logo
Who makes up Iran's fragmented opposition?

Who makes up Iran's fragmented opposition?

Straits Times5 hours ago

FILE PHOTO: The Iranian flag flutters in front of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) organisation's headquarters in Vienna, Austria, June 5, 2023. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo
Iran's ruling establishment is under intense pressure from Israeli strikes that continue to target senior figures, the security apparatus and the state media.
However, despite repeated bouts of nationwide protests stretching back decades, Iran's opposition is fragmented among rival groups and ideological factions and appears to have little organised presence inside the country.
Here are some opposition groups or blocs:
MONARCHISTS
Iran's last shah, Mohammed Reza Pahlavi, fled in 1979 as the revolution took hold. He died in Egypt in 1980.
His son, Reza Pahlavi, was heir to the Peacock Throne when the dynasty was ousted and, now based in the United States, he calls for regime change through non-violent civil disobedience and a referendum on a new government.
However while Pahlavi has plenty of admirers in the Iranian diaspora who support a return to the monarchy, it is uncertain how popular that idea might be inside the country.
Most Iranians are not old enough to remember life before the revolution and the country looks very different to the one Pahlavi's father fled 46 years ago.
While many Iranians look back with nostalgia on that pre-revolutionary era, many others also recall its inequalities and oppression.
Meanwhile there are splits even among pro-monarchist groups.
PEOPLE'S MUJAHIDEEN ORGANISATION
The Mujahideen were a powerful leftist group that staged bombing campaigns against the Shah's government and U.S. targets in the 1970s but ultimately fell out with the other factions.
The group is often known by its Persian name, the Mujahideen-e Khalq Organisation, or by the acronyms MEK or MKO.
Many Iranians, including sworn enemies of the Islamic Republic, cannot forgive it for siding with Iraq against Iran during the war of 1980-88.
The group was the first to publicly reveal in 2002 that Iran had a secret uranium enrichment programme, but it has shown little sign of any active presence inside Iran for years.
In exile, its leader Massoud Rajavi has not been seen for more than 20 years and his wife, Maryam Rajavi, has taken control. Rights groups have criticised it for what they call cult-like behaviour and abuses of its followers, which the group denies.
The group is the main force behind the National Council of Resistance of Iran, led by Maryam Rajavi, which has an active presence in many Western countries.
ETHNIC MINORITY GROUPS
Iran's mostly Sunni Muslim Kurdish and Baluch minorities have often chafed against rule from the Persian-speaking, Shi'ite government in Tehran.
Several Kurdish groups have long organised opposition to the Islamic Republic in the western parts of the country where they form a majority, and there have been periods of active insurgency against government forces.
In Baluchistan, along Iran's border with Pakistan, opposition to Tehran ranges from supporters of Sunni clerics seeking to carve out more space for their followers within the Islamic Republic to armed jihadists linked to al Qaeda.
When major bouts of protest have spread across Iran, they have often been fiercest in Kurdish and Baluchi areas, but in neither region is there a single, unified opposition movement that poses a clear threat to Tehran's rule.
PROTEST MOVEMENTS
Hundreds of thousands of Iranians have taken to the streets in mass protests at successive points for decades.
After the 2009 presidential election, demonstrators filled Tehran and other cities accusing the authorities of rigging the vote for the incumbent Mahmoud Ahmadinejad against rival candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi.
Mousavi's 'Green Movement' was crushed and he was put under house arrest, along with political ally and former parliament speaker Mehdi Karoubi.
The movement, which sought democratic reform within the existing system of the Islamic republic, is now widely seen as defunct.
In 2022 major protests again gripped Iran centred on women's rights. The Woman, Life, Freedom demonstrations continued for months but without resulting in an organisation or leadership and many of the protesters were ultimately arrested and jailed. REUTERS
Join ST's Telegram channel and get the latest breaking news delivered to you.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

German minister to Iran: never too late to negotiate
German minister to Iran: never too late to negotiate

