Consumer spending drops in May as tariffs fuel anxiety
American shoppers slowed spending in May, as retail sales fell 0.9% last month, the Commerce Department said on Tuesday.
Why it matters: The worse-than-expected figures come after consumers splurged on autos and other goods in recent months to beat tariff-related price increases.
It will be difficult for economists to parse whether this is a troubling sign for the economy — or if consumers simply pulled back after stronger spending earlier this year.
By the numbers: A drop in spending on autos and parts pulled down the May retail sales figure. Retail sales at motor vehicle shops fell by 3.5%, while spending at home appliance stores fell by 2.7%.
Spending at gasoline stations fell by 2%, likely a result of lower pump prices. The data is not adjusted for inflation.
April data was also revised lower; retail sales fell by 0.1% in the month, versus the 0.1% gain the government first estimated.
The intrigue: Consumers upped spending across other categories in May, including miscellaneous retailers, hobby shops and e-commerce stores and clothing retailers.
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25 minutes ago
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Tax Bill Lacks Votes as Senate Aims for SALT, Medicaid Deals
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The Senate bill takes a hardline stance against raising the $10,000 cap on the state and local tax deduction, earning it an immediate thumbs-down from a faction of New York, New Jersey and California House members who have threatened to block the bill if it doesn't include the $40,000 SALT cap deal they struck with House Speaker Mike Johnson. Crapo also told reporters that the SALT provisions will have to be worked out with the House and the White House. The cap in the Senate bill is considered a placeholder. 'That's a very big piece obviously,' he said. Generous tax breaks for tips, overtime and pass-through businesses were also scaled back to reduce the price tag of the bill. Even still, conservatives say they aren't satisfied with these efforts to reduce the overall cost and are plotting to delay a planned Senate vote next week to August. 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36 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as Trump calls for 'unconditional surrender' of Iran
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Yahoo
39 minutes ago
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Brace yourself: This is exactly how much you should have saved for your kid's college by the time they're 5, 13 and 18
American families face ongoing college-affordability and student-debt crises as new technologies like artificial intelligence transform the workplace, casting doubt on the value of higher education in the future. Despite these challenges, financial planners say it remains wise for parents to prepare for the rising costs of education by saving — a lot — for college, and talking to their children about their options. Israel-Iran clash delivers a fresh shock to investors. History suggests this is the move to make. These defense stocks offer the best growth prospects, as the Israel-Iran conflict fuels new interest in the sector 'I prepaid our mom's rent for a year': My sister is a millionaire and never helps our mother. How do I cut her out of her will? 'He failed in his fiduciary duty': My brother liquidated our mother's 401(k) for her nursing home. He claimed the rest. My friend is getting divorced. Her husband offered to sign over their house. What's he hiding? If your newborn today plans to attend college, you should plan to save roughly $105,000 in a college fund by the time they turn 18, which would cover nearly 50% of their total college expenses — tuition, fees, housing and food — at a four-year, public in-state university. That's the latest advice for parents from T. Rowe Price TROW, an investment firm that offers college-savings plans. In order to achieve this staggering figure, parents today could invest $280 each month per child from the time they are born into a 529 college-savings account that earns 6% annually, which could grow to more than $19,000 by age 5, almost $45,000 by age 10, about $64,000 by age 13, and nearly $105,000 by the time they turn 18. That six-figure total is approximately 1.75 times the $59,972 estimated annual cost of college by that time. To fully cover 50%, parents would continue saving through the four years their child is enrolled in school. The analysis assumes the other half would be covered by student loans, scholarships and grants. Almost 30% of undergraduates receive federal student loans. Setting aside $280 per month for two children would add up to $6,720 per year. For a family of four making the average gross income of about $146,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, that would translate to 4.6% of gross income. 