logo
Australian economy: Slow March quarter growth just 0.2 per cent

Australian economy: Slow March quarter growth just 0.2 per cent

West Australian2 days ago

Australia's economy grew just 0.2 per cent in the first three months of the year, according to the latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Through the 12 months to March, growth was 1.3 per cent.
'Economic growth was soft in the March quarter,' ABS head of national accounts Katherine Keenan said.
'Public spending recorded the largest detraction from growth since the September quarter 2017.
'Extreme weather events reduced domestic final demand and exports. Weather impacts were particularly evident in mining, tourism and shipping.'
The period covered the Reserve Bank's February rate cut and was prior to US President Donald Trump's 'liberation day' tax hikes on trade.
Economists yesterday lowered their hopes for the March quarter figures on the back of a run of weak data.
ANZ had expected 0.2 per cent growth while Commonwealth Bank tipped 0.3 per cent.
International body the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development also revised down their projections thanks to the chaos of Mr Trump's trade war.
'Weakened economic prospects will be felt around the world, with almost no exception,' chief economist Álvaro Pereira said.
The OECD warned Australia had been hit hard by a decade-long international slowdown of business investment which will weigh on growth and wages.
The Reserve Bank cut interest rates a second time in May, to brace for the trade war and amid encouraging signs that inflation had slowed.
Minutes from that meeting showed the RBA's board believed trade uncertainty would 'best be managed by adopting a path of least regret, which . . . would be likely to involve a lower cash rate'.
Earlier this week, Treasurer Jim Chalmers had anticipated the economy would be 'resilient in the face of substantial headwinds at home and abroad'.
'Our economy has been hit by natural disasters and we're not immune to global volatility, but the progress Australians have made together means we are well placed and well prepared to face this uncertainty,' he said on Monday.
More to come

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Bank customers stung with loyalty tax
Bank customers stung with loyalty tax

News.com.au

timean hour ago

  • News.com.au

Bank customers stung with loyalty tax

You'd be forgiven for thinking that your bank rewards you for your loyalty. And you wouldn't be alone. A survey of 1000 Australians has revealed that 70 per cent of people consider it important that lenders offer long-term customers the same rates or benefits as new customers. The survey also found that nine in 10 people would switch lenders if they found out they were paying a higher interest rate than new customers. 13 Aussie banks refusing rate cut However, if you've had your home loan with the same lender for a few years, you could be getting charged a 'loyalty tax' – this is the difference between the rates lenders charge new customers compared to existing customers. And over the life of your loan, this can make a huge difference in the total amount of interest you pay. Calculations from non-bank lender Athena Home Loans using data from the Reserve Bank show that keeping new customer rates for the life of a 25-year loan can mean significant savings for borrowers of up to $1428 per year, or as much as $35,713 across the life of the loan. This figure is based on a $600,000 loan and the average interest rate difference between new and existing loans since September 2019. This year, we've already seen the Reserve Bank deliver two cuts to the cash rate, and most lenders have responded by lowering their home loan interest rates. It's important to check what your bank has done, and to compare your interest rate against those being offered to new customers. The survey also revealed that 13 per cent of borrowers go more than two years without reviewing their home loan. It's good practice to review your home loan once a year but you don't necessarily have to refinance to access a better rate. You might be able to negotiate a better rate with your existing lender just by asking. If the thought of that fills you with dread, a mortgage broker can negotiate on your behalf. And if your existing lender isn't willing to offer you a more competitive rate, your broker can do the legwork to help you refinance to a lender that will. Anthony Waldron is Mortgage Choice CEO

Someone's doing the heavy lifting – and it's not the government (any more)
Someone's doing the heavy lifting – and it's not the government (any more)

The Age

timean hour ago

  • The Age

Someone's doing the heavy lifting – and it's not the government (any more)

State governments, meanwhile, actually reduced spending in the first three months of the year with most winding back energy bill relief as cost of living pressures have eased. Some of the pullback in spending growth – especially nationally – is probably thanks to the budget's 'automatic stabilisers': government payments such as unemployment benefits which naturally fall as the economy improves (and rise when the economy is in the doldrums and people are losing their jobs). While it's welcome news that private businesses and households seem to be regaining some of their gusto, neither were close to shooting the lights out. But the flat government day-to-day spending and fall in government investment spending (partly due to the completion of projects such as Sydney's metro) certainly seem to suggest they've become happier to sit on the bench and let private businesses and households make more of the runs. This fall in public demand ended up subtracting the most from overall quarterly growth since 2017. The overall picture is also a bit murky after quarterly growth in the economy slowed to the lowest rate since March last year. And GDP per person – generally a better measure of our living standards than total national GDP – slipped 0.2 per cent in the March quarter. While it's welcome news that private businesses and households seem to be regaining some of their gusto, neither were close to shooting the lights out. Household spending is one of the most hotly anticipated pieces of the puzzle because Australian households spending accounts for more than half of the country's GDP. That means what consumers choose to do has an outsized effect on our economy. Turns out we went more gangbusters on holiday sales last year than economists were expecting, but then decided (perhaps as our New Year's resolutions) to rein in our spending. We still splurged on big events including going to see artists such as Billie Eilish. And a warmer-than-expected summer (as well as the pullback in energy bill relief) meant that – whether we liked it or not – we had to splash more cash on keeping ourselves cool. That all contributed to household spending climbing 0.4 per cent. But when it came to spending that isn't strictly necessary, our purse strings tightened a bit, suggesting we're still treading cautiously. Partly thanks to Donald Trump's unpredictability spooking us, we decided to squirrel away a bigger chunk of our income – even though we were generally earning more – in the March quarter. In fact, the saving ratio (which measures the proportion of our disposable income we stow away for a rainy day) climbed from 3.9 per cent to 5.2 per cent: the highest it's been since 2022. Another factor feeding into that higher savings ratio was Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred in Queensland which led to the government (and insurance companies) paying out to those affected – who in turn, ended up stashing a good portion of it away. Investment by the private sector took the podium when it came to the part of GDP with the strongest growth, rising 0.7 per cent in the March quarter. That was largely thanks to a stronger appetite for investment in dwellings, including building houses and making renovations, perhaps helped along by the first cut to interest rates in nearly four years. Businesses were also eager to sink money into manufacturing projects and more digging – not just for gold but for other minerals, too – contributing to the growth in private investment. Net trade – exports minus imports – meanwhile, weighed down our overall growth, wiping 0.1 percentage point from the March quarter. While both imports and exports fell, the drop in exports was bigger. Production and shipments of coal and liquefied natural gas were disrupted by severe weather which, together with subdued growth in the number of international students and less spending per student, drove down Australia's exports. Loading The implications of all this data for the Reserve Bank – and thus for all of us – is not immediately clear. The national accounts are always a delayed set of data (a good deal can change in the following three months), and there are signs of both continued weakness and of renewed strength in the economy. The step back in public spending will probably make it easier for the Reserve Bank to drive forward with another rate cut next month – especially given they were close to slashing rates by 50 basis points at the last meeting, price pressures seem to have faded into the background, and growth is crawling along at snail's pace. With unemployment laying low, the inflation dragon tamed, and the private sector stepping up, there are glimmers of hope that Chalmers and the RBA have struck gold in our economic management. Now it's about safeguarding the spoils by pulling up productivity and getting economic growth well off the ground.