Straits Times

time37 minutes ago

  • Straits Times

German minister to Iran: never too late to negotiate

German minister to Iran: never too late to negotiate BERLIN - Germany's foreign minister appealed to Iran's leaders to make credible assurances that it is not seeking a nuclear weapon and to show it is willing to find a negotiated solution as fears mount of further military escalation between Iran and Israel. "We are still ready to negotiate a solution. However, Iran must act urgently ... it is never too late to come to the negotiating table if one comes with sincere intentions," Johann Wadephul said at a news conference with his Jordanian counterpart on Wednesday. Wadephul said Israel's fear that Iran would develop nuclear weapons was justified and it had a right to self-defence. "The Israeli decision to do something against this threat is comprehensible," he said, adding civilian deaths on both sides were regrettable after air attacks between Iran and Israel. His ministry was arranging special flights later on Wednesday and on Thursday to each repatriate about 180 German citizens via Amman, he said. Wadephul also said Germany had agreed to create an economic council with Syria to improve cooperation and boost prosperity and stability there. REUTERS Join ST's Telegram channel and get the latest breaking news delivered to you.

US defence firms chase European military spending wave
US defence firms chase European military spending wave

Straits Times

timean hour ago

  • Straits Times

US defence firms chase European military spending wave

FILE PHOTO: An Anduril Industries Fury autonomous air vehicle (AAV) is displayed at the 55th International Paris Airshow at Le Bourget Airport near Paris, France, June 17, 2025. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo PARIS - U.S. defence giants, backed by a strong Congressional delegation from Washington, used the Paris Airshow to showcase cutting-edge technologies and court European partners as they seek to tap into rising regional military spending. Many European nations have pledged to significantly increase defence budgets in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine and as U.S. President Donald Trump's administration has threatened to scale back military support for the region. That tension has been notably absent at this week's Paris Airshow, where U.S. lawmakers and arms manufacturers pledged greater transatlantic partnership as Europe ramps up spending on everything from artillery shells and fighter jets to missile defence systems. "We understand that our allies and partners are a force multiplier, so we are stronger when we are working together," U.S. Senator Jerry Moran, a member of Trump's Republican party, told reporters at the show, the world's largest aerospace and defence gathering. Moran, whose delegation was supporting U.S. weapons makers, said it was in Paris to send a message that the U.S. "is a dependable and reliable partner". The conciliatory tone stands in stark contrast to the Trump administration's recent string of disparaging remarks about Europe and its defence industry. "I think antagonising our allies does not make us stronger," Democrat Senator Jeanne Shaheen told reporters in Paris, expressing her desire to cement defence relations with Europe. RELIANCE ON U.S. Despite pledges by many European nations to boost military self-sufficiency, the continent remains heavily reliant on U.S. defence manufacturers. For instance, Europe buys American-made fighter jets and missiles from Lockheed Martin, Patriot missile defence systems from Raytheon Technologies and military jets and helicopters built by Boeing. In emerging military areas, like artificial intelligence, drones and satellite constellations, U.S. tech firms like Anduril, Palantir and Elon Musk's SpaceX are far ahead. U.S. firms are hoping to press home their advantage as European military spending surges, including through partnerships which are a way to soften any potential diplomatic tensions, delegates said. U.S. drone-maker Anduril and German defence giant Rheinmetall said on Wednesday they will link up to build military drones for European markets, in a sign of Europe leveraging American technology to boost military capabilities. Thomas Laliberty, president of Land & Air Defense Systems at Raytheon, said there were no easy replacements for its weapons in Europe and he expected the firm to maintain a long-term footprint on the continent, including through new partnerships. Laliberty said Raytheon was close to announcing a plan to manufacture Stingers - a lightweight air defence missile used by Ukrainian forces against Russia - in Europe. "For immediate needs, Raytheon is well positioned to support the European demand," Laliberty told reporters in Paris. "We have a very bright future here." Boeing, which won a contract from Trump's administration to develop the next-generation F-47 fighter jet this year, said Europe and the U.S. would remain long-term partners despite political wobbles, partly to hold off the Chinese threat. "Nobody can do it themselves - maybe the Chinese can try, but certainly the rest of us, we are going to have to work together," said Turbo Sjogren, Boeing's general manager for government services. "To do otherwise takes too long and will be unaffordable." The chairman of Italian aerospace and defence group Leonardo, Stefano Pontecorvo, added that U.S. participation in some European programmes would be "unavoidable" in coming years due to the defence technologies available to them. EUROPE TOO SLOW European rivals were bullish about their future growth prospects but said budget constraints and a lack of regional alliances were holding back progress, conceding that they would continue to need significant U.S. support. "National sovereignty matters but fragmentation is detrimental. We need to find a way to hit a balance," Leonardo CEO Roberto Cingolani told reporters on Tuesday. Jean-Brice Dumont, head of air power, defence and space at Airbus, said Europe's dependence on the U.S. was "very high". "Zero dependency on the U.S. I believe is a dream. We have a need for interoperability that drives some U.S. needs," said Dumont, whose firm makes the Eurofighter Typhoon fighter jet with Britain's BAE Systems and Italy's Leonardo, as well as Earth observation satellites and drones. Italian Defence Minister Guido Crosetto said Europe had "too much bureaucracy" compared to the U.S. and needed to adapt to a new military era of faster, cheaper and more nimble technology. "Either Europe adapts its industry to these new parameters - different from those with which it has lived until four years ago - or it will have huge competitors, and not only the American ones," he said. REUTERS Join ST's Telegram channel and get the latest breaking news delivered to you.

