March Madness: Florida vs. Auburn odds, picks and predictions
The No. 1 seed Florida Gators (34-4) and the No. 1 seed Auburn Tigers (32-5) meet Saturday in the NCAA Tournament Final Four. Tip-off from the Alamodome in San Antonio is scheduled for 6:09 p.m. ET (CBS). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Florida vs. Auburn odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Florida won the West Region with victories over Norfolk State (95-69 on March 21), UConn (77-75 on March 23), Maryland (87-71 on March 27) and Texas Tech (84-79 on March 29).
The win over the Red Raiders was a thriller in the Elite 8, as the Gators trailed 75-66 with less than 3 minutes remaining before an amazing rally to get to San Antonio. G Walter Clayton Jr. led the way with 30 points, while F Thomas Haugh had 20 points and 11 rebounds for a double-double off the bench, while providing 2 key 3-pointers down the stretch.
These teams met at Neville Arena at Auburn Feb. 8, with Florida surprising the then-No. 1 Tigers 90-81 as an 11-point underdog. While the Gators are just 1-3 against the spread (ATS) in the NCAA Tournament, they're 13-4 ATS in the past 17 games since Feb. 4.
In that first meeting, G Alijah Martin didn't play due to a hip pointer, but it's all hands on deck for Florida in this Final Four matchup.
The Tigers defeated Alabama State (83-63 on March 20), Creighton (82-70 on March 22), Michigan (78-65 on March 28) and Michigan State (70-64 on Sunday) to get to San Antonio. Auburn missed the cover against Alabama State, the No. 16 seed, but is 3-0 ATS in the past 3 outings. The Under is 5-1 in 6 postseason games, too.
Against No. 2 Michigan State in the Elite 8, F Johni Broome was electric, going for 25 points with 14 rebounds, 2 assists, a steal and a blocked shot. G Tahaad Pettiford was the only other Tigers player to get into double digits with 10 points. Broome also had 18 points with 11 rebounds, 6 assists and 2 blocked shots in the first meeting with Florida in the losing effort.
Auburn is No. 4 and Florida is No. 3 in the USA TODAY Sports Men's Basketball Coaches Poll.
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Florida vs. Auburn odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML) : Florida -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Auburn +125 (bet $100 to $125)
: Florida -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Auburn +125 (bet $100 to $125) Against the spread : Florida -2.5 (-110) | Auburn +2.5 (-110)
: Florida -2.5 (-110) | Auburn +2.5 (-110) Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Florida vs. Auburn picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida 87, Auburn 81
Florida (-150) is a little on the pricey side in this rematch of SEC titans.
If you're backing the Gators, it's a better value to lay the small number of points — unless you're convinced they'll win by just 1 or 2.
AVOID, and look to the spread instead.
FLORIDA -2.5 (-110) is worth a look, laying the small number of points as the Gators aim to return to the national title game for the first time since winning back-to-back championships under coach Billy Donovan in 2006 and 2007.
Auburn has covered in each of its last 3 games, and it will be difficult for the Gators to handle the Tigers in a second straight game. Still, the Gators' depth gives them an edge, and Clayton has been on a tear, averaging 22.3 points over 4 NCAA Tournament games. Expect a close battle down the stretch, but look for Florida to come out on top.
OVER 159.5 (-110) is a strong play in this first national semifinal game.
These teams combined for 171 points in their Feb. 8 meeting at Auburn, soaring over the posted total of 156.5.
Lately, it's all about the Over for the Gators, as the total has gone high in 11 straight Florida games since Feb. 25.
For Auburn, the Under has gone 5-1 across 4 NCAA Tournament games and 2 SEC Tournament contests. However, the Over went 10-2 in its final 12 regular-season games against the SEC, including its loss to Florida.
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