
China's exports slow as trade war takes toll
BEIJING: Chinese exports grew at a slower pace than expected in May, official figures published Monday showed, hours ahead of expected talks between Beijing and Washington aimed at easing a gruelling trade war.
Imports fell more dramatically than expected last month, with weak domestic consumption in the world's number two economy highlighted by data earlier in the day revealing another month of falling prices.
The 4.8 per cent year-on-year increase in overseas shipments last month was slower than the 8.1 per cent growth recorded in April, also falling short of the six per cent jump that was forecast in a survey of economists by Bloomberg.
It comes as representatives from China and the United States are expected to meet in London on Monday for another round of high-stakes trade talks that markets hope will ease tensions between the economic superpowers.
Monday's reading included a 12.7 per cent plunge in exports to the United States compared with April, when US President Donald Trump unveiled his eye-watering tariffs on China.
May's exports to the United States also represented a year-on-year decline of more than one third -- the steepest slide since early 2020.
In contrast, customs data showed shipments to Vietnam increased from the previous month.
Those to other Southeast Asian countries including Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore and Indonesia all declined slightly after soaring in April, the figures indicated.
"The acceleration of exports to other economies has helped China's exports remain relatively buoyant in the face of the trade war," wrote Lynn Song, chief economist for Greater China at ING, noting that shipments to Southeast Asian nations were up 14.8 per cent year-on-year.
China's overall imports in May dropped 3.4 per cent year-on-year, coming up short of the 0.8 per cent decline forecast by the Bloomberg survey.
Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management, said the trade outlook "remains highly uncertain". He pointed to the impact of "frontloading", when overseas buyers increase shipments ahead of potentially higher tariffs. — AFP

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Observer
6 hours ago
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The EU can play it cool with Trump's trade threats
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Ottawa was able to hang tough because its people were infuriated that Trump was trying to blackmail Canada into becoming part of the United States. While anti-Trump sentiment is high in the EU, politicians who are sympathetic to him, such as Poland's new president, can still get elected. On the other hand, the EU is not the United Kingdom. Both are at risk from Russia's invasion of Ukraine. But the EU trades seven times more goods with the United States than Britain does - so Washington has more to lose if economic relations break down. There is another way for the EU to handle Trump's threats: play it cool. That is more or less what the bloc is doing. It involves neither escalating the conflict nor accepting a bad deal. It means being open to a good agreement if the US lowers its demands, but willing to play the long game if it does not. One reason to buy time is to help Kyiv. 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And so they're trying to be the first and the best to get there, which is why everybody's throwing so much money at it without any clear sense of, you know, The US president has threatened to jack up these reciprocal tariffs to 50% if there is no deal by July 9. He is also looking at more 'sectoral tariffs', including on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors. While the EU has complained to the World Trade Organization (WTO), it has delayed its own retaliation. Its negotiators accept that they are unlikely to overturn the reciprocal tariffs, the Financial Times has reported. The bloc still aims to avoid the sectoral ones. Those on cars and any on pharmaceuticals would hurt it the most. It has dangled the possibility of buying more US equipment and natural gas to get a deal. An agreement on those lines could be good for the EU. It needs to beef up its defences and eliminate its purchases of Russian gas. 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