On the nature of violence
Nuclear sabre-rattling is back after a peaceful intermission. Following a serious attack on Ukraine, Russia's Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu said that, if threatened, his country reserves the right to nuke. The same day, in response to India unilaterally threatening to hold the Indus Waters Treaty 'in abeyance' following the Pahalgam shootings, Pakistan made a barely-veiled reference to the nuclear option.
Coincidentally, new research shows that violence usually flows from the motive of revenge. Which is another way of saying that, as in Europe and South Asia, violence tends to be an endless cycle, and Francis Fukuyama's 'end of history' was always a mirage.
Is the human race fundamentally violent, as the news and pop culture suggest, or is violence created by a small minority of sociopaths who are present in all societies? If it's the latter, did law and government evolve to protect the peaceful majority?
Until the late 20th century, these basic questions were addressed mainly through the lens of ideals and ideology the 'noble savage' attributed to Jean-Jaqcues Rousseau versus the 'nasty, brutish and short' lives bereft of central authority, which Thomas Hobbes wrote of in Leviathan.
Now, data analysis offers new insights. Steven Pinker's
The Better Angels of Our Nature
(2011) showed that while the incidence of violent death peaked in prehistoric societies, hunter-gatherers were more peaceful than the first farmers. That supported the educated guess that settled life created immovable property and fights over ownership. In an article published this month in
Works in Progress
, Phil Thomson and John Halstead used new data to elaborate on Pinker's discoveries. They say the human race has been farming and urbanising for only 4 percent of its history. Everyone was a hunter-gatherer for 96 percent of our past, when differences were less likely to be settled by force. Violence is not really in our heritage.
Thomson and Halstead reported an unexpected finding: prehistoric subsistence farmers exhibited more violence than mature agricultural societies, which seems counterintuitive. They suggest modern humans look violent because of the scale of damage we can inflict, rather than the number of outbreaks. They found that revenge is the most frequent motive, not competition. Perhaps that's why cycles of violence persist, like the bad blood between India and Pakistan. The most intractable revenge tragedies concern imaginary or fictitious historical wrongs, which fuel the careers of demagogues, who perpetuate violence.
The authors note 'our fear of violence, heightened abilities for empathy and communication, squeamishness about blood and guts, and innate dislike of bullies are, in part, solutions to the problem of violence', Indeed, hunter-gatherers ganged up against bullies who tried to gain absolute authority. But paradoxically, absolute authority has been a feature from the dawn of civilisation, and extreme inequality is visible in archaeological records.
So, some analysts have focused on the enabling conditions for violence, like gross inequality, which are embedded in the substrate of society. In the introduction to
Violence
, his 2008 collection of 'six sideways reflections' on the most disturbing trait of the human race, Slovenian philosopher Slavoj Žižek made a distinction between 'subjective' violence, whose perpetrator is clearly identified and which is amplified in culture, and 'objective' violence, the enabling conditions which lie beneath but go unnoticed because they are all too familiar.
The first is 'symbolic' violence implicit in language. Hate speech, which engages our attention, is only the tip of the iceberg. It is built on racist, casteist and classist ideas embedded in everyday language. And underlying everything is the vast substratum of 'systemic' violence, the product of the everyday functioning of politics and the economy, a vast machine which churns out inequality on a global production line.
The working of this machine has been drawing adverse attention from well before the age of production lines. William Blake wrote of 'dark satanic mills' in the 18th century. Caliban, the wild man in Shakespeare's
The Tempest
, was a product of colonialism, which in turn was a product of mass production and global commerce. Today, international differences might invite a trade war, rather than violent conflict. While it is not as sudden as a nuclear holocaust, it does serious damage to the well-being of populations.
Žižek's introduction to
Violence
closes with a retelling of an old Soviet joke that reflects mid-20th century politics and Lenin's advice to young people to never stop learning: Marx, Engels and Lenin are asked, by the god they all scorned, if they would prefer a wife or a mistress. Marx conservatively chooses a wife, the friskier Engels wants a mistress, and the tactically prudent Lenin wants both. He wants to be able to tell each woman that he must be with the other, and escape both to 'a solitary place to learn, learn and learn'.
The paradox of the present is that while mortality due to violence has plummeted, threat perceptions have soared so high they constitute the most valuable feedstock of politics and geopolitics. Conservatives and liberals, or India and Pakistan, spend more time stoking public anxieties about the other side's ambitions. Even as the number of violent incidents falls, violence is assuming a more central role in our lives. It is more important than ever to study its causes and effects—to 'learn, learn and learn'.
