Live markets updates: US-China tariffs 'deal' spurs stock surge, Australian futures tip lift
A US-China trade deal that will cut tariffs has caused US stock markets to rocket. The futures market tips Australia's stock index will also rise.
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News.com.au
an hour ago
- News.com.au
Barry FitzGerald: Katanning ticks all the boxes for an Ausgold re-rate
'Garimpeiro' columnist Barry FitzGerald has covered the resources industry for 35 years. Now he's sharing the benefits of his experience with Stockhead readers. After its dramatic rise in the opening months of the year to record levels, the Aussie gold price has settled into a bit of a groove around the $5,200/oz level. Nothing wrong with that. It's a fantastic price and delivers fat margins to even our highest cost gold mines. And it is not to suggest that gold can't take off again and set new highs or fall significantly for that matter. The observation is that for the last six weeks or so the Aussie price has been as steady as it could be in these turbulent times. It means that share prices of ASX-listed gold producers and developers have also gone into a sideways trading pattern. Need to differentiate So more than has been the case in recent times when gold took off to record levels, the producers and developers now need to differentiate themselves from the pack with strong newsflow of the re-rating inducing type. It means that if the gold price continues to trade sideways, the stock involved has a reason to go higher. Alternatively, if the gold price heads south, the damage to the stock could be more limited than it would have been otherwise. Taking all that on board, Garimpeiro had a look at his calendar during the week to find which of the gold producers/developers have re-rating event(s) on the horizon. Ausgold stands out Ausgold (ASX:AUC) stood out for the pending release this month of a definitive feasibility study (DFS) into the development of its Katanning gold project, a three-hour drive from Perth in WA's southwest Yilgarn region. Katanning is one of the biggest undeveloped gold deposits in the country at 3.04 million ounces and has previously been scoped as having the potential to produce 136,000 ounces annually from open-cut ore sources for more than 10 years. All-in sustaining costs were put at $A1,549 and preproduction capital costs weighed in at just under $300m. But those are 2023 figures and things will have changed, including the reserve component of the resource thanks to infill drilling work. Gold prices have increased dramatically since those 2023 figures but so have construction costs. Having said that, the expectation is that the DFS will confirm Katanning as a very robust project with a super quick capex payback capability. Take that and the scale of the project – production in the early years will be higher still because initial higher grade ores - and Ausgold's $240 million market cap at 67c share looks to be on the mean side of things. The company has the lowest resource ounce valuation metric of its peer group for no apparent reason, except perhaps the project has been in the works since 2010 under Ausgold ownership. So the story of the resource growth since, and the pending release of the DFS leading into a development decision by year end, has been overlooked to a large degree by the market on a fatigue basis alone. Katanning momentum Momentum for Katanning is now the order of the day under John Dorward, Ausgold's executive chairman who arrived on the scene in May last year. A can-do sort of guy, Dorward was the former president and CEO of TSX-listed Roxgold, a West African gold group acquired by fellow Canadian Fortuna Silver Mines in an all-scrip deal worth $US884 million in 2021. Two weeks in the job at Ausgold and Dorward put Katanning on the development pathway by pulling in $38 million in equity, including $1m from his own pocket. That is being spent getting to the DFS stage and on a three-pronged strategy of establishing a bigger mining reserve component in the mineral resource estimate, extending the scale of the resource and making regional gold discoveries. Morgans' 94c target Morgans' veteran analyst Chris Brown has a 12-month price target on the stock of 94c. 'Our expectation is that delivery of a DFS broadly confirming or improving on the preliminary feasibility study, and employing a higher gold price, should prove positive for the share price,' Brown said. He also flagged that a final investment decision on a project development – expected by the end of the year - should also prove positive depending on the terms of the project's financing package. ''Our valuation will likely lift with the delivery of the DFS, and again when the final investment decision is taken,'' Brown said. The views, information, or opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the columnist and do not represent the views of Stockhead. Stockhead does not provide, endorse or otherwise assume responsibility for any financial product advice contained in this article.
News.com.au
2 hours ago
- News.com.au
Cost-of-living pressures sees Aussies take on a second job
The post-Covid boom in the number of Aussies working multiple jobs continues as higher cost of living pressures means more workers are taking on a second gig. The Australian Bureau of Statistics data shows that in the March quarter there were 963,100 Aussies – or 6.5 per cent of the workforce – who had more than one job. While this is actually down from the previous quarter where 999,500 Australians held multiple jobs, it is still a sharp uptick in workers looking to diversify their incomes compared with the years prior to Covid, where around 5 to 6 per cent of Aussies took on a second gig. Seek senior economist Blair Chapman said the spike in cost-of-living pressures from inflation meant more Australians needed to take on extra work. 'We've really seen cost-of-living, especially for employee households, increase quite a lot over the last couple of years,' he said. 'If you've got a mortgage, those repayments have increased quite a bit over the last couple of years so I suspect people have sought a second job just to reach the higher cost of living recently.' Australians are holding onto their second job despite the overall unemployment rate holding firm in recent months, around the 4.1 per cent mark. The main driving force behind this trend is underemployment meaning workers are getting fewer hours from their primary employer than they'd like. 'We are seeing more people being employed in industries where we tend to see a lot of multiple job holdings,' Mr Chapman said. 'For example, we've seen healthcare and social assistance grow and that is one of the industries where multiple job holdings are most common. 'That comes down to the nature of the work, where you have shift work and one business may not be able to provide all the hours an employee wants so the individual has to work across multiple sites to get the hours they are desiring.' Many of these multiple job holders are Australians aged between 20-24, with women more likely to hold a second role over males. In contrast older Australians aged between 60 to 64 are the least likely to hold a second role. 'When we look at a lot of the multiple job holders, they tend to be younger. Maybe it is a university aged person who can't work full-time but can work nights and weekends,' Mr Chapman said. 'While maybe it is not the same job but for them it is probably good they can work multiple jobs with flexible hours.'
