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Trump tariffs live updates: Court of International Trade deems majority of tariffs 'unlawful'

Trump tariffs live updates: Court of International Trade deems majority of tariffs 'unlawful'

Yahooa day ago

The US Court of International Trade has voted to block the vast majority of President Trump's global tariffs after deeming the method used to enact them 'unlawful'. This places most of the tariffs on an indefinite hold while the administration appeals the decision through the Supreme Court.
Tariffs impacted include the flat-rate 'reciprocal' tariffs aimed at US trade partners as well as and key China-focused duties, while leaving some duties, specifically those covering steel, aluminum, and certain Chinese goods, intact.
Prior to the court's decision, President Trump on Wednesday criticized an emerging Wall Street trading philosophy in response to his ever-shifting tariff policies.
The term "TACO" trade — short for "Trump Always Chickens Out" — has come in response to Trump's frequent pattern with tariffs: High tariffs send markets reeling until Trump backs off.
Trump called a reporter who asked him about the term "nasty" before defending his strategy as one that has helped the US gain leverage in trade negotiations.
"It's called negotiation," he said.
Negotiations have continued in earnest this week, with an FT report on Wednesday saying India has offered the US steep tariff cuts but is seeking to retain high duties on some agricultural commodities.
India is not the only trading partner seeking a tariff reprieve. On Wednesday, the EU trade chief Maroš Šefčovič said the European Commission is discussing with the US possible cooperation in sectors such as semiconductors, steel, and aerospace, and is in search of a deal to limit tariffs.
The European Union has agreed to fast-track trade talks with the US in a bid to avoid Trump's 50% tariffs — which, in an about-face, he announced would be delayed until July 9.
Šefčovič said the EU held "good calls" with Trump administration officials on Monday after the close trading partners moved forward with negotiations amid Trump's tariff-fueled push to rework global trade relationships.
Trump had been frustrated with the pace of negotiations, saying last week that the bloc has been "very difficult to deal with."
Meanwhile, Apple (AAPL) remains in high focus after Trump said the company would face 25% tariffs if it didn't move iPhone production to the US. He later said that would apply to other phone makers, including Samsung (005930.KS).
Nvidia (NVDA) is also set for a high-stakes earnings report Wednesday, its first since many of the tariffs went into effect. Its stock has swung wildly this year amid Trump's tariffs and other moves.
Live updates: Nvidia's earnings report
Here are the latest updates as the policy reverberates around the world.
The decision's focus on IEEPA immediately throws into doubt some of the most far-reaching of Trump's tariff actions since taking office. Most notably, those include his "Liberation Day" tariffs of 10% on nearly the entire world, as well as the current threat of higher tariffs on countries that fail to reach a deal during his 90-day pause.
The president has also relied on IEEPA to impose duties on nations such as Mexico, Canada, and China, claiming that the nations' failure to curb the flow of illegal drugs and migration into the US threatened US national security. [...]
Duties based on other laws like those Trump has imposed on certain aluminum and steel products are not included in the court's decision.
Recent duties on automobiles imposed by the president use so-called Section 232 tariff authority derived from a separate law called the Trade Expansion Act of 1962.
The tariffs on steel and aluminum also rely on Section 232.
Read more here.
President Donald Trump's tariffs have been deemed illegal and blocked in a landmark trade court ruling that ruled the president used unlawful emergency powers by imposing broad levies on imports.
The decision suspends Trump's flat-rate tariffs and key China-focused duties, while leaving some tariffs, specifically those covering steel, aluminum, and some Chinese goods, intact.
The ruling, issued by the Court of International Trade, is set to be appealed and could reach the Supreme Court. Investors are watching closely, as the outcome will reshape the global trade landscape and has huge ramifications on trust in Trump as a market manager.
Markets, already volatile amid ongoing tariff uncertainty since the April 2 executive order, reacted swiftly to the news with major gauge futures making leaps of up to 2%.
