
Future spread down 679 bps
KARACHI: The futures spread declined by 679 basis points, closing at 5.19 percent on the final trading day of the week ending May 30, 2025, compared to 11.98 percent in the previous week.
Average daily volumes at future counter increased by 272 percent to 367.22 million shares, up from 98.71 million shares a week earlier. In addition, the average daily traded value on the also surged by 286 percent, reaching Rs 22.14 billion as against Rs 5.74 billion in the preceding week.
Copyright Business Recorder, 2025

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Business Recorder
16 hours ago
- Business Recorder
Nepra's KE MYT decision: Power Div. submits review motion
ISLAMABAD: The Power Division on Monday submitted the much-talked about review motion challenging the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority's recent Multi-Year Tariff (MYT) determinations for K-Electric (KE) for 2024-25 to 2029-30. The government is urging Nepra to revise key assumptions, performance benchmarks and profit margins in line with real-world data and standards applied to other power utilities. According to Power Division, Nepra allowed KE several cost items and profit margins that are more generous than those granted to other utilities across the country. As a result, electricity bills for Karachi consumers are set to rise disproportionately, and public finances will bear an unnecessary burden. Total financial impact is in excess of Rs 300 billion of the intervention identified for review by GoP in KE MYT. Power Minister, Sardar Awais Khan Leghari, in his tweet said that the power sector of Pakistan cannot afford any inefficiencies encouraged through tariff structure of any company, irrespective of whether it is private or public. 'Our review supports a sustainable and healthy environment in the distribution system of Pakistan in a responsible manner. Power Division hopes that the review process is carried out in a transparent and fair manner,' he added. The key concerns in the Review Petition are as follows: Supply (fuel and fuel related costs): Nepra set KE's fuel-cost rate at Rs. 15.99/kWh, whereas other utilities buy power at lower rates from the national grid. This gap shifts about Rs. 28 billion (FY 2024) and Rs. 13 billion (FY 2025) of extra costs onto the federal budget rather than onto KE customers. Recovery Loss Allowance: KE was permitted to include 'recovery losses' in its tariff even though its own records show it recovers more than the level Nepra allowed. No other utility received this special allowance. This adds roughly Rs. 36 billion in FY 2024 and Rs. 35 billion in FY 2025 to KE's revenue that consumers end up paying. Cumulative impact over a 7-year period is more than Rs 200 billion. Working Capital Allowance: NEPRA permitted KE a 24 percent markup on working capital, a much higher percentage than in its previous tariff and higher than any other power distributor. This increased KE's allowable revenue by about Rs. 2.4 billion in FY 2024 and is projected to total around Rs. 15 billion over the control period of 7 years Higher Allowed Distribution Loss: Nepra set KE's allowed loss at 13.90 percent, instead of the 13.46 percent KE had planned. Losses are electricity that is generated but not billed, due to leaks or theft, or kunda. Around 7 percent of all such leakages can be attributed to theft. By permitting a higher loss level, KE passes on an extra Rs. 3.1 billion in FY 2024, rising to about Rs. 21 billion over the control period. 'Law & Order' Margin: KE received a special 2 percent margin to offset security costs in Karachi—a perk not granted to any other utility, even those operating in equally or more volatile regions. Moreover, Law & Order in Karachi has improved considerably over the last few years, and thereby there exists no reason for such a margin. This margin adds approximately Rs. 14 billion in FY 2024 and up to Rs. 99 billion over the multi-year period to KE's revenue requirement. Retention of 'Other Income': KE is allowed to keep money from fines imposed on its contractors, interest on bank deposits, and profits from side businesses. In effect, consumers have already paid for the assets that generate these incomes, so these funds should reduce KE's costs to customers, not pad its revenue. Effectively, it is being proposed that any such gain on assets that has been financed by consumers needs to be shared with consumers. Transmission (Moving Power from Grid to KE): High transmission loss Target & skewed sharing; NEPRA allowed KE a 1.30 percent loss target, even though KE's historical losses are closer to 0.75 percent. KE keeps 75 percent of any savings if it performs better than 1.30 percent, passing only 25 percent of savings to consumers. This encourages inefficiency and keeps bills high. Financial impact is about Rs. 4 billion in FY 2024, rising to roughly Rs. 28 billion over the control period. Excessive Return on Equity (RoE): KE was granted a 12 percent RoE in U.S. dollars (about 24.46 percent in rupee terms). Other national utilities (like NTDC) receive only 15 percent RoE in rupees. This difference