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Centrist Nicuşor Dan on course to win Romanian presidential election with 99% of votes counted

Centrist Nicuşor Dan on course to win Romanian presidential election with 99% of votes counted

Irish Times18-05-2025

The centrist mayor of Bucharest, Nicuşor Dan, is set to win
Romania
's pivotal presidential election with 99 per cent of votes counted, according to official figures showing the pro-
European Union
independent eight points clear of his far-right rival, George Simion.
The figures from Romania's central election authority showed Dan, who had cast the second round vote as a battle between 'a pro-western and an anti-western Romania', on 54.2 per cent, while Simion, a self-professed Trump admirer, had 45.8 per cent.
Voters in
Poland
and
Portugal
also cast their ballots in a European electoral 'super Sunday.
Portugal's incumbent, centre-right Democratic Alliance (AD) has won the country's third snap general election in three years – but once again fallen well short of a majority – as the underperforming socialists were left vying for second place with the far-right Chega party, which took a record 22 per cent of the vote.
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Democratic Alliance leader and prime minister of Portugal, Luis Montenegro, arrives for the election night count with his wife Carla Montenegro in Lisbon on Sunday. Photograph: Filipe Amorim/AFP via Getty Images
By midnight on Sunday, with 99 per cent of the votes counted, the AD – led by the prime minister, Luís Montenegro – had won 32.2 per cent of the vote and taken 81 seats in the Portugal's 230-seat assembly, leaving it far shy of the 116 needed for a majority. The Socialist party (PS) had taken 23.4 per cent of the vote and 55 seats to Chega's 22.6 per cent and 54 seats.
In Poland, the first run-off poll indicated the presidential election was all to play for. Speaking after the exit poll was announced, centrist Warsaw mayor Rafał Trzaskowski sought to mobilise his voters as he warned that his lead over the radical-right rival, Karol Nawrocki, was 'razor-thin'.
The first poll conducted after Sunday's vote showed that Trzaskowski led Nawrocki by just two percentage points, 46 per cent to 44 per cent when it comes to voting intention ahead of the runoff on June 1st.
In Romania, Bucharest's two-term mayor, who made his name fighting corrupt property developers, said voters seeking 'profound change, functioning state institutions, less corruption, a prosperous economy and a society of dialogue, not hate, have won'.
Simion disputed the results. He said: 'We are the clear winners of these elections. We claim victory in the name of the Romanian people.' He promised a parallel vote count by his supporters would 'ensure the identification of any potential fraud'.
It is unclear what steps the populist candidate could take to contest the outcome. Sergiu Mișcoiu, a political scientist, predicted protests but said that, with several percentage points between the results, it was 'hard to believe he'd be able to challenge them'.
Simion's supporters received messages on Sunday evening telling them to protest 'if the fraud continues' and calling for a 'national protest' on Monday 'if they try to steal the victory of the Romanian people'.
Analysts have described the elections as the most important in the country's post-communist history, with significant implications for the country's strategic orientation and economic prospects as well as for EU unity.
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Romanian run-off the most crucial vote on Europe's 'Super Sunday' of elections
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Simion won the May 4th first round, triggering the collapse of Romania's government of centre-left Social Democrats (PSD) and centre-right Liberals (PNL). The new president will nominate the next prime minister and influence the formation of a new coalition.
The former soccer ultra and ultranationalist agitator, who sees his far-right AUR party as a 'natural ally' of the US Maga movement, scored almost double his rival's total, but polls in recent days had shown the gap between the two narrowing.
Turnout, which totalled 53 per cent in the first round, was almost 65 per cent, with young people and Romanians living abroad in particular voting in significantly higher numbers, official figures showed. Analysts had said a high turnout would favour Dan.
The vote is a rerun of last November's ballot, won by Călin Georgescu, a far-right, Moscow-friendly firebrand, who was barred from standing again after the vote was cancelled amid allegations of campaign finance violations and Russian meddling.
The Romanian foreign ministry said earlier on Sunday it had seen 'a viral campaign of fake news on Telegram and other social media platforms' designed 'to influence the electoral process', adding that this bore 'the hallmarks of Russian interference'.
Simion had promised to nominate Georgescu, who is under formal investigation on counts including misreporting campaign spending, illegal use of digital technology and promoting fascist groups, as prime minister if he became president.
He pledged on Sunday he would keep that promise, adding: 'This is not my victory, but that of the Romanian people, humiliated, robbed and lied to so many times before. It is the victory of a man who should have been president: Călin Georgescu.'
Romanian presidents have a semi-executive role, with considerable powers over foreign policy, national security, defence spending and judicial appointments, and can also dissolve parliament if MPs reject two prime ministerial nominations.
Dan (55) had campaigned on a pledge to fight rampant corruption, to maintain support for Ukraine – where Romania has played an important logistic role – and to keep the country firmly within the European mainstream.
He is backed by the Union to Save Romania (USR), a pro-EU, anti-corruption party that he co-founded, and was endorsed by the PNL. He is thought likely to nominate a USR prime minister and try to form a minority government, possibly backed by the PNL.
Addressing his jubilant supporters in central Bucharest, he said on Sunday he would start talks on forming a new government on Monday but acknowledged his job would be hard. 'There will be a difficult period ahead, needed for economic rebalancing,' he said. 'Please have hope and patience.'
Simion opposed further aid to Ukraine and had sharply criticised the EU's leadership. While he insisted he wants Romania to stay in the EU and Nato, he could have allied with Hungary's Viktor Orbán and Slovakia's Robert Fico as another disruptive force.
Mujtaba Rahman, of the Eurasia Group consultancy, said the outcome was 'a really strong result for the pro-European candidate', reflecting the way 'concerns about political and policy direction moving in a Maga-like way have mobilised voters'.
The founder of the Telegram messaging app, Pavel Durov, earlier appeared to accuse the French government of asking the company to 'silence conservative voices in Romania in the election'. France 'categorically rejected' what it called 'completely unfounded allegations'.
Russian-born Durov, who is now a French national, is being investigated in France over possession of child abuse image, drug trafficking and fraudulent transactions on the app.