Bloomberg reports:
Read more here.
President Trump on Wednesday criticized an emerging Wall Street trading philosophy in response to his ever-shifting tariff policies.
The term "TACO trade" — apparently first coined by the Financial Times early this month — has been flying around Wall Street in recent weeks and entered even more into the public consciousness over the past few days.
The acronym stands for "Trump Always Chickens Out." The pattern is clear: Trump announces heavy tariffs, sending markets reeling until he backs off, sending markets flying.
A reporter asked Trump at the White House on Wednesday for his response to the school of thought. He did not appear to be aware of the acronym, but was also not pleased to learn its meaning.
"Isn't that nice ... I've never heard that," he said, before launching into a defense of recent moves. Earlier in May, the US reached a detente with China after the countries imposed massive tariffs on each other. Then last week, Trump announced massive 50% tariffs on EU imports, only to backtrack a couple days later and push back his deadline for more negotiating time.
"After I did what I did, they said, 'We'll meet anytime you want,'" Trump said of the EU. He said of China, "In many ways, I think we really helped China tremendously."
"Don't ever say what you said," Trump then told the reporter. "That's a nasty question."
AutoZone's (AZO) management said on Tuesday that inflation from tariffs hasn't had a major impact on costs yet because it takes a while for its products to ship to the US.
However, executives at the auto parts retailer said they expect inflation to accelerate if substantial tariffs remain in place.
"I think one of the reasons that you haven't seen a lot of the tariff cost in our side of the business is ... most of our inventory turns relatively slow compared to many other industries, hard parts in particular," AutoZone CEO Philip Daniele said on the company's fiscal third quarter earnings call. "And that product just hasn't shown up here in the country. And as you know, this stuff has changed pretty significantly over the last 90 days or 120 days. I mean there will be an impact to tariffs on the cost of goods."
AutoZone reported SKU inflation of 1% for the quarter and said it expects to see inflation of 3% over time. The company sources many of its products from China and other East Asian countries, Eastern Europe, and Mexico.
AutoZone CFO Jamere Jackson noted that, other than tariffs, a lot of the drivers of cost increases have come down, particularly freight prices.
"However, if we do see significant tariffs, that will indeed have an inflationary impact," Jackson stated.
Reuters reports:
German carmakers BMW, Mercedes-Benz and Volkswagen are in talks with the U.S. Department of Commerce on a tariff deal that would involve a mechanism to offset imports and exports, the Handelsblatt business daily reported on Wednesday.
In return for tariff relief, the companies could invest billions in the United States, the report said citing company sources. It did not give a more exact sum.
Reuters reports:
Read more here.
Yahoo Finance's senior reporter Hamza Shaban reports on Wall Street's dilemma with Trump's tariffs:
Read more here.
More retailers are feeling the impact of Trump's tariffs as both Macy's (M) and Michael Kors parent company Capri (CAPR) lowered their annual profit and revenue forecasts on Wednesday, citing tariffs as the cause.
Capri cut its revenue forecast for 2026, signaling that tariff-related uncertainty was weighing on demand for its handbags and accessories in North America and Asia.
Macy's followed in a similar fashion: Yahoo Finance senior reporter Brooke DiPalma said the company reaffirmed its sales guidance, but revised its earnings outlook due to uncertainty surrounding tariffs, consumer sentiments, and the competitive landscape.
Macy's is facing multiple macro headwinds as consumer sentiment sags, costs rise with Trump's tariffs, and trends grow toward e-commerce and direct-to-consumer.
Read more here.
Reuters reports:
Read more here.
India has offered steep cuts to its import tariffs on a range of goods in talks with the US, but is said to be retaining high duties on certain agricultural commodities, according to people familiar with the negotiations.
The FT reports:
Read more here.
Reuters reports:
Read more here.
As the US and European Union negotiate a new trade deal to avoid President Trump-imposed tariffs, it's worth taking a moment to note that the US and the EU have the largest bilateral trade relationship in the world.
