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7-year tariff plan for KE okayed

7-year tariff plan for KE okayed

Express Tribune28-05-2025

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The National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) has approved the seven-year Multi-Year Tariff (MYT) for K-Electric's supply business, covering the period from FY2023-24 to FY2029-30. The decision provides long-term tariff stability and enables K-Electric (KE) to pursue its $2 billion investment plan aimed at improving service quality, reducing losses, and enhancing grid reliability.
As part of the plan, NEPRA has approved KE's average power supply tariff at Rs39.97 per unit under the Multi-Year Tariff for the specified period. Previously, the interim tariff was based on the last MYT and remained effective until March 2023 at a rate of Rs33.82/kWh.
The new MYT aligns KE's supply tariff timeline with those of its generation, transmission, and distribution segments, thereby streamlining regulatory oversight and boosting investor confidence. NEPRA's decision allows KE to recover prudent costs related to fuel, power purchases, transmission and distribution, operations and maintenance (O&M), and working capital, with clearly defined mechanisms for monthly and quarterly adjustments. KE had initially requested a tariff of Rs44.69/kWh, but NEPRA approved Rs39.97/kWh.
A key feature of the decision is NEPRA's acceptance of KE's proposal to recover efficiency losses, using a realistic trajectory for recovery improvements — from 92.76% in FY2024 to 95.48% by FY2030. The authority has also approved the actualisation of sent-out and billed units, to be adjusted annually to reflect economic and operational realities, consistent with the treatment given to other distribution companies (DISCOs). This change is intended to bring KE's supply tariff model in line with the industry's revenue-cap framework.
For its supply business, KE had sought approval for a working capital cost of Rs2.071/kWh, amounting to Rs33.1 billion, based on a total working capital requirement of Rs132.95 billion. KE noted that a large portion of this amount is currently tied up in receivables from government entities, including Tariff Differential Subsidy (TDS) claims, unpaid electricity bills from public sector consumers, and tax refunds. However, these receivables were not included in the current request, as KE is pursuing their resolution separately with the government.
NEPRA approved the calculation of working capital costs using a 3-month KIBOR rate plus a capped spread of 1%, which will be reduced if the actual spread is lower. The approved working capital requirement for FY2023-24 is based on the revised and allowed costs for power purchases, transmission, distribution, and supply margins.
KE stated that it expects sent-out electricity to grow annually at a compound growth rate of 2.6%. This growth will be adjusted based on actual data starting from FY2023, allowing the company to account for any over- or under-recovery of costs. Sent-out units are projected to reach 21,617 GWh by FY2030, up from 18,660 GWh in FY2024.
Distribution charges are estimated at Rs61,385 million, based on a base tariff of Rs3.84/kWh as requested in KE's distribution petition for FY2024 to FY2030. However, NEPRA approved a lower rate of Rs3.31/kWh. KE had also requested transmission charges at Rs2.99/kWh, which have now been linked to the Monthly Demand Index (MDI) as notified by NEPRA.
For Operations & Maintenance (O&M), KE had requested Rs6,758 million—equivalent to Rs0.42/kWh—based on projected billed units for FY2024. After excluding discretionary or non-essential costs, NEPRA approved a total O&M cost of Rs31,963 million for FY2023-24. This includes Rs26,052 million for distribution and Rs5,911 million for supply. NEPRA also noted that KE's actual supply O&M cost of Rs5,911 million was lower than the projected Rs5,926 million based on indexed data from FY2022-23.
NEPRA has instructed KE to ensure an uninterrupted electricity supply and to use recovery-related adjustments responsibly. The regulator will enforce strict performance monitoring, including service quality benchmarks such as the System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI) and the System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI).
This move marks a significant step toward ensuring a predictable and stable power regime for Karachi and its adjoining areas. It is expected to enhance consumer trust while enabling critical infrastructure upgrades by Pakistan's only vertically integrated private utility.