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Letters to the Editor, June 5th: On immigration, trade union dues and red squirrels
Letters to the Editor, June 5th: On immigration, trade union dues and red squirrels

Irish Times

time2 days ago

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Letters to the Editor, June 5th: On immigration, trade union dues and red squirrels

Sir, – Michael McDowell (' EU cannot ignore what's happening in Poland and the Netherlands ,' Opinion, June 4th) presents a cynical view of so called 'EU fragility' in the face of populism. The real threat to European stability is not migration, but far-right nationalism and the failure of democrats to sufficiently oppose it. EU immigration policy is being misrepresented by people like Mr McDowell. According to Eurostat, more than 72 per cent of non-EU immigrants of working age in the EU are employed, a figure that exceeds employment rates in many native-born populations. These individuals are not a burden; they are essential to keeping European economies functioning, particularly in care, construction, and the service and transport industries. READ MORE Instead of platforming opposition to immigration, European leaders should be articulating an opposition to fascist ideologies now resurgent across the world. The lesson of the 1930s was that appeasement emboldens extremists. 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The possibilities are endless. Would Fórsa also support these outcomes? Thankfully, we have a Constitution which protects freedom of association and prevents the State from forcing anyone to join or contribute directly to any private organisation. The general secretary of Fórsa is paid €186,000 per annum, three times the average salary of the public sector workers who they want to force to fund its operations. The suggestion that the Oireachtas should enforce some form of 'closed shop' to pay for this harks back to a time decades ago when trade unions expected, as of right, a 'cut' of any benefits gained by workers. – Yours etc BARRY WALSH, Clontarf, Dublin 3. Miracle required Sir, – Stephen O'Sullivan reflects on the unhappy fate of 'people who have borne the title of 'tsar' in its myriad linguistic variations' (Letters, June 3rd). Among those he lists is Karl I of Austria-Hungary. While his fate at the end of the first World War was indeed unfortunate, it seems that he enjoys the very best of what the afterlife has to offer, having been beatified by Pope John Paul II in 2004 – and the cause for his canonisation is active. Another miracle is required for his canonisation. Maybe we should pray to him to solve the housing crisis in Ireland. Interceding with him for that miracle would likely be more efficacious than appointing a 'housing tsar'. – Yours, etc, FELIX M LARKIN, Cabinteely, Dublin 18. Funding the arts Sir, – The recent controversy surrounding the Arts Council's €6.6 million spend on a failed IT project invites a deeper conversation – not only about financial oversight, but about how arts funding is structured in this country. Too often, when additional money flows into the sector, it's accompanied by a parallel growth in consultancy, compliance, and oversight roles. These positions are not always filled by those with lived artistic experience, and are rarely held to the performance standards expected in sectors like tech or finance. The result? Those around the arts often prosper more reliably than those who actually make it. While artists are frequently required to demonstrate tangible outcomes or community impact – sometimes before the work even exists – those in administrative or consultancy roles tend to operate with far less visible scrutiny. Much of the current funding model treats art as product, not provocation or inquiry. The application process is often invasive, time-consuming, and artistically irrelevant – better designed to reward those fluent in institutional language than those pushing creative boundaries. The hoops increasingly serve funders more than artists. One wonders whether Joyce or Stravinsky would have made it through. If we are serious about supporting artistic excellence, we must start by trusting artists – with funding, time, space, and mentorship – and by acknowledging that not all valuable outcomes can be measured in neat reports or footfall figures. If a growing share of arts funding is funnelled into administrative structures and underperforming consultancy contracts, while artists continue to struggle for basic support, then we're not just failing artists – we're failing taxpayers too. Public investment in the arts should enable creation, not bureaucracy. – Yours etc, YVONNE O'REILLY, Terenure, Dublin. Killings in Gaza Sir, – Just when we thought it could not get any worse, it does. Killing people who are desperate to secure food for themselves and their families is absolutely appalling and inhuman. One can only assume that this is the plan of the Israeli government, regardless of how they try to justify their behaviour. 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Irish Times