According to the Council of the European Union (and converted to USD), the transatlantic trade in goods and services topped 1.8 trillion in 2023 after a post-pandemic surge:
A measure of tariff revenue has spiked this month as importers paid the baseline "Liberation Day" tariffs that went into effect on April 5, along with other duties set by President Trump.
Government receipts for "Customs and Certain Excise Taxes" have already topped $22.3 billion this month, according to Treasury Department data.
Yahoo Finance's Ben Werschkul reports:
Read more here.
Yahoo Finance's Jennifer Schonberger reports:
Read more here.
Yahoo Finance's Josh Schafer reports:
Read more here.
The Chinese Premier Li Qiang has urged Southeast Asian and Gulf states to help create a 'big market', in a bid to counter US efforts to isolate China's economy.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Reuters reports:
Read more here.
Retailers, who have suffered under Trump's tariffs, are increasingly warming to offers to sell in order to escape market volatility that has caused company valuations to seesaw in recent months, according to a report in Reuters.
Reuters reports:
Read more here.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Malaysia's Trade and Industry minister Zafrul Aziz said that the US reducing its proposed tariffs on Malaysia to 10% is a positive move, conceding that a previously hoped for levy of zero may not be possible.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
The decision's focus on IEEPA immediately throws into doubt some of the most far-reaching of Trump's tariff actions since taking office. Most notably, those include his "Liberation Day" tariffs of 10% on nearly the entire world, as well as the current threat of higher tariffs on countries that fail to reach a deal during his 90-day pause.
The president has also relied on IEEPA to impose duties on nations such as Mexico, Canada, and China, claiming that the nations' failure to curb the flow of illegal drugs and migration into the US threatened US national security. [...]
Duties based on other laws like those Trump has imposed on certain aluminum and steel products are not included in the court's decision.
Recent duties on automobiles imposed by the president use so-called Section 232 tariff authority derived from a separate law called the Trade Expansion Act of 1962.
The tariffs on steel and aluminum also rely on Section 232.
Read more here.
President Donald Trump's tariffs have been deemed illegal and blocked in a landmark trade court ruling that ruled the president used unlawful emergency powers by imposing broad levies on imports.
The decision suspends Trump's flat-rate tariffs and key China-focused duties, while leaving some tariffs, specifically those covering steel, aluminum, and some Chinese goods, intact.
The ruling, issued by the Court of International Trade, is set to be appealed and could reach the Supreme Court. Investors are watching closely, as the outcome will reshape the global trade landscape and has huge ramifications on trust in Trump as a market manager.
Markets, already volatile amid ongoing tariff uncertainty since the April 2 executive order, reacted swiftly to the news with major gauge futures making leaps of up to 2%.
Bloomberg reports:
Read more here.
President Trump on Wednesday criticized an emerging Wall Street trading philosophy in response to his ever-shifting tariff policies.
The term "TACO trade" — apparently first coined by the Financial Times early this month — has been flying around Wall Street in recent weeks and entered even more into the public consciousness over the past few days.
The acronym stands for "Trump Always Chickens Out." The pattern is clear: Trump announces heavy tariffs, sending markets reeling until he backs off, sending markets flying.
A reporter asked Trump at the White House on Wednesday for his response to the school of thought. He did not appear to be aware of the acronym, but was also not pleased to learn its meaning.
"Isn't that nice ... I've never heard that," he said, before launching into a defense of recent moves. Earlier in May, the US reached a detente with China after the countries imposed massive tariffs on each other. Then last week, Trump announced massive 50% tariffs on EU imports, only to backtrack a couple days later and push back his deadline for more negotiating time.
"After I did what I did, they said, 'We'll meet anytime you want,'" Trump said of the EU. He said of China, "In many ways, I think we really helped China tremendously."
"Don't ever say what you said," Trump then told the reporter. "That's a nasty question."