'That's achievable. They just have to control their spending,' Mark Kantrowitz, author of 'How to Appeal for More College Financial Aid,' told MarketWatch. Reaching this savings goal might require sacrificing wants, like vacations, but 'vacation is a luxury, not a necessity, so that should be the lowest priority,' he said. T. Rowe Price's guidelines suggest that by the time a child is 18, parents should have saved 1.75 times the current cost of one year of college. Over time, this means having 0.6 times the annual cost by age 5, when many children start elementary school; 1.1 times by age 10, as they prepare to enter middle school; and 1.35 times by age 13, before they begin high school. Average annual expenses at four-year, in-state public universities totaled $24,920 this year, and at private universities the average was $58,600. These benchmarks factor in average 5% annual college inflation, which would push up the mean annual cost of attending an in-state school to $59,972 in 18 years. Young said parents can monitor their progress each year using actual sticker prices at the time, as the $59,972 figure is just an estimate. For most parents, these are daunting figures. The median retirement savings, a more common savings goal, for a couple with children is just over $95,000, according to 2022 data from the Federal Reserve. But it is in parents' interest to come up with a plan for dealing with college costs, Larry Pon, a financial planner and accountant in California, told MarketWatch. Too many parents, determined to send their kids to their 'dream school,' say they will 'figure it out,' he said — and 'usually what 'figure it out' means is taking on student loans.' Related: Is going to college worth it? Ask these 5 questions to make sure it's a good investment for you. As they begin planning to save for college, parents must first establish where college expenses fit into family financial goals. In terms of priorities, an emergency fund comes first, Roger Young, a financial planner at T. Rowe Price, told MarketWatch. The next biggest priorities should be paying off high-interest debt and saving for retirement — which at the very least means maximizing an employer match, but preferably means saving at least 15% of income, which Young describes as 'adequate' for retirement. The planners MarketWatch spoke with all agreed that retirement savings were a higher priority than college savings. Unlike education, there is no loan product for retirement, they noted. After those more urgent goals are accounted for, parents can start saving for their children's education, and also should talk to their children about the plan. Parents who are not able to save $280 per month per child, as T. Rowe Price suggests, can establish different goals. Another framework is to aim to fund one-third of college costs from savings (rather than 50%), one-third from parent income while attending, and one-third from student loans or scholarships, said Kevin Brady, a financial planner at Wealthspire in New York. 'Those ratios can be adjusted as needed depending on total cost, age, income, number of kids and so on,' he said. Eventually, when children are old enough to work, they can also contribute to this $280 monthly target. 'I help clients reframe college savings as a shared responsibility: The family may cover part, and the student contributes through work, scholarships or modest loans,' said Nathan Sebesta, a financial planner at Access Wealth Strategies in New Mexico. Being realistic about a college budget might also mean thinking through the financial impacts of different options. Dave Ragen, who has three children and is a financial planner at Grunden Financial Advisory in Texas, said he was putting away about $350 total per month for college, which at times felt like 'a stretch.' He had originally aimed to save $20,000 to $30,000 for each of his children to attend community college and then a local university. When his son said he wanted to attend a school out of state, however, 'we started crunching the numbers, and there was a big difference from what the college cost actually was compared to what we had been talking about and planning with him.' Ragen tried to bump up the savings rate into their 529 college-savings account, but ultimately sat down with his son and 'ruled it out' based on the amount of debt he would likely have to take on to go out of state. The rule of thumb is not to borrow more than you think your annual starting salary will be. His son ultimately stayed in-state, got scholarships and contributed money from his summer jobs. For the typical American family, however, setting aside money for education is a stretch, especially with prices expected to rise due to changing U.S. tariff policy. 'For many families, fully funding college just isn't realistic,' said Liz Gillette, a financial planner at Curio Wealth in Maryland, who says the topic comes up often with clients in their 30s and 40s. 'I suggest having honest, age-appropriate conversations with your child early — about what types of programs make sense and how much the family can realistically contribute.' As it is, American parents are already less likely to have enough emergency savings to cover three months of expenses (49%) than adults in the U.S. overall (57%), according to 2024 data from the Federal Reserve. They are also more likely to have credit-card debt and higher credit-card balances than average, according to a 2023 PYMNTS survey. Read more: Parents are 'hunkering down financially' to brace for Trump tariff impact 'I've seen people who are very successful savers, saving at high percentages even though they don't have a ton of income,' Young said. Still, 'we need to give ourselves some grace.' To incentivize parents to save for college, Congress created 529 plans in the 1990s, offering tax-free earnings on investments used for higher education. (Many states also offer tax deductions on 529 contributions.) Sen. Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the former Republican majority leader, and former Sen. Bob Graham, a Florida Democrat, led the effort to secure federal tax advantages. Starting in 2024, up to $35,000 left in 529 accounts also became eligible to be rolled over into Roth IRAs, giving parents more flexibility — and incentive — to save. For the 61% of high-school grads who go to college, 'the tax benefits are meaningful,' Young said of 529s. Earnings in regular savings accounts are taxed as ordinary income, and growth in taxable brokerage accounts are taxed as capital gains. Yet only 17.2 million families in the U.S., or roughly 15% of family households, use 529s, according to data from the research firm ISS Market Intelligence that was shared with MarketWatch. (One contributing factor is that about half of U.S. adults do not know what 529s are, a separate survey by Edward Jones found.) While high-income Americans have the greatest ability to take advantage of 529 benefits, ISS Market Intelligence data show others are also trying. The majority of households that have 529s — about 74% — earn less than $150,000 per year, roughly the threshold for the highest 20% of income earners in the U.S. The estimated median 529 account balance is $9,500, according to ISS, and among families that auto-deposit, the average contribution is about $200 per month. 'The most important point for anyone thinking about saving for college is to start now,' said David Mendels, principal of DBM Planning in New York. 'Time will either be your friend or your enemy, so make it your friend.' The earlier parents start saving, the more time can help their investments compound — meaning the amount they would have to contribute to meet that $105,000 target is hopefully lower than if they start later and have less time to let their investments grow. Parents who aren't able to start early — for example, if child-care costs consumed too much of the monthly budget — would have to save at a higher rate in order to meet the $105,000 benchmark, according to T. Rowe Price. Pon, the accountant in California, said his two children graduated college in 2021 and 2023. He deposited gifts from when his two children were born, as well as any monetary gifts for their birthdays, into their college savings. He regularly contributed to their 529s, and also took advantage when the markets were down by contributing more during those dips. When he looked at the tax form after withdrawing from his child's 529, the amount he had actually contributed on $10,000 was just $4,000; the other $6,000 'was tax-free growth,' he said. 'The most important message from a personal-finance perspective for families is that a dollar saved is more than a dollar earned,' said Paul Curley, a financial analyst and executive director of 529 & ABLE Solutions at ISS Market Intelligence. 'Saving automatically adds up, and 529s increasingly make sense for almost all families once an emergency fund is in place.' You may not reach your college-savings goal, but you and your children will benefit from doing what you can. The truth is that 'you can fund all your goals, but you may not be able to fund it to the degree that you want,' financial planner Marguerita Cheng, chief executive of Blue Ocean Global Wealth in Maryland, told MarketWatch. This may not be ideal, but parents should not be discouraged, she said: 'It's not all or none.' 'The reality is, college is inflating at a much faster rate than other goods and services,' said Cheng. 'If people can't do 100% of that goal, they can do a portion of that goal and start when their kids are little, with $50 or $100 [monthly]. … What's important here is the habit.' The amount that parents contribute can always increase as their income increases, she added. Cheng's children are ages 28, 26 and 20. When she was saving for their education, she was also caring for her father, who has Parkinson's disease. 'I, at that time, was worried about three things: the kids' college, my retirement, and making sure that I'm helping my parents,' she said. Cheng started with $50 contributions and gradually increased the amount over time. The most she was ever able to put away for the three of them was $1,000 per month total. She was able to use 529s to pay for about 50% of college expenses, with the rest funded by cash flow and federal student loans. Her son paid back his student loans by living at home while doing a fellowship that paid about $48,000 per year. Cheng said she made it clear to him that he couldn't just spend his salary on wants; he needed to set aside money for an emergency fund and a Roth IRA, and to pay off his student loans. Whatever your situation, 'do something,' Pon said. Even if you are only contributing a small amount each month, 'something is better than nothing,' he added. What personal-finance issues would you like to see covered in MarketWatch? We would like to hear from readers about their financial decisions and money-related questions. You can fill out or write to us at . A reporter may be in touch to learn more. MarketWatch will not attribute your answers to you by name without your permission. My husband is in hospice care. Friends say his children are lining up for his money. What can I do? My mother-in-law thought the world's richest man needed Apple gift cards. How on Earth could she fall for this scam? 'I'm not wildly wealthy, but I've done well': I'm 79 and have $3 million in assets. 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