Pratik Kanjilal | Fellow, Henry J Leir Institute of Migration and Human Security, Fletcher School, Tufts University
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NDTV
an hour ago
- NDTV
Hope For Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks, 'Barely' Alive: United Nations
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India Today
2 hours ago
- India Today
Not just water, money too flowed from India to Pakistan as part of Indus treaty
"I have stuck my neck out to secure funds from various friendly governments," an impatient and anxious World Bank president, Eugene Black, told Indian and Pakistani negotiators in April 1959. He needed to break the impasse over the agreement over the Indus waters. Time was running out, and an agreement could not be reached for the potential Indus Waters Treaty even after eight long years of impasse ended only after India and other donor countries agreed to pay $1 billion ($10 billion today, factoring in inflation). Of this, India paid $174 million ($1.6 billion today) to paved the way for the signing of the Indus Waters Treaty in 1960. Under the agreement, Pakistan was granted exclusive rights over the western rivers, the Indus, Chenab, and Jhelum, while India retained unrestricted use of the eastern rivers, the Ravi, Beas, and billions of gallons of water continued flowing into Pakistan, millions of dollars also flowed from India to Pakistan for the next 10 years, as compensation for India's exclusive access to the eastern almost six decades later, the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) is again in the spotlight. Following the deadly terror attack in Pahalgam, India announced the suspension of the IWT. Pakistani and Pakistan-trained terrorists killed 26 civilians, mostly Delhi said Pakistan's actions violated the treaty's foundational principles of goodwill and friendship. Prime Minister Narendra Modi echoed this stance, saying, "blood and water cannot flow together", as the treaty was kept in abeyance until Pakistan credibly and irrevocably ceased support for terrorism. This marked the first time since its signing in 1960 that India paused the urged India to reconsider the suspension of the pact, citing its critical role in supporting 80% of its agricultural water needs. Despite a ceasefire agreement on May 10 after a mini-war, India has kept the IWT in abeyance, with reports indicating that it will be fast-tracking projects on the western rivers to tap the suspension of the IWT came after India's patience was tested regularly by Pakistan and its gave Pakistan both water and money, but Pakistan returned the favour with this backdrop, it's worth revisiting the treaty's circumstances, how negotiations took shape, the rationale behind India's payment to Pakistan, how the payout of $174 million was arrived at through intense bargaining, and how Pakistan ultimately let India's then Prime Minister, Jawaharlal Nehru, down even after the IWT was signed. The Indus Waters Treaty was signed in 1960 by the Government of India, led by Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru (L), and Pakistan's President Ayub Khan. (Image: World Bank) WHY WAS INDUS WATERS TREATY NEEDED?The Partition of India in 1947 split the Indus River System, which had long irrigated vast farmlands, between India (the upper riparian) and Pakistan (the lower riparian). By 1948, India's use of the river waters triggered a panic in the newly-formed Islamic Republic. An interim agreement was signed, but Pakistan said it remained 1956, as PM Nehru prepared to dedicate the Bhakra Dam on the Sutlej River to the nation, tensions with Pakistan escalated sharply. The risk of a war loomed."Take up Arms" and "A Black Day" were the headlines in Lahore's Urdu newspapers, noted Niranjan Das Gulhati, the chief Indian negotiator and technical advisor during the formulation of the World Bank stepped in to mediate a long-term challenge was immense: to divide a single, integrated water system between two hostile neighbours. The solution took shape in the form of the IWT, in what would become one of the most complex international water-sharing agreements. The Indus River originates in Tibet near Lake Mansarovar, flows northwest into Ladakh, then enters Gilgit-Baltistan in Pakistan-occupied Jammu and Kashmir, then traverses the length of Pakistan from north to south, and drains into the Arabian Sea near Karachi. (India Today File) advertisementFORMAL PROPOSAL AND THE FIRST DEADLOCK OF INDUS WATERS TREATYNegotiations formally began in May 1952, facilitated by the World Bank. The process moved in 1952 to 1954, a working party of engineers from both countries, along with World Bank officials, developed technical proposals. In 1954, the Bank presented its formal proposal, suggesting a division: India would get exclusive use of the Eastern rivers, and Pakistan the Western rivers (Indus, Jhelum and Chenab).Pakistan accepted the principle but insisted on a massive replacement plan to offset the loss of Eastern river said it would not fund this entire plan, leading to a deadlock, noted Niranjan Das Gulhati in his 1973 book, Indus Waters Treaty: An Exercise in International 1955 and 1958, negotiations stalled India and Pakistan remained wasn't until 1959 that a breakthrough seemed year, officials of the World Bank (then called the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development), including its President Eugene Black and Vice President WAB Iliff, undertook intensive