AutoZone's (AZO) management said on Tuesday that inflation from tariffs hasn't had a major impact on costs yet because it takes a while for its products to ship to the US.
However, executives at the auto parts retailer said they expect inflation to accelerate if substantial tariffs remain in place.
"I think one of the reasons that you haven't seen a lot of the tariff cost in our side of the business is ... most of our inventory turns relatively slow compared to many other industries, hard parts in particular," AutoZone CEO Philip Daniele said on the company's fiscal third quarter earnings call. "And that product just hasn't shown up here in the country. And as you know, this stuff has changed pretty significantly over the last 90 days or 120 days. I mean there will be an impact to tariffs on the cost of goods."
AutoZone reported SKU inflation of 1% for the quarter and said it expects to see inflation of 3% over time. The company sources many of its products from China and other East Asian countries, Eastern Europe, and Mexico.
AutoZone CFO Jamere Jackson noted that, other than tariffs, a lot of the drivers of cost increases have come down, particularly freight prices.
"However, if we do see significant tariffs, that will indeed have an inflationary impact," Jackson stated.
Reuters reports:
German carmakers BMW, Mercedes-Benz and Volkswagen are in talks with the U.S. Department of Commerce on a tariff deal that would involve a mechanism to offset imports and exports, the Handelsblatt business daily reported on Wednesday.
In return for tariff relief, the companies could invest billions in the United States, the report said citing company sources. It did not give a more exact sum.
Reuters reports:
Read more here.
Yahoo Finance's senior reporter Hamza Shaban reports on Wall Street's dilemma with Trump's tariffs:
Read more here.
More retailers are feeling the impact of Trump's tariffs as both Macy's (M) and Michael Kors parent company Capri (CAPR) lowered their annual profit and revenue forecasts on Wednesday, citing tariffs as the cause.
Capri cut its revenue forecast for 2026, signaling that tariff-related uncertainty was weighing on demand for its handbags and accessories in North America and Asia.
Macy's followed in a similar fashion: Yahoo Finance senior reporter Brooke DiPalma said the company reaffirmed its sales guidance, but revised its earnings outlook due to uncertainty surrounding tariffs, consumer sentiments, and the competitive landscape.
Macy's is facing multiple macro headwinds as consumer sentiment sags, costs rise with Trump's tariffs, and trends grow toward e-commerce and direct-to-consumer.
Read more here.
Reuters reports:
Read more here.
India has offered steep cuts to its import tariffs on a range of goods in talks with the US, but is said to be retaining high duties on certain agricultural commodities, according to people familiar with the negotiations.
The FT reports:
Read more here.
Reuters reports:
Read more here.
As the US and European Union negotiate a new trade deal to avoid President Trump-imposed tariffs, it's worth taking a moment to note that the US and the EU have the largest bilateral trade relationship in the world.
According to the Council of the European Union (and converted to USD), the transatlantic trade in goods and services topped 1.8 trillion in 2023 after a post-pandemic surge:
A measure of tariff revenue has spiked this month as importers paid the baseline "Liberation Day" tariffs that went into effect on April 5, along with other duties set by President Trump.
Government receipts for "Customs and Certain Excise Taxes" have already topped $22.3 billion this month, according to Treasury Department data.
Yahoo Finance's Ben Werschkul reports:
Read more here.
Yahoo Finance's Jennifer Schonberger reports:
Read more here.
Yahoo Finance's Josh Schafer reports:
Read more here.
The Chinese Premier Li Qiang has urged Southeast Asian and Gulf states to help create a 'big market', in a bid to counter US efforts to isolate China's economy.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Reuters reports:
Read more here.
Retailers, who have suffered under Trump's tariffs, are increasingly warming to offers to sell in order to escape market volatility that has caused company valuations to seesaw in recent months, according to a report in Reuters.
Reuters reports:
Read more here.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Malaysia's Trade and Industry minister Zafrul Aziz said that the US reducing its proposed tariffs on Malaysia to 10% is a positive move, conceding that a previously hoped for levy of zero may not be possible.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.