ABC News
2 hours ago
- ABC News
Trump-Musk feud escalates
Nick Grimm: The rift is widening between US President Donald Trump and his former close ally, tech billionaire Elon Musk, with the pair trading bitter accusations on social media. The escalating feud comes as the Trump administration attempts to get a mammoth spending bill through the Senate, which is facing fierce opposition from Democrats, some Republicans and Elon Musk himself. Gavin Coote reports. Gavin Coote: A political bromance that has devolved into an acrimonious divorce. After days of growing criticism from Elon Musk about Donald Trump's signature spending bill, the US president is now hitting back. Donald Trump: I'm very disappointed because Elon knew the inner workings of this bill better than almost anybody sitting here, better than you people. He knew everything about it. He had no problem with it. All of a sudden he had a problem and he only developed the problem when he found out that we're going to have to cut the EV mandate because that's billions and billions of dollars. Gavin Coote: The CEO of electric vehicle company Tesla was until recently President Trump's most powerful ally. But the relationship fractured when Elon Musk began attacking the Trump administration's efforts to get a spending bill through Congress that would cut taxes and ramp up spending for border security. The men are now trading insults and accusations with Mr. Musk claiming on social media without evidence that Donald Trump is in the Epstein files. That's in reference to a large tranche of material relating to the late financier Jeffrey Epstein, the convicted sex offender who was accused of abusing underage girls before taking his own life in prison. For many observers, the fallout wasn't a matter of if, but when. Prof Todd Belt: This was inevitable, but seeing it blow up like this so quickly is actually surprising. Gavin Coote: Professor Todd Belt is a political analyst with George Washington University. While Mr. Musk only recently left his post as a top advisor in the Trump administration, Professor Belt suspects tensions between the pair have been building for some time. Prof Todd Belt: There's a very famous photo from behind a door of Trump pointing at Musk, and we never really got the story behind that. I suspect we might now. Elon Musk was walking the halls of power. He was in the Oval Office and now he says he's sleeping in his server farms and conference rooms. So politically, he's really gone from the pinnacle to the pit. And you have to think that this is because he's really concerned about his businesses. He's said as much. The stock prices are down. The sales are down. Gavin Coote: Tesla's share price plunged by 14 percent on Thursday. While the feud continues to play out on social media, it's unclear where it could go next. Donald Trump has already threatened to cancel billions of dollars in government contracts involving Mr. Musk's companies. Bruce Wolpe is a senior fellow at the U.S. Study Center and a former Democratic staffer. Bruce Wolpe: It's getting ugly. And the question is, how ugly can it really get? I mean, Musk says that Trump would have lost the election without him. Musk has supported a tweet calling for Trump's impeachment and J.D. Vance become president. Musk has said, I'm dropping the bomb and Trump is in the Epstein tapes. These are the notorious records of Jeffrey Epstein. He's also, Musk is also disconnecting, decommissioning a rocket that's essential to resupplying the International Space Station. And so can it go any worse? Gavin Coote: The spending bill that sparked Mr. Musk's fury is yet to pass the Senate. And while he's vowed to continue mobilising opposition to it, Bruce Wolpe suspects it will have limited impact. Bruce Wolpe: When Musk first said this bill does not control the deficit, that is something that a lot of Republicans on the Hill wanted to get some information on and want to support. But when it gets this personal, I think the Republicans on the Hill, they're choosing between Trump and Musk. There's no choice here. And the Republicans are with Trump and everything rides on Trump's being able to pass this big, beautiful mega bill. If he can pass that, then his legacy, at least for the first term, will be sealed. Gavin Coote: So where does that leave Elon Musk? Do you think he will end up becoming this sort of angry voice out in the wilderness? Bruce Wolpe: Musk said that Trump has three and a half years left. He says, I'm going to be around for 40 years and he has all the money in the world. And so wherever he applies his brain and his money and his power, he can make a difference. So we will see as to where it goes. But this will go on for a while. And that does not do anything to improve the political culture in the United States. It's ugly. It's going to get worse. Nick Grimm: Bruce Wolpe there from the US Studies Center, ending Gavin Coote's report.