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Nepra's KE MYT decision: Power Div. submits review motion
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Power Minister, Sardar Awais Khan Leghari, in his tweet said that the power sector of Pakistan cannot afford any inefficiencies encouraged through tariff structure of any company, irrespective of whether it is private or public. 'Our review supports a sustainable and healthy environment in the distribution system of Pakistan in a responsible manner. Power Division hopes that the review process is carried out in a transparent and fair manner,' he added. The key concerns in the Review Petition are as follows: Supply (fuel and fuel related costs): Nepra set KE's fuel-cost rate at Rs. 15.99/kWh, whereas other utilities buy power at lower rates from the national grid. This gap shifts about Rs. 28 billion (FY 2024) and Rs. 13 billion (FY 2025) of extra costs onto the federal budget rather than onto KE customers. Recovery Loss Allowance: KE was permitted to include 'recovery losses' in its tariff even though its own records show it recovers more than the level Nepra allowed. No other utility received this special allowance. This adds roughly Rs. 36 billion in FY 2024 and Rs. 35 billion in FY 2025 to KE's revenue that consumers end up paying. Cumulative impact over a 7-year period is more than Rs 200 billion. Working Capital Allowance: NEPRA permitted KE a 24 percent markup on working capital, a much higher percentage than in its previous tariff and higher than any other power distributor. This increased KE's allowable revenue by about Rs. 2.4 billion in FY 2024 and is projected to total around Rs. 15 billion over the control period of 7 years Higher Allowed Distribution Loss: Nepra set KE's allowed loss at 13.90 percent, instead of the 13.46 percent KE had planned. Losses are electricity that is generated but not billed, due to leaks or theft, or kunda. Around 7 percent of all such leakages can be attributed to theft. By permitting a higher loss level, KE passes on an extra Rs. 3.1 billion in FY 2024, rising to about Rs. 21 billion over the control period. 'Law & Order' Margin: KE received a special 2 percent margin to offset security costs in Karachi—a perk not granted to any other utility, even those operating in equally or more volatile regions. Moreover, Law & Order in Karachi has improved considerably over the last few years, and thereby there exists no reason for such a margin. This margin adds approximately Rs. 14 billion in FY 2024 and up to Rs. 99 billion over the multi-year period to KE's revenue requirement. Retention of 'Other Income': KE is allowed to keep money from fines imposed on its contractors, interest on bank deposits, and profits from side businesses. In effect, consumers have already paid for the assets that generate these incomes, so these funds should reduce KE's costs to customers, not pad its revenue. Effectively, it is being proposed that any such gain on assets that has been financed by consumers needs to be shared with consumers. Transmission (Moving Power from Grid to KE): High transmission loss Target & skewed sharing; NEPRA allowed KE a 1.30 percent loss target, even though KE's historical losses are closer to 0.75 percent. KE keeps 75 percent of any savings if it performs better than 1.30 percent, passing only 25 percent of savings to consumers. This encourages inefficiency and keeps bills high. Financial impact is about Rs. 4 billion in FY 2024, rising to roughly Rs. 28 billion over the control period. Excessive Return on Equity (RoE): KE was granted a 12 percent RoE in U.S. dollars (about 24.46 percent in rupee terms). Other national utilities (like NTDC) receive only 15 percent RoE in rupees. This difference costs consumers around Rs. 4 billion in FY 2024 and approximately Rs. 37 billion over the control period. Distribution (delivering power to homes & businesses)- High distribution - RoE disparity: KE's distribution arm was allowed 14 percent RoE in U.S. dollars (about 29.68 percent in rupees). By comparison, other Discos like FESCO get only about 14.47 percent RoE in rupees. This adds roughly Rs. 3.7 billion in FY 2024 and Rs. 35.6 billion over the control period to KE's revenue. Distribution Loss & Special Allowance: KE was granted an extra 2 percent 'law & order' margin on top of its allowed losses, even though Karachi's security situation is similar to or better than other regions. KE also keeps 25 percent of any savings if it performs better. These practices cost consumers about Rs. 14 billion in FY 2024 and up to Rs. 99 billion over the multi-year period. Working Capital Markup: A 23.91 percent markup was approved for KE's distribution working capital—far higher than any other utility. This adds about Rs. 0.8 billion in FY 2024 and roughly Rs. 10 billion over the control period to KE's revenue requirement. Generation (KE's Own Power