2025 Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell: Carballes Baena [57th] vs. Thompson [38th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

USA Today

13-04-2025

In the Round of 32 at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell on Monday, Jordan Thompson (ranked No. 38) meets Roberto Carballes Baena (No. 57).
Carballes Baena is favored over Thompson in this match, with -225 odds against the underdog's +175 in the Round of 32.
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 2:36 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub. Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Jordan Thompson matchup info Tournament: Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell Round: Round of 32
Round of 32 Date: Monday, April 14
Monday, April 14 Court Surface: Clay Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo! Carballes Baena vs. Thompson Prediction
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Carballes Baena has a 69.2% to win. Carballes Baena vs. Thompson Betting Odds Carballes Baena's odds to win match: -225
-225 Thompson's odds to win match: +175
Carballes Baena vs. Thompson matchup performance & stats Carballes Baena is 12-10 on clay over the past year.
Carballes Baena has won 68.3% of his service games on clay over the past year and 29.5% of his return games.
Carballes Baena has converted 39.1% of his break-point chances on clay (66 of 169) over the past 12 months.
In his last tournament (the Grand Prix Hassan II), Carballes Baena made a run before losing to Luciano Darderi in the semifinals 3-6, 2-6 on April 5.
The 30-year-old Thompson, who is seeking his first tournament title on clay in 2025, is 2-6 over the past year on that surface.
Thompson has a 63.2% winning percentage in service games while playing on clay surfaces, and a 24.3% winning percentage in return games.
On clay Thompson ranks 156th in break point win percentage (28.3%) after going 17-for-60.
Thompson was eliminated in the Round of 32 of his last tournament (the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters) on April 8, when he went down 6-4, 4-6, 2-6 to Stefanos Tsitsipas.
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