2025 Fayez Sarofim & Co. US Men's Clay Court Championship: McDonald [100th] vs. Nakashima [33rd] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

USA Today

02-04-2025

No. 100-ranked Mackenzie McDonald will meet No. 33 Brandon Nakashima in the Fayez Sarofim & Co. US Men's Clay Court Championship Round of 16 on Thursday, April 3.
Nakashima is favored (-225) to get to the quarterfinals compared to the underdog McDonald (+175).
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 2:35 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub. Mackenzie McDonald vs. Brandon Nakashima matchup info Tournament: Fayez Sarofim & Co. US Men's Clay Court Championship
Fayez Sarofim & Co. US Men's Clay Court Championship Round: Round of 16
Round of 16 Date: Thursday, April 3
Thursday, April 3 Court Surface: Clay Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo! McDonald vs. Nakashima Prediction
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, McDonald has a 69.2% to win. McDonald vs. Nakashima Betting Odds McDonald's odds to win match: +175
+175 Nakashima's odds to win match: -225
-225 McDonald's odds to win tournament: +1400
+1400 Nakashima's odds to win tournament: +750 McDonald vs. Nakashima matchup performance & stats In three tournaments on clay over the past year, McDonald has gone 0-3.
On clay, McDonald has won 56.4% of his service games and 25.0% of his return games over the past 12 months.
McDonald has converted 10 of 24 break points on clay (41.7%) over the past 12 months and is 196th in break points won.
In his most recent tournament, the Miami Open presented by Itau, McDonald went down in the Round of 128 to No. -ranked Nick Kyrgios, 6-3, 3-6, 4-6 on March 19.
The 23-year-old Nakashima, who is seeking his first tournament win on clay in 2025, is 8-5 over the past 12 months on that surface.
When playing on clay surfaces, Nakashima has an 86.9% winning percentage in service games and an 18.7% winning percentage in return games.
On clay courts Nakashima has won 25.5% of break points, 26 out of 102, which ranks 108th.
In his most recent tournament (the Miami Open presented by Itau) on March 25, Nakashima played Grigor Dimitrov in the Round of 16 and was eliminated 4-6, 5-7.
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