Thunder vs. Pacers Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds

Fox Sports

14 hours ago

Data Skrive
In Game 5 of the NBA Finals, the Oklahoma City Thunder will go up against the Indiana Pacers. The Thunder are currently healthy 9.5-point favorites over the Pacers. The matchup's over/under is 222.5.
Here is everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information. Thunder vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds When: Monday, June 16, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
TV: ABC Thunder vs Pacers Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Thunder -9.5 -110 -110 222.5 -110 -110 -395 +310 Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction
ATS Pick: Thunder (- 9.5)
O/U Pick: Over (222.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 122 - Pacers 108 Thunder vs. Pacers Betting Insights This year, the Thunder games have gone over 222.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 52 (out of 82) times.
The Pacers have played in 60 games this year (73.2% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 222.5 points.
Between them, these two teams average 15.4 more points per game (237.9) than this game's over/under (222.5).
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.2 more points per game (222.7) than this matchup's over/under of 222.5 points.
Oklahoma City has won 65, or 83.3%, of the 78 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
Indiana has come away with 14 wins in the 31 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
After the last six head-to-head meetings, Oklahoma City has a 4-2 record against Indiana.
The Thunder also hold a 4-2 edge against the spread when squaring off against the Pacers.
The Thunder have covered for four straight games against the spread, and they were favored in all of those games. Thunder Recent Trends The Thunder have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 222.1 combined points in its last 10 games, 0.4 less than this matchup's total of 222.5.
The Thunder are 53-25-4 against the spread this season.
Oklahoma City has an against the spread record of 25-12-3 in its 40 games as a favorite of 9.5 points or more so far this season.
Thunder games this year have gone over the total in 45 out of 82 opportunities (54.9%).
The Thunder record 5.4 more points per game (120.5) than the Pacers give up (115.1).
When Oklahoma City puts up more than 115.1 points, it is 39-14-1 against the spread and 47-7 overall.
The Thunder make 48.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.8 percentage points higher than the Pacers have allowed to their opponents (47.4%).
The Thunder have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 28 times in 42 opportunities at home, and they've covered 25 times in 40 opportunities on the road.
Oklahoma City has gone over the total in 25 of 42 home games (59.5%), compared to 20 of 40 road games (50%).
In home games, the Thunder have won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 35-6 (.854). In road games, they are 30-7 (.811) as a moneyline favorite. Thunder Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 120.5 4 Points Allowed 107.6 3 Rebounds 44.8 11 Assists 26.9 12 Steals 10.3 1 Blocks 5.7 2 Thunder Leaders Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game, shooting 51.9% from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game.
Jalen Williams puts up 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 36.5% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made treys per contest.
Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 11.2 points, 3.8 assists and 10.7 rebounds per game.
Aaron Wiggins posts 12.0 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the field and 38.3% from downtown with 1.7 made treys per contest.
Luguentz Dort puts up 10.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. Defensively he averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocks. Pacers Recent Trends The Pacers are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
Indiana and its opponents have combined to score an average of 224.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 2.3 more than the 222.5 over/under in this matchup.
In the Pacers' 82 games this year, they have 38 wins against the spread.
Indiana has been underdogs by 9.5 points or more four times this year and has covered the spread twice.
Pacers games this season have eclipsed the over/under 53.7% of the time (44 out of 82 games with a set point total).
The Pacers score an average of 117.4 points per game, 9.8 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder give up to opponents.
When it scores more than 107.6 points, Indiana is 38-33-1 against the spread and 48-24 overall.
The Pacers have shot at a 48.8% clip from the field this season, 5.2 percentage points higher than the 43.6% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
The Pacers have the same winning percentage against the spread (.463) at home (19-21-1 record) and away (19-22-0) this season.
Looking at the over/under, Indiana's games have finished over 53.7% of the time this year, both at home (22 of 41) and on the road (22 of 41).
This season the Pacers are 25-6 at home as moneyline favorites (.806 winning percentage). Away they are 10-9 (.526). Pacers Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 117.4 7 Points Allowed 115.1 17 Rebounds 41.8 27 Assists 29.2 3 Steals 8.5 8 Blocks 5.5 4 Pacers Leaders Tyrese Haliburton delivers 18.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game for the Pacers.
On a per-game basis, Pascal Siakam gets the Pacers 20.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
The Pacers are getting 15.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Myles Turner this season.
The Pacers are getting 16.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Bennedict Mathurin this year.
T.J. McConnell gets the Pacers 9.1 points, 2.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest while putting up 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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