Someone's doing the heavy lifting – and it's not the government (any more)
Someone's doing the heavy lifting – and it's not the government (any more)

Sydney Morning Herald

timean hour ago

  • Sydney Morning Herald

Someone's doing the heavy lifting – and it's not the government (any more)

State governments, meanwhile, actually reduced spending in the first three months of the year with most winding back energy bill relief as cost of living pressures have eased. Some of the pullback in spending growth – especially nationally – is probably thanks to the budget's 'automatic stabilisers': government payments such as unemployment benefits which naturally fall as the economy improves (and rise when the economy is in the doldrums and people are losing their jobs). While it's welcome news that private businesses and households seem to be regaining some of their gusto, neither were close to shooting the lights out. But the flat government day-to-day spending and fall in government investment spending (partly due to the completion of projects such as Sydney's metro) certainly seem to suggest they've become happier to sit on the bench and let private businesses and households make more of the runs. This fall in public demand ended up subtracting the most from overall quarterly growth since 2017. The overall picture is also a bit murky after quarterly growth in the economy slowed to the lowest rate since March last year. And GDP per person – generally a better measure of our living standards than total national GDP – slipped 0.2 per cent in the March quarter. While it's welcome news that private businesses and households seem to be regaining some of their gusto, neither were close to shooting the lights out. Household spending is one of the most hotly anticipated pieces of the puzzle because Australian households spending accounts for more than half of the country's GDP. That means what consumers choose to do has an outsized effect on our economy. Turns out we went more gangbusters on holiday sales last year than economists were expecting, but then decided (perhaps as our New Year's resolutions) to rein in our spending. We still splurged on big events including going to see artists such as Billie Eilish. And a warmer-than-expected summer (as well as the pullback in energy bill relief) meant that – whether we liked it or not – we had to splash more cash on keeping ourselves cool. That all contributed to household spending climbing 0.4 per cent. But when it came to spending that isn't strictly necessary, our purse strings tightened a bit, suggesting we're still treading cautiously. Partly thanks to Donald Trump's unpredictability spooking us, we decided to squirrel away a bigger chunk of our income – even though we were generally earning more – in the March quarter. In fact, the saving ratio (which measures the proportion of our disposable income we stow away for a rainy day) climbed from 3.9 per cent to 5.2 per cent: the highest it's been since 2022. Another factor feeding into that higher savings ratio was Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred in Queensland which led to the government (and insurance companies) paying out to those affected – who in turn, ended up stashing a good portion of it away. Investment by the private sector took the podium when it came to the part of GDP with the strongest growth, rising 0.7 per cent in the March quarter. That was largely thanks to a stronger appetite for investment in dwellings, including building houses and making renovations, perhaps helped along by the first cut to interest rates in nearly four years. Businesses were also eager to sink money into manufacturing projects and more digging – not just for gold but for other minerals, too – contributing to the growth in private investment. Net trade – exports minus imports – meanwhile, weighed down our overall growth, wiping 0.1 percentage point from the March quarter. While both imports and exports fell, the drop in exports was bigger. Production and shipments of coal and liquefied natural gas were disrupted by severe weather which, together with subdued growth in the number of international students and less spending per student, drove down Australia's exports. Loading The implications of all this data for the Reserve Bank – and thus for all of us – is not immediately clear. The national accounts are always a delayed set of data (a good deal can change in the following three months), and there are signs of both continued weakness and of renewed strength in the economy. The step back in public spending will probably make it easier for the Reserve Bank to drive forward with another rate cut next month – especially given they were close to slashing rates by 50 basis points at the last meeting, price pressures seem to have faded into the background, and growth is crawling along at snail's pace. With unemployment laying low, the inflation dragon tamed, and the private sector stepping up, there are glimmers of hope that Chalmers and the RBA have struck gold in our economic management. Now it's about safeguarding the spoils by pulling up productivity and getting economic growth well off the ground.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store