costs consumers around Rs. 4 billion in FY 2024 and approximately Rs. 37 billion over the control period. Distribution (delivering power to homes & businesses)- High distribution - RoE disparity: KE's distribution arm was allowed 14 percent RoE in U.S. dollars (about 29.68 percent in rupees). By comparison, other Discos like FESCO get only about 14.47 percent RoE in rupees. This adds roughly Rs. 3.7 billion in FY 2024 and Rs. 35.6 billion over the control period to KE's revenue. Distribution Loss & Special Allowance: KE was granted an extra 2 percent 'law & order' margin on top of its allowed losses, even though Karachi's security situation is similar to or better than other regions. KE also keeps 25 percent of any savings if it performs better. These practices cost consumers about Rs. 14 billion in FY 2024 and up to Rs. 99 billion over the multi-year period. Working Capital Markup: A 23.91 percent markup was approved for KE's distribution working capital—far higher than any other utility. This adds about Rs. 0.8 billion in FY 2024 and roughly Rs. 10 billion over the control period to KE's revenue requirement. Generation (KE's Own Power Plants), Payments to Idle Power Plants (Take-or-Pay): Nepra approved capacity payments to several KE power plants (BQPS-I, KCCP, KGTPS, SGTPS) even though these plants will run at minimal or no output because KE sources cheaper power from the national grid. Consumers and the government pay for capacity that is not used. This costs about Rs. 12.7 billion in FY 2025 and roughly Rs. 82.5 billion over the multi-year period. Favorable indexation &RoE for KE's plants: Under a hybrid 'take-or-pay' model, KE's plants keep full inflation adjustments (indexed to U.S. CPI or USD/PKR), while independent power producers (IPPs) do not receive equally generous terms. RoE for KE's plants was set at 17 percent (using PKR 168/USD), higher than typical IPP terms, costing Rs. 7 billion in FY 2024 and about Rs. 57.3 billion over the control period. This will result in overall higher bills for Karachi customers; KE's allowed costs, profit margins, and extra allowances will cause Karachi consumers' electricity bills to rise significantly compared to other regions. Several KE cost items—especially the inflated fuel benchmark and payments to idle plants—are effectively covered by the government, stretching public finances. The determinations are unfair treatment & efficiency discouraged: Granting KE advantages not given to other utilities creates a 'two-tier' system. This discourages KE from boosting efficiency, and it undermines transparent, consistent tariff-setting nationwide. The Government maintains that all utilities should be treated equally. KE should not receive special cost or profit allowances unavailable to other power companies and tariffs must reflect actual costs and reasonable returns. Extra allowances for inefficiency and high profit rates must be removed to keep bills affordable. For regulatory accountability Nepra should revise assumptions, benchmarks, and profit margins so they align with real performance data and the standards used for other utilities. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025


Business Recorder
18 hours ago
- Business Recorder
Farmers warn govt against GST on agricultural inputs
LAHORE: The Pakistan Kissan Ittehad (PKI) has warned the government against imposing general sales tax (GST) on agricultural inputs in the upcoming budget, stating that such a move would deal a final blow to the already struggling agricultural sector and further damage the national economy. 'The government should instead take immediate steps to reduce the cost of agricultural production,' said PKI President Khalid Mahmood Khokhar during a press conference on Monday. Khokhar accused the current leadership of pursuing policies that serve their political interests at the expense of farmers, causing irreparable damage to the sector and contributing to a sharp decline in crop production. 'Around the world, agriculture and food security are considered top priorities by governments. Unfortunately, in Pakistan, the sector is being undermined due to pressure from international financial institutions,' he said. Flanked by fellow PKI members, Khokhar highlighted the country's rapid population growth, warning that Pakistan is adding hundreds of thousands of mouths to feed every year. 'If we fail to stabilise and strengthen our agricultural system, we are heading toward catastrophe,' he warned. He further criticised the imbalance in taxation, noting that while there is no tax on imported cotton, locally grown cotton is subject to 18% GST. 'As a result, cotton production has plummeted from 14.7 million bales to just 5 million,' he said. He added that the country's import bill continues to swell due to the increasing reliance on imported food, while exports of key crops like mangoes, kinnow, and maize have halved in the past year. The PKI representatives emphasized that they are not seeking charity - only fair returns for their produce in line with international standards. 