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Pam Bondi Curtails American Bar Association's Role in Vetting Trump's Judicial Nominees
Pam Bondi Curtails American Bar Association's Role in Vetting Trump's Judicial Nominees

Time​ Magazine

time14 minutes ago

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Pam Bondi Curtails American Bar Association's Role in Vetting Trump's Judicial Nominees

The Department of Justice has announced that it will be curtailing the ability of the American Bar Association (ABA) to rate candidates for tenure in the federal judiciary. This will hinder the ABA's ability to vet nominations put forth by President Donald Trump. Attorney General Pam Bondi said in a letter to the ABA president William Bay on Thursday, May 29, that she is cutting off the association's access to non-public information about Trump nominees. Bondi referred to the non-partisan membership organization as an 'activist' group. 'Unfortunately, the ABA no longer functions as a fair arbiter of nominees' qualifications, and its ratings invariably and demonstrably favor nominees put forth by Democratic Administrations,' said Bondi, accusing the ABA of having 'bias' in its ratings process. 'There is no justification for treating the ABA differently from such other activist organizations and the Department of Justice will not do so.' Bondi went on to say that judicial nominees will no longer need to provide waivers to allow the ABA access to non-public information, nor will they respond to questionnaires or sit for interviews with the association. In a subsequent social media post, Bondi doubled down, saying: 'The American Bar Association has lost its way, and we do not believe it serves as a fair arbiter of judicial nominees. The Justice Department will no longer give the ABA the access they've taken for granted.' The move against the ABA came a day after Trump announced six new judicial nominees, which included top Justice Department official Emil Bove being put forward to serve as a Judge on the United States Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit. In a post on Truth Social, Trump said that Bove 'will end the weaponization of Justice, restore the rule of law, and do anything else that is necessary to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN.' Bove defended Trump during his hush-money trial, during which the President was convicted on 34 counts. Trump also nominated Kyle Dudek, John Guard, Jordan E. Pratt, and Anne-Leigh Gaylord Moe to serve as Judges on the United States District Court for the Middle District of Florida, and Ed Artau to serve as a Judge on the United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida. The President has previously threatened to revoke the ABA's status as the federally-recognized accreditor of law schools in an Executive Order signed on April 24. As part of his wide-scale crackdown on DEI efforts, Trump said that the ABA has required law schools to demonstrate commitment to diversity and inclusion, something which he says is a "discriminatory requirement" and that "similar unlawful mandates must be permanently eradicated." Critics have recently raised concerns over current practices at the Department of Justice. 'I think what's happening in the Department of Justice right now is that it's being transformed into Donald Trump's personal law firm," said Liz Oyer, the DOJ's former pardon attorney. "The Attorney General has made it clear that directions are coming from the very top, from the President, and she is there to do his bidding.' What is the American Bar Association and what does it do? Founded in 1878, the ABA works on the 'commitment to set the legal and ethical foundation for the American nation,' according to the organization's website. Its main three areas of focus revolve around advocating for the legal profession, eliminating bias and enhancing diversity, as well as advancing the rule of law. It is the ABA Standing Committee on the Federal Judiciary that typically oversees and conducts the judicial nominee vetting process, something it has done since 1953. According to the ABA, the committee 'makes a unique contribution to the vetting process by conducting a thorough peer assessment of each nominee's professional competence, integrity, and judicial temperament.' The organization asserts that these assessments are non-partisan, providing the Senate and sitting Administration with 'confidential assessments of the nominee's professional qualifications.'

Forbes Daily: Supreme Court Gives A Boost To Oil And Gas Billionaires
Forbes Daily: Supreme Court Gives A Boost To Oil And Gas Billionaires

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  • Forbes

Forbes Daily: Supreme Court Gives A Boost To Oil And Gas Billionaires

J.K. Rowling brought magic to multiple generations with her wizarding world—and it's made her a billionaire, again, despite plenty of recent controversy. The Harry Potter author is now worth $1.2 billion, according to Forbes estimates, after previously falling off the Billionaires List in 2012 as a result of charitable giving. That's in spite of the fact that Rowling has placed herself at the center of a culture war, frequently posting anti-transgender rhetoric on social media. Since 2020, she has earned more than $80 million per year from the sales of her books and the vast litany of Potterverse brand extensions. The staying power of the franchise is only set to continue, with a new HBO Max series adaptation of the books going into production this summer. 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A New Working-Class GOP? If 'Working-Class' Means $4.3 Million a Year!
A New Working-Class GOP? If 'Working-Class' Means $4.3 Million a Year!

Yahoo

time18 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

A New Working-Class GOP? If 'Working-Class' Means $4.3 Million a Year!

