Hurricane season begins with warmer than normal waters in Caribbean, Gulf
The Brief
Florida faces a heightened hurricane risk this season amid warming ocean waters.
Experts warn preparation is critical even in early June.
A potential system may form off the Southeast coast later this week.
ORLANDO, Fla. ( - As the Atlantic hurricane season enters its second day, forecasters are warning Floridians to stay prepared, with experts predicting a higher-than-average chance of a storm making landfall in the state this year.
What we know
Forecasters say the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season poses a higher-than-average threat to Florida. Meteorologists point to elevated ocean temperatures — especially in the Gulf, Caribbean, and western Atlantic — as key indicators. The Caribbean, in particular, is about two months ahead of schedule in terms of hurricane-favorable conditions.
What we don't know
No specific storm is currently expected to form, though there is a small chance of tropical development off the Southeast coast later this week. The intensity, path, and exact timing of future storms this season remain unknown.
The backstory
Florida has seen a streak of major hurricanes in recent years, including Michael, Ian, and Idalia. This pattern is part of what meteorologists describe as a 20- to 30-year cycle of heightened tropical activity. Past storms have brought widespread impacts — not just at the center — reinforcing the need for comprehensive preparation.
Big picture view
This year's warning isn't just about a single storm but an ongoing era of frequent, powerful hurricanes striking the state. Despite a quieter start to the season, experts say warmer-than-average waters and early-season trends point to a potentially active few months ahead. Communities are urged to treat every season with seriousness and to prepare early.
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The Source
This story was written based on information shared by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Hurricane Center.
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