
2°C Global Temperature Rise Could Melt 75% of Hindu Kush Himalayan Glaciers: Report
Last Updated:
The study highlights that limiting global warming to 1.5°C, as per the 2015 Paris Agreement, could help preserve glacier ice across all Himalayan regions
A new scientific study warns that a 2°C rise in global temperature could melt up to 75% of the Hindu Kush Himalayan glaciers by the century's end. These glaciers feed rivers that sustain nearly two billion people. Published in the journal Science, the study underscores the grave impact of climate change on one of the world's most vital water sources.
The study indicates that if countries manage to limit the temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, 40-45 percent of the ice in the glaciers of the Himalayas and the Caucasus Mountains could be preserved. Conversely, if the global temperature rises by 2.7 degrees Celsius by the century's end, only one-fourth of the world's glacier ice would remain.
The study further highlights that the most significant glacier regions for human communities, such as the European Alps, the mountain ranges of the western US and Canada, and Iceland, would be severely affected. At a two degrees Celsius increase, these regions could lose almost all their ice, with only 10-15 percent remaining at 2020 levels.
The Scandinavian mountains face an even graver threat, as no ice would be left on their glaciers at this temperature level.
The study underscores that adhering to the 1.5 degree Celsius target set by the 2015 Paris Agreement would help preserve some glacier ice across all regions. The melting of glaciers poses a significant risk of submerging the world's plains.
In response to this pressing issue, world leaders are gathering in Dushanbe, the capital of Tajikistan, for the first United Nations Conference on Glaciers starting on Friday. More than 50 countries are participating, including ministerial or high-level officials from 30 countries.
Asian Development Bank Vice President Yingming Yang stated in Dushanbe, 'Melting glaciers are threatening life on an unprecedented scale, impacting the livelihoods of more than two billion people in Asia. Adopting clean energy to reduce emissions that warm the planet is the most effective way to slow the melting of glaciers."
Dr. Harry Jekolaari, co-lead author of the study at Vrije University Brussel, emphasised, 'Our study has made it clear that even a slight increase in temperature matters. The choices we make today will have an impact for centuries and will determine how much of our glaciers can be preserved."
First Published:
May 30, 2025, 18:57 IST
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


New Indian Express
6 hours ago
- New Indian Express
200 earthquakes shake Himalayas annually for decades, most go unnoticed: Study
ALMORA: The northern Himalayan region has experienced an average of 200 earthquakes annually for the past 27 years, a Kumaon University study has revealed. While most tremors are mild, two to three quakes exceeding magnitude 4 strike each year, highlighting constant seismic unrest in the world's youngest and highest mountain range. Led by Dr Santosh Joshi of Kumaon University's Geology Department, the research underscores continuous tectonic activity. Uttarakhand, especially Pithoragarh, is frequently affected. Shallow epicentres (10–20 km) indicate stress release closer to the surface. Dr Joshi's comprehensive study, Active Tectonics of Garhwal-Kumaon Himalaya, was conducted under the Union Ministry of Earth Sciences. He analysed earthquake data from 1991 to 2018. 'During this 27-year period, approximately 4,200 earthquake tremors, ranging from magnitude 2 to over 4, were recorded across the northern Himalayan belt,' Dr Joshi stated. 'This data offers an unprecedented long-term perspective, confirming it as highly tectonically active.' The Himalayas result from the Indian-Eurasian plate collision. This subduction builds immense stress, released as earthquakes. Dr Joshi's research focused on the Main Central Thrust (MCT), also known as the Himalayan Seismic Belt, a major fault.


Hindustan Times
10 hours ago
- Hindustan Times
India flags glacier retreat as livelihood crisis at global conference in Tajikistan
New Delhi: The retreat of glaciers is not only a warning but an immediate reality with far-reaching implications for water security, biodiversity, and the livelihoods of billions of people, minister of state for environment Kirti Vardhan Singh said on Saturday. Addressing a plenary session at a high-level international conference on Glaciers' Preservation in Tajikistan's Dushanbe, Singh highlighted the global and regional consequences of glacial retreat, and that the phenomenon is accelerating, with disproportionate impacts on mountain regions such as the Himalayas. He reiterated India's deep-rooted concern, as a country intrinsically connected to the Himalayan ecosystem, and outlined a series of ongoing initiatives aimed at glacial monitoring and climate adaptation, a statement issued by the environment ministry said. Singh highlighted that India is undertaking strategic actions under the National Mission for Sustaining the Himalayan Ecosystem (NMSHE) — a key component of India's National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC) — as well as the establishment of a Centre for Cryosphere and Climate Change Studies, designed to advance research and monitoring of glaciers and glacial lakes in the Indian Himalayan Region. 'India is leveraging advanced Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System (GIS) technologies, led by the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO), to systematically monitor changes in glacier mass, extent, and dynamics. These efforts are further strengthened through coordinated research by key national institutions, including the National Centre for Polar and Ocean Research (NCPOR), National Institute of Hydrology (NIH), Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, and the GB Pant National Institute of Himalayan Environment (NIHE),' Singh said. These initiatives are crucial to advancing scientific understanding of glacier systems and supporting data-driven policy formulation for the sustainable management of India's water resources, he added. 'India has strengthened disaster preparedness in the Himalayan region through improved early warning systems and Glacial Lake Outburst Flood (GLOF) risk mapping, coordinated by the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA). Regional cooperation was underscored as vital for strengthening resilience, improving data-sharing frameworks, and fostering coordinated responses to the challenges facing mountain ecosystems,' Singh informed. Singh stressed India's commitment to equity and the principle of Common but Differentiated Responsibilities and Respective Capabilities (CBDR–RC) in international climate action. He emphasised that while South Asia contributes minimally to global cumulative emissions, it remains highly vulnerable to climate change impacts.


New Indian Express
12 hours ago
- New Indian Express
Fossil fuels induced Black Carbon melt Himalayan snows, says study
NEW DELHI: A recent report indicates that Black Carbon emissions have raised snow surface temperatures by 4°C over the past two decades, accelerating the melting processes of Himalayan glaciers, particularly in the Eastern and Central Himalayas. Delhi-based research organisation Climate Trend study analysis examined NASA satellite data of the Himalayan glaciers from 2000-2023 to evaluate the impact of Black Carbon emissions resulting from burning biomass and fossil fuels. The study – 'Impact of Black Carbon on Himalayan Glaciers: A 23-Year Trends Analysis' shows that Black Carbon (BC) concentration in the region rose significantly from 2000 to 2019. Further, the levels see relative stabilisation between 2019 and 2023, suggesting a possible plateau in emissions or a change in atmospheric conditions. According to the report, the average snow surface temperatures in the Himalayan snow peaks have increased by more than 4°C over the last two decades, from an average of -11.27°C (2000–2009) to -7.13°C (2020–2023). The overall mean temperature increase over the 23 years was -8.57°C. Regions with higher Black Carbon deposition have higher snow surface temperatures and lower snow depth. Hence, more Black Carbon means higher surface temperature, more snow melt, and reduced snow depth. The research reveals that black carbon particles darken snow surfaces, lower their reflectivity (albedo), and make them absorb more solar radiation, which results in faster snow melt.