Israel military raids West Bank camps
Israel military raids West Bank camps

Straits Times

timean hour ago

  • Straits Times

Israel military raids West Bank camps

Israeli border police manning a checkpoint during an Israeli raid in the Askar camp in the occupied West Bank on June 16. PHOTO: AFP RAMALLAH, Palestinian Territories - Israeli troops raided two Palestinian refugee camps in the occupied West Bank's north overnight, the military told AFP, as Israel presses offensives on multiple fronts. The military told AFP that at 'around 4am Israeli forces entered Balata camp', near the northern city of Nablus, for 'a routine counter-terrorism operation'. It added that the troops had been deployed to the nearby Askar camp prior to the operation in Balata camp. Mr Imad Zaki, head of the popular services committee of Balata camp, also told AFP that the military began its raid at 4am on June 18. 'They closed all entrances to the camp, seized several homes after evicting their residents, and ordered the homeowners not to return for 72 hours. These homes were turned into military outposts and interrogation centres,' Mr Zaki said. 'The soldiers are conducting house-to-house and neighbourhood-to-neighbourhood searches, destroying the contents of homes and physically assaulting the residents,' Mr Zaki told AFP. He added that life had been 'largely paralysed' for the camp's residents but that no injuries were reported. In a separate statement, the military said that its forces had 'neutralised' one Palestinian overnight in the West Bank village of Al-Walaja near Jerusalem. They said that as the troops were deployed in the area, a Palestinian armed with a knife 'attempted to stab (Israeli) soldiers who were operating in the area and steal their weapons'. 'The soldiers responded with fire and neutralised the terrorist,' the army said, using a term it normally uses when someone has been killed. The Israeli military said on June 17 that its forces had been active in various parts of the Jenin area, in the northern West Bank. It said in a statement that its forces had arrested five Palestinian militants suspected of planning attacks on Israel. Throughout the Gaza war, violence in the West Bank – a separate Palestinian territory – has soared, as have calls to annex it, most notably from Israel's far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich. Since the start of the war in October 2023, Israeli troops or settlers have killed at least 939 Palestinians, including many militants, according to the Palestinian health ministry. Over the same period, at least 35 Israelis including civilians and soldiers have been killed in Palestinian attacks or during Israeli military raids, according to official Israeli figures. AFP Join ST's Telegram channel and get the latest breaking news delivered to you.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store