
Iran foreign minister to meet key ally Putin
MOSCOW: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi was due to hold "important" talks with key ally Vladimir Putin on Monday (Jun 23), 48 hours after a major US attack on Iran's key nuclear facilities.
Moscow is a crucial backer of Tehran, but has not swung forcefully behind its partner since Israel launched a wave of attacks on Jun 13, strikes that triggered Iran to respond with missiles and drones.
While Russia condemned the Israeli and US strikes, it has not offered military help and has downplayed its obligations under a sweeping strategic partnership agreement signed with Tehran just months ago.
"In this new dangerous situation ... our consultations with Russia can certainly be of great importance," Russian state media reported Araghchi as saying after landing in Moscow.
The official IRNA news agency reported Sunday that Araghchi would "hold consultations with the president and other senior officials of Russia regarding regional and international developments following the military aggression by the United States and the Zionist regime against Iran".
Putin initially pitched himself as a possible mediator between Iran and Israel, but on Friday said he was only "suggesting ideas", after US President Donald Trump pushed back against a role for the Kremlin leader.
"We are by no means seeking to act as a mediator, we are simply suggesting ideas," Putin said at an economic forum in Saint Petersburg.
"If they turn out to be attractive to both sides, we will only be happy," he added.

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CNA
2 hours ago
- CNA
Putin tells Iranian foreign minister there was no justification for US attack
MOSCOW: Russian President Vladimir Putin told Iran's foreign minister on Monday (Jun 23) there was no justification for the US bombing of his country and that Moscow was trying to help the Iranian people. Putin hosted Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi in Moscow two days after US President Donald Trump sent US bomber planes to strike Iran's three main nuclear sites. "The absolutely unprovoked aggression against Iran has no basis and no justification," Putin told Araqchi in televised comments. "For our part, we are making efforts to assist the Iranian people," he added. "I am very glad that you are in Moscow today, this will give us the opportunity to discuss all these pressing issues and think together about how we could get out of today's situation." Araqchi told Putin that Iran was conducting legitimate self-defence, and thanked Russia for condemning the US actions. He conveyed best wishes to Putin from Iran's supreme leader and president. "Russia is today on the right side of history and international law," said Araqchi. It was unclear, however, what Russia might do to support Iran, an important ally with which Putin signed a strategic cooperation treaty in January. That agreement did not include a mutual defence clause. Before Saturday's US strikes, Moscow had warned that US military intervention could destabilise the entire region and plunge it into the "abyss". Asked what Russia was ready to do to help Tehran, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: "It all depends on what Iran needs." He said the fact that Moscow had offered to mediate in the crisis was itself a form of support. Peskov condemned the US attacks. "An increase in the number of participants in this conflict is happening - or rather, has happened. A new spiral of escalation of tension in the region," Peskov told reporters. "And, of course, we condemn this and express regret in this regard, deep regret. In addition, of course, it remains to be seen what happened to (Iran's) nuclear facilities, whether there is a radiation hazard." Peskov said Trump had not told Putin in detail about the planned strikes in advance.

Straits Times
2 hours ago
- Straits Times
Putin tells Iranian foreign minister there was no justification for US attack
Russia's President Vladimir Putin (right) shakes hands with Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi during a meeting in Moscow. PHOTO: REUTERS Putin tells Iranian foreign minister there was no justification for US attack Follow our live coverage here. MOSCOW - Russian President Vladimir Putin told Iran's foreign minister on June 23 there was no justification for the US bombing of his country and that Moscow was trying to help the Iranian people. Mr Putin hosted Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi in Moscow two days after US President Donald Trump sent US bomber planes to strike Iran's three main nuclear sites. "The absolutely unprovoked aggression against Iran has no basis and no justification," Mr Putin told Mr Araqchi in televised comments. "For our part, we are making efforts to assist the Iranian people," he added. "I am very glad that you are in Moscow today, this will give us the opportunity to discuss all these pressing issues and think together about how we could get out of today's situation." Mr Araqchi told Mr Putin that Iran was conducting legitimate self-defence, and thanked Russia for condemning the US actions. He conveyed best wishes to Mr Putin from Iran's supreme leader and president. "Russia is today on the right side of history and international law," said Mr Araqchi. It was unclear, however, what Russia might do to support Iran, an important ally with which Mr Putin signed a strategic cooperation treaty in January. That agreement did not include a mutual defence clause. Before June 21's US strikes, Moscow had warned that US military intervention could destabilise the entire region and plunge it into the "abyss". Asked what Russia was ready to do to help Tehran, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: "It all depends on what Iran needs". He said the fact that Moscow had offered to mediate in the crisis was itself a form of support. Mr Peskov condemned the US attacks. "An increase in the number of participants in this conflict is happening - or rather, has happened. A new spiral of escalation of tension in the region," Mr Peskov told reporters. "And, of course, we condemn this and express regret in this regard, deep regret. In addition, of course, it remains to be seen what happened to (Iran's) nuclear facilities, whether there is a radiation hazard." Mr Peskov said Mr Trump had not told Mr Putin in detail about the planned strikes in advance. "There was no detailed information. The topic of Iran itself was repeatedly discussed by the presidents during their most recent conversations, certain proposals were voiced by Russia, but there was no direct detailed information about this," he said. REUTERS Join ST's Telegram channel and get the latest breaking news delivered to you.
