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Storms to pose burn-scar flooding threats in New Mexico ahead of weekend heat

Storms to pose burn-scar flooding threats in New Mexico ahead of weekend heat

Yahoo16 hours ago

Storms are expected pass over New Mexico's burn scars through Tuesday, posing threats of flooding ahead of an anticipated rise to high temperatures during the weekend.
The National Weather Service on Monday issued a flood watch for Tuesday morning through the evening in areas within and downstream of the Hermits Peak/Calf Canyon Fire burn scar in Northern New Mexico and in the Ruidoso area in the south-central part of the state, which was affected by last year's South Fork and Salt fires. Storms may bring flash flooding in areas scorched by blazes in recent years. The risk is low in other parts of the state, including in urban areas, according to a weekly weather briefing from the National Weather Service's Albuquerque office.
drought map
Drought levels throughout the state
The Ruidoso burn scar area is a primary concern Tuesday, meteorologist Nico Porcelli said. Burn scars present a higher risk of flooding because fires diminish vegetation, and ash and soot cause water to run off soil, making it become hydrophobic, he added.
'Small amounts of rain can cause large amounts of water to really be funneled through the rivers and creeks and cause flooding concerns,' Porcelli said.
Tuesday will bring a 52% chance of rain in Santa Fe, but a marginal risk — 5% to 15% — of excessive rain leading to flash flooding.
Tuesday's storms follow Monday afternoon's storms along the central mountain chain, Porcelli said. The National Weather Service in Albuquerque issued severe thunderstorm warnings Monday for parts of Santa Fe, Bernalillo, Lincoln, Socorro, Torrance and Union counties.
The agency also issued a flash flood warning Monday for the Hermits Peak/Calf Canyon Fire burn scar, which already had seen 1 to 1½ inches of rain by around 4 p.m. Monday, according to Porcelli.
'Usually when we get these kind of rainfall amounts, we get some flash flooding, especially over low-water crossings,' he said.
Storms may continue in Eastern New Mexico on Wednesday and Thursday, but the risk of strong to severe storms will be lower, as will the risk of burn-scar flooding. However, Thursday marks the beginning of increased temperatures statewide that could bring heat-related risk through the weekend, particularly in Albuquerque and communities in Southern New Mexico.
The weekend will see near- and above-average temperatures, with highs Sunday of 99 and 94 degrees in Albuquerque and Santa Fe, respectively, according to the briefing. In Socorro, Sunday's maximum temperature will be 104 — 13 degrees hotter than Socorro's historical average high in June.
'Not much of a heat concern yet, but it's getting up there,' Porcelli said. 'We're getting into that hottest time of the year, which is usually in late June.'

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