So much for a new, 'populist' Republican Party. So much for the GOP as a brave band of fiscally prudent, anti-deficit hawks. The 'Big, Beautiful Bill' is a declaration of intellectual bankruptcy, policy incoherence, and political vacuousness. That's its formal name, by the way, and you've already admitted a problem when you have to sell something that hard. It's no wonder that the only way the BBB passed the House was for one opponent to vote 'present' and for two others to miss the vote. One of the absent members fell asleep and missed the vote, an entirely appropriate response to an exercise in philosophical exhaustion. Defending the bill requires twisting facts into the 'alternative' variety and turning the plain meaning of words upside down. For example: The right wingers who demanded more cuts in programs for low-income people are regularly described as 'deficit hawks.' But even if they had gotten all the changes they sought, the bill would have massively increased the deficit. And most of them voted for a final product that will add close to $4 trillion to the nation's indebtedness. If these guys are hawks, I don't know what a dove looks like. Trump and his backers continue to insist that they are building a new working-class Republican coalition. But the astonishing thing about this bill is not only that it lavishes tax cuts on the very well-off; it also takes money away from Americans earning less than $51,000 a year once its cuts in Medicaid, the Affordable Care Act, SNAP, and student loans are counted for. Republicans who rail against 'income redistribution' are doing an awful lot of redistribution themselves—to those who already have lots of money. The Penn Wharton budget model of the near-final version of the bill found that Americans earning less than $17,000 would lose $1,035 under its terms. Those earning between $17,000 and $50,999 would lose $705. But the small number of our fellow citizens who earn more than $4.3 million a year have a lot to cheer about: They pick up $389,280 annually. Please explain to me again why this is a 'populist' Republican Party. It's imperative not to miss what's obvious about this bill—that it ravages lower-income people to benefit the very privileged—and for progressives and Democrats to act on this. But it's also essential to notice what doesn't get enough attention: that so much of the commentary about how Trump has reinvented the GOP with a fresh set of ideas and commitments is poppycock. Trumpism is certainly dangerous and authoritarian in new ways. It is, well, innovative when it comes to a vast and unconstitutional expansion of presidential power. But it's also an ideological mess riddled with contradictions. When you look below the hood, it's primarily about the interests of people who can buy their way into Trump's golf clubs and private pay-for-play dinners—and, especially, about the enrichment of Trump and his family. On the phony populism side, Democrats in the House did a generally good job of highlighting the costs of provisions in the bill that hurt so many of Trump's voters, particularly the cuts in Medicaid and nutrition assistance, or SNAP. Senate Democrats have already ramped up similar efforts as that body's Republican leaders prepare to grapple with the steaming pile of incongruities the House has sent their way. You can tell that Republicans know how unpopular the Medicaid cuts in the bill are because they delayed their effectiveness date to minimize their electoral effect, repeatedly denied they are cutting Medicaid—and don't want to talk at all about how slashing subsidies within the Affordable Care Act would take health coverage away from millions more Americans. They are hiding the Medicaid cuts behind 'work requirements' that are really bureaucratic paperwork requirements that would make it much harder for people with every right to coverage to access it. They would make it more difficult for others to maintain continuous coverage. And if these rules were not about 'cutting' Medicaid, the GOP couldn't claim to be 'cutting' roughly $700 billion in Medicaid spending. But the GOP thinks it has a winner in its work argument. It's a tired but tested replay of a very old (and, yes, offensive) trope about alleged grifters among supposedly 'lazy' poor people. House Speaker Mike Johnson offered a remarkable version of this defense of the 'work' provisions: He said they were aimed at 'the young men who need to be out working instead of playing video games all day.' If ever there was a quote that should go viral, this is it. Young men, after all, shifted toward the Republicans in 2024. They should know what the party many of them voted for thinks of them. More important, progressives need to take the work argument on directly, not only by showing that the work provisions aren't really about work but also by offering amendments replacing the Medicaid cuts with provisions that actually would expand the availability of well-paying opportunities for greater self-sufficiency. Restoring the clean energy tax credits are important not only to battling climate change; they're also about preserving and creating well-paying