2025 Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC: Shapovalov [32nd] vs. Davidovich Fokina [48th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

USA Today

28-02-2025

In the Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC semifinals on Friday, Denis Shapovalov takes on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
Shapovalov has -190 odds to earn a spot in the final with a win over Davidovich Fokina (+145).
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 10:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub. Denis Shapovalov vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina matchup info Tournament: Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC
Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC Round: Semifinal
Semifinal Date: Friday, February 28
Friday, February 28 Court Surface: Hard Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo! Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina Prediction
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Shapovalov has a 65.5% to win. Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina Betting Odds Shapovalov's odds to win match: -190
-190 Davidovich Fokina's odds to win match: +145
+145 Shapovalov's odds to win tournament: +220
+220 Davidovich Fokina's odds to win tournament: +275
Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina matchup performance & stats On hard courts over the past 12 months, Shapovalov has gone 28-11 and has won a pair of titles.
On hard courts over the past 12 months, Shapovalov has won 85.0% of his service games and 25.8% of his return games.
Shapovalov has converted 37.4% of his break-point chances on hard courts (101 of 270) over the past 12 months.
Shapovalov won his previous tournament (the Dallas Open), defeating No. 5-ranked Casper Ruud in the final 7-6, 6-3 on February 9.
Davidovich Fokina is 19-17 in 17 tournaments on hard courts over the past 12 months.
Davidovich Fokina is 335-for-453 in service games on hard courts (74.0%) and 126-for-457 in return games (27.6%).
Davidovich Fokina's 106 break points won on 251 total break points on hard courts (42.2% winning percentage) ranks 14th.
Davidovich Fokina was one step away from the title in his most recent tournament (the Delray Beach Open by VITACOST.com), but he was defeated by No. 56-ranked Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3, 1-6, 5-7 on February 16.
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