Red Sox vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks
Data Skrive
Wilyer Abreu and Michael Harris II will look to continue their recent offensive production when the Boston Red Sox and Atlanta Braves hit the field at Fenway Park on Friday, at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Braves are listed as +108 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Red Sox (-127). Boston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +176 odds). An 8-run total has been set for this contest.
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves. Red Sox vs. Braves Game Information & Odds When: Friday, May 16, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to watch on TV: MLB Network, NESN, and FDSSO Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Red Sox -127 +108 8 -107 -113 -1.5 +176 -213 Red Sox vs. Braves Prediction Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Braves 3
Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Braves 46% Red Sox vs. Braves Betting Insights The Red Sox have been favorites in 32 games this season and won 17 (53.1%) of those contests.
This season Boston has won 10 of its 19 games, or 52.6%, when favored by at least -127 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 55.9% chance to win.
The Braves have won in three of the 10 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Atlanta has a mark of 2-7 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +108 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 48.1% chance of walking away with the win. Red Sox Recent Betting Performance The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and finished 2-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.
The Red Sox's ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games. Red Sox Recent Stats Stat Avg/Total Record 4-6 Runs Per Game 4.6 HR 15 ERA 4.14 K/9 8.0 Red Sox Player Insights Not only does Alexander Bregman lead the Red Sox in hitting with his .314 average, he also is their premier power option with 11 home runs and 33 RBI.
Among all MLB batters, Bregman is 13th in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage, and sixth in slugging.
Bregman takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .300 with two home runs, three walks and three RBIs.
Abreu's 11 home runs are a team-high mark.
Abreu is eighth in home runs and 24th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Rafael Devers is hitting .278 with 12 doubles, seven home runs and 33 walks.
Jarren Duran is batting .253 with 10 doubles, four triples, two home runs and 10 walks.
Duran is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .261 with a double and three RBIs. Braves Recent Betting Performance Sportsbooks have not installed the Braves as underdogs in any of their last 10 games.
The Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once in their last 10 games with a total.
The Braves are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games. Braves Recent Stats Stat Avg/Total Record 6-4 Runs Per Game 3.6 HR 4 ERA 2.32 K/9 9.0 Braves Player Insights Marcell Ozuna is hitting .264 with six doubles, six home runs and 36 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .413.
Among all hitters in MLB, Ozuna ranks 66th in homers and 105th in RBI.
Matt Olson is hitting .214 with six doubles, seven home runs and 29 walks.
Olson is currently 47th in home runs and 70th in RBI in the major leagues.
Austin Riley paces the Braves with eight home runs and 26 runs batted in, while posting a club-best batting average of .286.
Ozzie Albies is hitting .217 with four doubles, five home runs and 13 walks.
Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Detroit Tigers.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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