shuttle diplomacy between New Delhi, Karachi (Pakistan's capital until 1959), Washington DC and London. The Indus Waters Treaty negotiations spanned eight arduous years, from 1952 to 1960, involving intense mediation by the World Bank. WAB Iliff (R), as Vice-President of the World Bank, played a crucial role in mediating the treaty, and ultimately signed the agreement on behalf of his organisation. (Images: World Bank) INDIA RESISTED SHARING PAKISTAN'S FINANCIAL BURDENPakistan's demand for aid was rooted in the fact that it had lost access to the canals and their networks fed by the Eastern rivers, some of whose headworks were then laid in India. To survive agriculturally, it needed to build new infrastructure to tap the Western rivers: link canals, dams, and barrages. The estimated cost exceeded $1 World Bank began seeking contributions from major powers. The United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and Germany pledged funds. But the treaty couldn't move forward unless India, gaining exclusive rights over the Eastern rivers, also agreed to initially the World Bank argued that India was benefiting by securing exclusive rights and therefore should bear part of the replacement cost. The Bank also made it clear that without India's contribution, the treaty would collapse. Camels on a dry riverbed of the Indus River in central Sindh. Pakistan depends on the Indus Basin for nearly 80% of its agricultural water needs, making it the lifeline of the country's farming and food security. (Image: Reuters) WHY PAKISTAN WANTED MONEY AFTER INDUS WATERS TREATY?In May 1959, Iliff told Gulhati, India's chief negotiator, that Eugene Black had put his credibility on the line, saying, "A stage has been reached. If the negotiations are to break down, I should know immediately; otherwise my reputation with these governments would be at stake".The World Bank secured commitments from friendly nations based on India's assumed participation. If India refused to pay, the deal would fall apart."Before I left Washington in the third week of April, Iliff told me that, in New Delhi, Black would propose to the Prime Minister [Nehru] that India should pay $250 million as her contribution towards the cost of works to be built in Pakistan. I said that this was much too high a figure," Niranjan Das Gulhati wrote."However, the horse-trading in New Delhi was to be limited to the range of $158 million, which sum we considered fair, and $250 million, which Iliff regarded as a fair deal. Pakistan was hardly concerned as the Bank was undertaking to underwrite the entire cost of her works from assistance by friendly countries," he closed doors, Iliff and Indian officials, including then Finance Secretary, BK Nehru, debated the numbers. After much back and forth, they settled on $174.8 million (62.06 million pound).India would pay 10 equal annual instalments into the Indus Basin Development Fund, managed by the World Bank, until 1970. The fund financed Pakistan's massive infrastructure projects like the Mangla Dam and various link contribution was earmarked specifically for Pakistan's "replacement works" under the Indus Basin Development Contributions to Indus Basin Development Fund (1960)ContributorFinal Contribution (Approx.)United States$315 millionWorld Bank (IDA & Loan)$250 millionUnited Kingdom$90 millionCanada$70 millionAustralia$20 millionGermany (West Germany)$12 millionNew Zealand$6 millionIndia83 crore (approx $62 million)Pakistan (self-financed)$100 million (approx)Total Estimated CostOver $1 billionPAKISTAN REMAINS HOSTILITIE DESPITE INDUS WATERS TREATYWith the finances sorted, the treaty was finally signed on September 19, Nehru and Pakistan's President General Ayub Khan formalised the agreement in Karachi. World Bank Vice-President WAB Iliff signed it on behalf of his idealist in Nehru hoped that this IWT would usher in a new chapter in India-Pakistan relations. He believed that resolving this vital issue could pave the way for cooperation on other issues, including just months later, Gulhati, in his book, recalled Nehru telling him: "I had hoped that this agreement would open the way to settlement of other problems, but we are where we were".Four years after signing the IWT, in 1964, Pakistan's replacement works exceeded initial estimates. A supplementary agreement was signed to raise additional funds from donor countries. India did not pay again, as its financial obligation had already been fulfilled under the terms of the original treaty in the massive diplomatic and financial effort India put into the IWT, Pakistan continued to challenge and bleed India on several fronts. The Pahalgam attack was the latest of Pakistan's five years after the IWT was signed, Pakistan dragged India into a war after it infiltrated Kashmir and parts of spirit of goodwill that Nehru hoped the treaty would foster quickly retrospect, while the Indus Waters Treaty is still hailed globally as a successful case of water diplomacy, it came at a high cost for India, not just in terms of water allocation, but also in hard just with money, India paid with goodwill and trust too, only for Pakistan to repeatedly betray it. This very pattern of Pakistan's behaviour is what the Narendra Modi-led government, by suspending the Indus Waters Treaty, has now attempted to InMust Watch


Time of India
2 hours ago
- Time of India
Ukraine awaits Russia's truce terms, talks 'barely' alive
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