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Yellen Warns US Recession Risk Is ‘Way Up' After Trump's Tariffs

Yellen Warns US Recession Risk Is ‘Way Up' After Trump's Tariffs

Bloomberg01-05-2025

Janet Yellen warned that the risk of a US recession has 'gone way up' after Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs rattled financial markets, consumers and businesses.
The former Federal Reserve chair said in an interview with the Financial Times that the tariffs on major trading partners will have 'tremendously adverse consequences' for American consumers and firms.

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Asian shares climb after China and the US say they have a framework for seeking a trade deal

time30 minutes ago

Asian shares climb after China and the US say they have a framework for seeking a trade deal

TOKYO -- Asian shares mostly rose Wednesday after China and the U.S. said they had agreed on a framework for following up on the trade truce reached last month in Geneva. U.S. futures fell while oil prices edged higher. Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 surged 0.6% in afternoon trading to 38,450.76. Data from the Bank of Japan data showed wholesale inflation slowed in May, meaning there might be less pressure for the central bank to raise interest rates in its next policy board meeting. Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 0.9% to 24,381.39, while the Shanghai Composite rose 0.5% to 3,402.97. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 edged up 0.2% to 8,603.70. South Korea's Kospi added 1.0% to 2,900.05. Tuesday on Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose 0.5% to 6,038.81 as the trade talks between the world's two largest economies carried into a second day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.2% to 42,866.87, and the Nasdaq composite gained 0.6% to 19,714.99. Stocks have roared higher since dropping roughly 20% below their record two months ago, when President Donald Trump shocked financial markets with his announcement of tariffs that were so stiff that they raised worries about a possible recession. Much of the rally has been due to hopes that Trump would lower his tariffs after reaching trade deals with countries around the world, and the S&P 500 is back within 1.7% of its record set in February. Analysts said that after two days of discussion in London, the late-night agreement reached appeared to be a consensus on what was already agreed upon before. Even so, Trump's approval is still needed. 'So what did 48 hours of talks actually produce? Apparently, a reaffirmation to eventually do what they had already said they would do. If markets were expecting substance, they got process instead,' said Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management. U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick said Tuesday evening in London that talks with China were going 'really, really well.' Both the United States and China have put many of their tariffs on each other's exports on pause as talks continue. Still, uncertainty over what is to come is still affecting companies and their ability to make profits. Designer Brands, the company behind the DSW shoe store chain, became the latest U.S. company to yank its financial forecasts for 2025 because of 'uncertainty stemming primarily from global trade policies.' The company, which also owns the Keds, Jessica Simpson and other shoe brands, reported a larger loss for the start of the year than analysts were expecting, and its revenue also fell short of forecasts. CEO Doug Howe pointed to 'persistent instability and pressure on consumer discretionary' spending, and the company's stock tumbled 18.2%. The uncertainty is moving in both directions, to be sure. A survey released Tuesday of optimism among small U.S. businesses improved a bit in May. 'While the economy will continue to stumble along until the major sources of uncertainty are resolved, owners reported more positive expectations on business conditions and sales growth,' according to Bill Dunkelberg, chief economist at the National Federation of Independent Business. Tesla helped to make up for such losses by rising 5.7%. The electric vehicle company has been recovering since tumbling last week as Elon Musk's relationship with Trump imploded. That raised fear about possible retaliation by the U.S. government against Tesla. Shares that trade in the United States of chipmaking giant Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. rose 2.6% after the company known as TSMC said its revenue in May jumped nearly 40% from the year earlier. In other dealings early Wednesday, the yield on the 10-year Treasury eased to 4.48% from 4.47% late Tuesday. Benchmark U.S. crude oil gained 8 cents to $65.06 a barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, edged up 2 cents to $66.89 a barrel. The U.S. dollar rose to 145.08 Japanese yen from 144.84 yen. The euro cost $1.1418, down from $1.1425.

Institutions own 29% of Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd (KLSE:KOSSAN) shares but private companies control 36% of the company
Institutions own 29% of Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd (KLSE:KOSSAN) shares but private companies control 36% of the company

Yahoo

time30 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Institutions own 29% of Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd (KLSE:KOSSAN) shares but private companies control 36% of the company

The considerable ownership by private companies in Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd indicates that they collectively have a greater say in management and business strategy 53% of the business is held by the top 5 shareholders Insiders own 14% of Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit. Every investor in Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd (KLSE:KOSSAN) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. We can see that private companies own the lion's share in the company with 36% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk). Meanwhile, institutions make up 29% of the company's shareholders. Institutions often own shares in more established companies, while it's not unusual to see insiders own a fair bit of smaller companies. Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd. See our latest analysis for Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing. As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story. Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd is not owned by hedge funds. Our data shows that Kossan Holdings (M) Sdn Bhd is the largest shareholder with 35% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 5.7% and 5.6%, of the shares outstanding, respectively. Additionally, the company's CEO Kuang Sia Lim directly holds 2.8% of the total shares outstanding. Our research also brought to light the fact that roughly 53% of the company is controlled by the top 5 shareholders suggesting that these owners wield significant influence on the business. While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily. While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves. Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances. It seems insiders own a significant proportion of Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd. It is very interesting to see that insiders have a meaningful RM608m stake in this RM4.3b business. Most would say this shows a good degree of alignment with shareholders, especially in a company of this size. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling. The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 21% stake in Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies. We can see that Private Companies own 36%, of the shares on issue. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company. It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process. If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future. NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Sign in to access your portfolio

EU Aims for US Trade Talks to Extend Past Trump's July Deadline
EU Aims for US Trade Talks to Extend Past Trump's July Deadline

Bloomberg

time39 minutes ago

  • Bloomberg

EU Aims for US Trade Talks to Extend Past Trump's July Deadline

The European Union believes trade negotiations with the US to extend beyond President Donald Trump's July 9 deadline, even as the speed of the talks has increased over the past week. The EU sees reaching an agreement on the principles of a deal by July 9 as a best-case scenario, which would allow further talks to work out the details, according to people familiar with the matter. The US is expected to respond to the latest round of negotiations in the coming days and provide clarity on the next steps.

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