Business Times
2 hours ago
- Business Times
Israel vs Iran: Navigating a new regime of geopolitical risk
ISRAEL'S 'pre-emptive' strikes directly against Iran on Jun 13 represents a meaningful escalation in what had been Israel's ongoing battle against primarily Iranian proxies. It now represents a direct confrontation between regional powers in the Middle East, drawing a red line which Israel has not crossed previously in its long-running conflict. Following Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, we analysed geopolitical conflicts since World War II as categorised by the Glenview Trust, an investment adviser. Major power conflicts (US-Soviet primarily) and short-lived conflicts between 'mismatched adversaries' proved limited in their impact on US equity returns. In contrast, more prolonged conflicts (such as the Russia-Ukraine war that began in 2022) generated more headwinds for US equity markets in both their initial stages as well as over the year after they started. Most impactful: energy market disruptions Regional conflicts which result in energy market disruption – notably Iraq's 1990 invasion of Kuwait and Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine – have been among the most impactful and prolonged regional cross-border conflicts based on our analysis. Thus, while the humanitarian costs of such conflicts are paramount, for investors, the prospect of spillover to global energy flows poses the most imminent risk to global capital markets, in our view. With press reports indicating that Israel has attacked Iranian refineries and storage capacity as well as its Pars natural gas field, BCA Research suggests that these facilities are primarily for domestic Iranian use rather than for export. This is consistent with growing signs of Israel's intent to foment domestic instability and 'regime change' in Iran, rather than – for now – to disrupt Iran's energy exports and potentially roil global energy markets. Despite this and in light of the recent US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, global energy prices have begun to factor in the prospect of more sustained disruption. Prices have increased not only in spot markets, but also in futures markets as far as 12 months out. BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up In contrast, the 2019 Iranian strikes on Saudi energy infrastructure proved temporary in their impact on global oil supply. There was limited effect on six and 12-month oil futures prices in the immediate aftermath of the attacks. Admittedly, the June moves in crude prices remain short of the market pricing following both the 1990 Iraqi invasion of Kuwait as well as the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, which resulted in prolonged disruption in global energy flows, leaving risk for markets should further escalation emerge. It is important to recognise that both the 1990 and 2022 energy market shocks were met by releases from the US' Strategic Petroleum Reserves that mitigated the longevity of the supply shocks. In 2022-23, the US released more than 300 million barrels of crude from its 650 million barrel stockpile, helping to bring down prices in the aftermath of the Russian invasion and ensuing sanctions. However, having only recently begun to restock and with only 400 million barrels in storage, it is unclear if the US could provide yet another comparable supply offset to a global oil supply shock, should the direct Israel-Iran conflict spur one. Risks of an oil supply shock We see two key risks to such a shock. First, should Israel's strategies evolve and it moves to strike Iran's primary energy export terminals at Kharg Island, this could directly impact Iran's 1.5 million to two million barrels of crude exports – a meaningful, but potentially a replaceable amount in the 100 million barrel per day global market. However, much like Russia's response to European efforts to limit Russian energy exports in the aftermath of Russia's 2022 Ukraine invasion, Iran may seek to weaponise global energy prices, either in response to an Israeli move against Iran's oil terminals by moving to disrupt or even close the movement of the nearly 20 million barrels of supply through the Persian Gulf bottleneck in the Straits of Hormuz. Such a volume would not be quickly replaceable globally. The second risk involves a shift in Iranian calculus. With Israel having struck Iran's nuclear facilities with more traditional 'bunker-busting' munitions, Iran has seen damage to its nuclear supply chain according to the International Atomic Energy Agency. Should Iran's leadership perceive a weakening or should the recent follow-on US strikes use more advanced munitions to further degrade the capabilities of Iranian nuclear deterrence, Iran may turn pro-actively to Russia's 2022 approach. In this instance, it would seek to impose – at a minimum – 2022-style costs on global and western economies, in the hopes that the US and European countries can rein in what appears to be currently unconstrained Israeli efforts at regime change. Economically, we estimate that the recent rises in energy prices – following the initial stages of the conflict – pose only modest risk to current global inflation trajectories. However, current levels of global crude prices means we have seen the trough in US inflation momentum – which Patrice Gautry, Union Bancaire Privee's global chief economist, had been anticipating since early 2025. Inflation catalysts Looking ahead, however, the battle against inflation globally, which many had hoped would be won in 2025, would face potentially three catalysts for higher prices: US President Donald Trump's tariffs; broadening fiscal policy stimulus in the US, Europe and potentially China; and the prospect for a global energy supply shock on the horizon. Beyond this, though the recent escalations in the Israel-Iran and US-Iran conflict are worrisome in themselves, investors should also recognise that a growing range of events – including India-Pakistan and Russia-Ukraine tension – have crossed red lines that previously constrained both sides in long-running conflicts. They likely represent a growing series of events presaging a regime of elevated geopolitical volatility. That such events are occurring with greater frequency may indicate that the global powers – US, Russia and China – are either no longer willing or, more troubling, unable to constrain their surrogates at maintaining the historical status quo in these regional conflicts. This suggests that investors should expect nations involved in such regional conflagrations to embark on new and disruptive journeys to establish new equilibria. For financial market participants, it suggests that the periodic spikes in volatility seen in equity and bond markets are part of this new equilibrium. This requires a proactive risk management approach as a core part of investors' portfolio allocations. The writer is group chief strategist at Union Bancaire Privee, a private bank and wealth management firm