Plants), Payments to Idle Power Plants (Take-or-Pay): Nepra approved capacity payments to several KE power plants (BQPS-I, KCCP, KGTPS, SGTPS) even though these plants will run at minimal or no output because KE sources cheaper power from the national grid. Consumers and the government pay for capacity that is not used. This costs about Rs. 12.7 billion in FY 2025 and roughly Rs. 82.5 billion over the multi-year period. Favorable indexation &RoE for KE's plants: Under a hybrid 'take-or-pay' model, KE's plants keep full inflation adjustments (indexed to U.S. CPI or USD/PKR), while independent power producers (IPPs) do not receive equally generous terms. RoE for KE's plants was set at 17 percent (using PKR 168/USD), higher than typical IPP terms, costing Rs. 7 billion in FY 2024 and about Rs. 57.3 billion over the control period. This will result in overall higher bills for Karachi customers; KE's allowed costs, profit margins, and extra allowances will cause Karachi consumers' electricity bills to rise significantly compared to other regions. Several KE cost items—especially the inflated fuel benchmark and payments to idle plants—are effectively covered by the government, stretching public finances. The determinations are unfair treatment & efficiency discouraged: Granting KE advantages not given to other utilities creates a 'two-tier' system. This discourages KE from boosting efficiency, and it undermines transparent, consistent tariff-setting nationwide. The Government maintains that all utilities should be treated equally. KE should not receive special cost or profit allowances unavailable to other power companies and tariffs must reflect actual costs and reasonable returns. Extra allowances for inefficiency and high profit rates must be removed to keep bills affordable. For regulatory accountability Nepra should revise assumptions, benchmarks, and profit margins so they align with real performance data and the standards used for other utilities. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025

Nepra's KE MYT decision: PD submits review motion
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ISLAMABAD: The Power Division on Monday submitted the much-talked about review motion challenging the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority's recent Multi-Year Tariff (MYT) determinations for K-Electric (KE) for 2024-25 to 2029-30. The government is urging Nepra to revise key assumptions, performance benchmarks and profit margins in line with real-world data and standards applied to other power utilities. According to Power Division, Nepra allowed KE several cost items and profit margins that are more generous than those granted to other utilities across the country. As a result, electricity bills for Karachi consumers are set to rise disproportionately, and public finances will bear an unnecessary burden. Total financial impact is in excess of Rs 300 billion of the intervention identified for review by GoP in KE MYT. Power Minister, Sardar Awais Khan Leghari, in his tweet said that the power sector of Pakistan cannot afford any inefficiencies encouraged through tariff structure of any company, irrespective of whether it is private or public. 'Our review supports a sustainable and healthy environment in the distribution system of Pakistan in a responsible manner. Power Division hopes that the review process is carried out in a transparent and fair manner,' he added. The key concerns in the Review Petition are as follows: Supply (fuel and fuel related costs): Nepra set KE's fuel-cost rate at Rs. 15.99/kWh, whereas other utilities buy power at lower rates from the national grid. This gap shifts about Rs. 28 billion (FY 2024) and Rs. 13 billion (FY 2025) of extra costs onto the federal budget rather than onto KE customers. Recovery Loss Allowance: KE was permitted to include 'recovery losses' in its tariff even though its own records show it recovers more than the level Nepra allowed. No other utility received this special allowance. This adds roughly Rs. 36 billion in FY 2024 and Rs. 35 billion in FY 2025 to KE's revenue that consumers end up paying. Cumulative impact over a 7-year period is more than Rs 200 billion. Working Capital Allowance: NEPRA permitted KE a 24 percent markup on working capital, a much higher percentage than in its previous tariff and higher than any other power distributor. This increased KE's allowable revenue by about Rs. 2.4 billion in FY 2024 and is projected to total around Rs. 15 billion over the control period of 7 years Higher Allowed Distribution Loss: Nepra set KE's allowed loss at 13.90 percent, instead of the 13.46 percent KE had planned. Losses are electricity that is generated but not billed, due to leaks or theft, or kunda. Around 7 percent of all such leakages can be attributed to theft. By permitting a higher loss level, KE passes on an extra Rs. 3.1 billion in FY 2024, rising to about Rs. 21 billion over the control period. 