunday afternoon will be focused on South-Central Missouri and North-Central Arkansas. While not everyone will see storms, those who do will face the risk of powerful supercells.
By Sunday evening, all severe weather threats will have subsided, and we'll transition into calmer, cooler weather for Monday. Highs will only reach the 50s, with sunny conditions returning on Tuesday.
As for Wednesday, storms are expected to return, and we've already issued a Weather Aware Day. This will mark our next opportunity for strong storms to impact the region.
Looking ahead to the start of April, the forecast is wet. Over the next 7 days, we're expecting 2 to 3 inches of much-needed rain.
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