'Farmers should be able to earn a reasonable profit for their hard work,' they insisted. Khokhar painted a grim picture of farmers' current conditions, saying many are in rags and unable to apply adequate amounts of fertilizer or other inputs to their fields, resulting in declining per-acre yields. 'Farmers don't even have enough money to meet household expenses. Some have even had to postpone their daughters' weddings due to poor returns on their wheat crops,' he lamented. The PKI also rejected the Rs 15 billion relief package announced for wheat growers, calling it grossly insufficient against the estimated Rs 1,600 billion in losses. Khokhar urged the Punjab agriculture minister to fulfill his responsibility and work actively to improve the livelihoods and well-being of farmers. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025


Business Recorder
18 hours ago
- Business Recorder
Govt employee pension scheme reforms
According to the latest estimates, expenditure on account of government employee pensions for FY-2025 are going to be Rs 1014 billion or almost 6 percent of the budget outlay for FY 2026. It shows an increase of Rs193 billion or almost 20 percent over the previous year. As compared to FY-2022 pension expenditures have almost doubled in four years, averaging around 25 percent per annum. Spiraling trend of pension expenditures at this abnormally high rate presents a very worrying state of affairs of our already resource strained economy. In line with prevailing trends, expenditures on account of pensions are estimated to reach 56 percent of the current expenditures by 2050. As an unfunded liability of the government it presents itself as a ticking time bomb that warrants emergency disposal. As proposed already, levy of 2.5-5% tax on pensions is estimated to yield Rs 20-40 billion additional revenue. But it would be of little help especially when the cost associated with its administration is also taken into account. Therefore, conventional wisdom of the entire pension scheme needs to be challenged. Pension scheme is a colonial legacy that was designed to win loyalty of the low paid government employees. It is founded on the premise that upon retirement Government employees would have no alternate source of earning to meet their living expenses. It was then justified because of meager salaries and limited opportunities for supplementary or alternate sources of income in a public sector dominated colonial economy. Idea of pensions is no longer relevant to the demands of modern era as times have changed. Presently, abundant opportunities exist for experienced employees from which they can benefit after they retire. Moreover, they are not only able to accumulate multitude of assets by virtue of their influence, perks and privileges but are also able to line up alternate sources of income while in service with the exception of low grade employees. It would be evident from their tax records, if declared fully. Also most of the retirees get reemployed in government or private sector organizations directly or indirectly on a retainer-ship basis for lobbying for regulations that are designed to serve interests of multinationals, earning millions annually. While post-retirement earnings of retirees far exceed previous job earnings, the pension that they get can hardly be justified. No wonder considerable number of wealthy retirees has migrated abroad, particularly to the UAE, Canada, the USA and Australia to find safe haven for their accumulated wealth as well as to escape tax net. Under the circumstances government expenditure on account of pensions not only causes an undue burden on the exchequer but also deprives unemployed youth of the job opportunities that retired Government employees occupy in the private and public sector. In this case pension benefits can hardly be justified, unless proven otherwise from retirees tax records (past 5 year average) that they have no alternative source of income. Under the circumstances explained, pension benefits rules warrant a thorough review and rationalization as part of emergency austerity measure. In the meantime it is proposed that: 1) Pension income of those retirees drawing annual aggregate non-pension income amounting to Rs.3 million per annum may be clubbed with their aggregate income for determination of their tax liability. 2) Entitlement of pension may be withdrawn 100% for those found reemployed after retirement. 3) Retirees having no alternate source of income may be allowed pension with a reduction of 10% for Grade 14-16, 20% for Grades 17-19 and 25% for Grades 20-22. 4) Contributory pension scheme may be introduced to shed burden on exchequer through investment of funds in high-yield REITs. This measure alone is estimated to yield a saving of Rs 700-800 billion, annually. Savings may be utilized to fill partly the budgetary gap. A provision should also be made for investeme in the education sector reforms as well as for the welfare of youth, being the most neglected segment of society (IT/ AI skill development, entrepreneurship, startups, etc.) to effectively address the issue of 66% youth bulge. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025