jobs. A package of proposals on affordable housing, job training, and access to community colleges, particularly in economically depressed areas, would make a nice contrast to those who deny that government has the capacity to improve lives. What the Financial Times' economics columnist Martin Wolf nicely termed 'pluto-populism' when the GOP passed the 2017 tax cuts that this bill extends is alive and well. That populist rhetoric is being married to plutocratic policies is still not recognized widely enough. This is certainly a commentary on the rightward tilt of the media system the editor of this magazine has called out. But it also reflects a failure of Democrats to take the argument to the heart of Trump's base. It's political common sense that parties focus most of their energy on swing states and swing districts. Yet there will be no breaking the 50-50 deadlock in our politics without a concerted effort to change the minds of voters who have drifted to Trump out of frustration with their own economic circumstances and the condition of their regions. The fight over Medicaid and SNAP cuts directly implicates these voters and these places. And these voters pay more attention to these issues than either the Republicans who take them for granted or Democrats who have given up on them believe. When Andy Beshear won his first race for governor of Kentucky in 2019, he not only mobilized Democrats in urban areas; he also flipped many rural counties and cut the Republicans' margins in others. Typical was Carter County in eastern Kentucky. The county went for Beshear even though it had backed his GOP opponent and then-incumbent Republican Governor Matt Bevin four years earlier and gave Trump 73.8 percent of its ballots in 2016. Breathitt County in Appalachia also flipped, having gone for Bevin and voted 69.6 percent for Trump. Fred Cowan, a former Kentucky attorney general and a shrewd student of his state's politics, told me then that these voters understood where their interests lay. 'In a lot of these counties, the school systems or the hospitals—or both—are the biggest employers,' he said 'The Medicaid expansion helped a lot of people over there.' Sure, it's easier for Democrats like Beshear with strong local profiles to make their case. But the national party needs to learn from these politicians that giving up on whole swaths of voters is both an electoral and moral mistake. The emptiness of Republican populism speaks to the larger problem of mistaking Trump's ability to create a somewhat new electoral coalition with intellectual and policy innovation. Some conservative commentators are honest enough to admit how the BBB demonstrates that the 'old Republican Party is still powerful, the old ideas are still dominant,' as Ross Douthat observed in The New York Times. But even Douthat wants to cast the bill as an exception to a bolder transformation the president has engineered, particularly around immigration and a 'Trumpian culture war.' The problem here is that none of this is new, either. The GOP was moving right on immigration well before Trump—when, for example, it killed George W. Bush's immigration bill in 2007 as right-wing media cheered it on. The culture war and the battle against universities are old hat too. The real innovator here was the late Irving Kristol, whose columns in the 1970s introduced Wall Street Journal readers to the dangers posed to business interests by 'the new class' of Hollywood, media, and university types, along with activist lawyers. True, Trump is taking this fight to extreme places Kristol would never have gone. But, again, there's no new thinking here. And the attack on trans rights is just the latest front in the LGBTQ+ debates, now that the right has had to abandon its opposition to same-sex marriage because Americans have come to support it overwhelmingly. Even the contradictions aren't new. Since the Reagan years, Republicans have always talked about the dangers of deficits when Democrats were in power but cast those worries aside when they had the power to cut taxes. 'Reagan proved deficits don't matter' is the canonical Dick Cheney quote from 2002 when he was pushing for more tax cuts in W.'s administration. The exception proves the rule: George H.W. Bush made a deal with Democrats in 1991 that included tax increases because he really did care about deficits—and conservatives never forgave him for it. In an odd way, you have to admire Cheney's candor: At least he admitted what he was doing. The Freedom Caucus members have the gall to yell at the top of their lungs about how they care so very much about the debt—and then vote in overwhelming numbers to pile on billions more. As the debate over the BBB moves to the Senate, the immediate imperative is to expose the damage the bill does to millions of Trump's voters to benefit his Mar-a-Lago and crypto-wealthy friends. But it's also an occasion to shatter the illusion that Trump is some sort of brilliant policy innovator. Extremism and authoritarianism are not new ideas, and his legislative program would be familiar to Calvin Coolidge.

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