time2 days ago

  • Irish Times

Why Poland's dramatic election result is a setback for Europe

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Geert Wilders gambles on election at the risk of losing political allies
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Irish Times

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Geert Wilders gambles on election at the risk of losing political allies

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But his old knack for uncovering secrets would have often seemed essential: ministers gathered in party groups before cabinet meetings to agree positions, with Schoof largely kept out of the loop. Even attempts to team build fell flat. One morale-boosting card game was reportedly interrupted when Pieter Omtzigt, the leader and founder of the centre-right New Social Contract, walked out over a budget disagreement. He has since quit politics, handing over to his deputy. Wilders's move to abandon the four-way coalition, where his Freedom party was the biggest group, was interpreted as an attempt to put migration at the heart of any new election campaign. But for his coalition partners and rivals, the abrupt move seemed to reinforce his role as the renegade of Dutch politics. Even his closest government allies rounded on him, including the radical rightwing Farmer-Citizen Movement (BBB), which had backed his campaign to 'put the Dutch first'. 'I think Geert Wilders is betraying the Netherlands,' said Mona Keijzer, the BBB housing minister, on her way into the cabinet meeting. 'He ultimately put himself first, instead of the Netherlands.' Sophie Hermans, of the conservative liberal VVD, said she was 'angry, pissed off, disappointed'. 'How can you do this at such a moment, when you look at what is going on in the world and in our country?' The veteran anti-Islam campaigner, who lives in a safe house because of death threats, had attacked the government repeatedly over asylum policy. 'I signed up for the strictest asylum policy, not for the downfall of the Netherlands,' he said. However, other party leaders said the asylum minister, Marjolein Faber of the Freedom Party, had declined to present proposals on how to cut numbers arriving. 'He's blaming the others for the failure of his own minister,' said a senior member of one of the coalition parties. Immigration policy has become the bane of several Dutch coalition governments. Mark Rutte, the long-time prime minister from the VVD, broke up his own coalition in 2023 for refusing to back tougher migration policies. The Netherlands, one of the world's most densely populated countries, has struggled to accommodate hundreds of thousands of refugees in recent years. Reception centres overflowed and a housing shortage was exacerbated. Wilders responded with a 10-point plan to cut migration and demanded the other coalition leaders signed. It included using the army to patrol the border, closing refugee accommodation centres and sending home all Syrian refugees because the country is now safe. It would also ban family members from joining refugees who were already in the Netherlands. But for all the friction over migration policy within the coalition, polls suggest the Netherlands could return to its more traditional centrist position. The Dutch set the populist pace for the EU in 2022 when the BBB won regional elections and then again when Wilders topped the 2023 poll. But no party has suffered more in polls since the election than Wilders. One person close to the VVD said the current leader, Dilan Yesilgoz, had erred in the last campaign by failing to rule out a deal with Wilders, which boosted his profile. 'Now he's had a chance and blown it. He's heading for opposition. The next election will be about security and defence.' Dutch politics is so volatile that the NSC and BBB are likely to be almost wiped out at the election, expected in September The VVD, which can govern with the centre left or centre right, is polling between 25-31 seats, about the same as the Freedom party. The Labour/Green alliance led by former European Commission vice-president Frans Timmermans is between 25 and 29. The resurgent Christian Democrats, who suffered heavily from defections to the NSC, set up by their former MP Omtzigt, are on 16-20. Any government needs 76 of the 150 MPs in the lower house of parliament. Deniz Horzum, a former Dutch official, said it would be a traditional battle between left and right. 'Expect VVD and Labour/GreenLeft to turn this into a political duopoly: vote for me or you get the crazies on the other side.' He said a coalition led by either would return one of the founder members of the European project to the centre of EU affairs. 'After years of punching above our weight in Brussels, we started shooting ourselves in the foot during this last period. A more traditional, stable and centrist coalition might help restore our position.' – Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2025

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