'Law & Order' Margin: KE received a special 2 percent margin to offset security costs in Karachi—a perk not granted to any other utility, even those operating in equally or more volatile regions. Moreover, Law & Order in Karachi has improved considerably over the last few years, and thereby there exists no reason for such a margin. This margin adds approximately Rs. 14 billion in FY 2024 and up to Rs. 99 billion over the multi-year period to KE's revenue requirement. Retention of 'Other Income': KE is allowed to keep money from fines imposed on its contractors, interest on bank deposits, and profits from side businesses. In effect, consumers have already paid for the assets that generate these incomes, so these funds should reduce KE's costs to customers, not pad its revenue. Effectively, it is being proposed that any such gain on assets that has been financed by consumers needs to be shared with consumers. Transmission (Moving Power from Grid to KE): High transmission loss Target & skewed sharing; NEPRA allowed KE a 1.30 percent loss target, even though KE's historical losses are closer to 0.75 percent. KE keeps 75 percent of any savings if it performs better than 1.30 percent, passing only 25 percent of savings to consumers. This encourages inefficiency and keeps bills high. Financial impact is about Rs. 4 billion in FY 2024, rising to roughly Rs. 28 billion over the control period. Excessive Return on Equity (RoE): KE was granted a 12 percent RoE in U.S. dollars (about 24.46 percent in rupee terms). Other national utilities (like NTDC) receive only 15 percent RoE in rupees. This difference costs consumers around Rs. 4 billion in FY 2024 and approximately Rs. 37 billion over the control period. Distribution (delivering power to homes & businesses)- High distribution - RoE disparity: KE's distribution arm was allowed 14 percent RoE in U.S. dollars (about 29.68 percent in rupees). By comparison, other Discos like FESCO get only about 14.47 percent RoE in rupees. This adds roughly Rs. 3.7 billion in FY 2024 and Rs. 35.6 billion over the control period to KE's revenue. Distribution Loss & Special Allowance: KE was granted an extra 2 percent 'law & order' margin on top of its allowed losses, even though Karachi's security situation is similar to or better than other regions. KE also keeps 25 percent of any savings if it performs better. These practices cost consumers about Rs. 14 billion in FY 2024 and up to Rs. 99 billion over the multi-year period. Working Capital Markup: A 23.91 percent markup was approved for KE's distribution working capital—far higher than any other utility. This adds about Rs. 0.8 billion in FY 2024 and roughly Rs. 10 billion over the control period to KE's revenue requirement. Generation (KE's Own Power Plants), Payments to Idle Power Plants (Take-or-Pay): Nepra approved capacity payments to several KE power plants (BQPS-I, KCCP, KGTPS, SGTPS) even though these plants will run at minimal or no output because KE sources cheaper power from the national grid. Consumers and the government pay for capacity that is not used. This costs about Rs. 12.7 billion in FY 2025 and roughly Rs. 82.5 billion over the multi-year period. Favorable indexation &RoE for KE's plants: Under a hybrid 'take-or-pay' model, KE's plants keep full inflation adjustments (indexed to U.S. CPI or USD/PKR), while independent power producers (IPPs) do not receive equally generous terms. RoE for KE's plants was set at 17 percent (using PKR 168/USD), higher than typical IPP terms, costing Rs. 7 billion in FY 2024 and about Rs. 57.3 billion over the control period. This will result in overall higher bills for Karachi customers; KE's allowed costs, profit margins, and extra allowances will cause Karachi consumers' electricity bills to rise significantly compared to other regions. Several KE cost items—especially the inflated fuel benchmark and payments to idle plants—are effectively covered by the government, stretching public finances. The determinations are unfair treatment & efficiency discouraged: Granting KE advantages not given to other utilities creates a 'two-tier' system. This discourages KE from boosting efficiency, and it undermines transparent, consistent tariff-setting nationwide. The Government maintains that all utilities should be treated equally. KE should not receive special cost or profit allowances unavailable to other power companies and tariffs must reflect actual costs and reasonable returns. Extra allowances for inefficiency and high profit rates must be removed to keep bills affordable. For regulatory accountability Nepra should revise assumptions, benchmarks, and profit margins so they align with real performance data and the standards used for other utilities. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025

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