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'All the wrong lessons' from Voice referendum 'backfired' on Coalition, analysts say

'All the wrong lessons' from Voice referendum 'backfired' on Coalition, analysts say

Former minister for Indigenous Australians Ken Wyatt has blamed Peter Dutton's "doubling down on culture wars", specifically in Indigenous affairs, as a significant contributor to what LNP insiders have called a "catastrophic" election loss.
"To be divisive on a cultural and socio-economic group that lives with disadvantage is not the way in which you lead a country," the former Liberal National Party MP told the ABC's Indigenous Affairs Team.
"It is about statesman-like leadership; it is about looking at what is good for all within our nation.
"Doubling down on cultural wars, including ethnic minorities in Australia, in respect to particular issues in capital cities, is not the way you bring people forward," he said, adding the party failed to show it was "relevant" to women and young people.
After a Neo-Nazi heckled an ANZAC Day Welcome to Country,
Mr Wyatt said some of the electorate "would have been offended" by Mr Dutton's critiques of Welcome to Countries and his vow not to stand in front of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander flags at official press briefings.
"I previously said that of the 60 per cent of Australians who voted no in the referendum because of the way it was managed, do not abandon their support for Indigenous reform and change," the Noongar, Yamatji and Wongi man said.
Ken Wyatt said the result of the election showed "a rejection of the divisiveness" of the campaign.
(
ABC: Keane Bourke
)
Career pathways, economic stability and home ownership would have been a better strategy in reaching these voters, in Mr Wyatt's view, than "this symbolic, divisive behaviour [and] the Trumpian approach in some of the rhetoric".
Although Mr Dutton has apologised for boycotting the 2008 National Apology to the Stolen Generations — saying he failed to grasp its
"If I take just the simple notion of walking out of the apology, then that is a reflection of a position you hold," he said.
"However, what you would expect of any leader is for them to learn from that and to go back to a fundamental, basic approach of leading this country for all [and] not to be divisive."
Mr Wyatt also had concerns about Senator Jacinta Nampijinpa Price's leadership.
"I have a view about the way in which the portfolio should be handled. I wouldn't handle it the way that Jacinta did," he said.
"So what I'm pleased about is that Malarndirri McCarthy is the minister …
"So there is relief because there was certainly concern about Jacinta becoming minister for Indigenous Australians, some of her commentary have frightened and dismayed a lot of people."
Coalition 'misread' Voice result, says pollster
Pollster Kos Samaras agrees the Coalition "completely misread" the 2023 vote against the Voice.
"They took all the wrong lessons from the referendum and basically inserted their own biases in thinking that Australians have very strong views on the issues of Indigenous rights that are in line with their views," said the Redbridge director.
"They were absolutely incorrect … they obviously thought that the outer suburbs voting no meant that the outer suburbs were animated by this issue, when in reality, they voted no because it wasn't a top-order issue for them."
Redbridge pollster Kos Samaras says young voters swung hard towards the government on polling day.
It is the reason, in Mr Samaras's view, why Liberal leadership embarked on culture war politics that "backfired" for the party and "contributed" to its election loss.
Spending significant time and resources on campaigning against the Voice also hurt the Coalition among gen Z voters, who split two in three towards Labor on preferences, according to the former Victorian Labor strategist.
Liberal member Warren Mundine says a "weak campaign" cost the party in the 2025 election.
(
ABC: Chris Taylor
)
Calling the Liberals' campaign "clumsy", Nyunggai Warren Mundine — who campaigned against the Voice — said he was surprised the party did not do enough early on to capture Labor voters who were opposed to the Voice.
"Everyday Australians, it is about hip pocket," the Liberal member said, adding that "non-issues" Welcome to Countries and flags were currently not important to Australians.
"It weakened their [cost of living] message."
Mr Mundine wanted to see crime highlighted in the campaign, as well as Closing the Gap issues like education and jobs.
"One of the sad things about this election was, it's probably the first time that I've seen a federal election in decades where Aboriginal affairs was not front-and-centre," he said.
Mr Mundine, who missed out on Liberal preselection in the Bradfield electorate earlier this year, added there were "huge problems" within the Coalition and said it must sort out the "factional fighting" and do a lot of "soul-searching".
Labor also 'miscalculated' electorate's Voice vote: Mayo
Prominent Yes campaigner Thomas Mayo says Labor "needs to get serious about policy" for Indigenous people.
(
ABC News: Billy Cooper
)
Thomas Mayo, Yes campaigner and signatory to the Uluru Statement, said "the Coalition put a lot of energy and effort into punching down" on First Nations Australians during the campaign, reflecting "a continuing nastiness" since the referendum.
"They are the party that attacks minorities to try and win some votes, and it didn't work for them this time," the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander author said.
Mr Mayo also accused the prime minister of "walking away" from his 2022 election night commitment to implement the Uluru Statement — including Treaty and Truth-telling — in full.
"He [Mr Dutton] has created a very strong mandate for Labor now that the rejection of the Voice was not a rejection of progress in Indigenous Affairs," he said.
"Labor made a calculation to avoid that to get re-elected … I don't think it was the right calculation."
Senator Kerrynne Liddle says, "this is a time for reflection and review" for the Liberal Party.
(
ABC: Justin Hewitson
)
Liberal senator Kerrynne Liddle said it will take time to work out what happened on the weekend, saying they will be using this time for "reflection and review".
The Arrernte woman dismissed the idea the vote was a rejection by a large part of the electorate of so-called culture war issues.
"I think most of the Australian public would think that it was pretty silly to suggest that it is a single issue that has resulted in the outcome that we've seen."
She said "there is a place for acknowledgements, but it's not every single day, in meetings, within workplaces".
"There is doing the hard work that makes a difference to the lives of those people that need it. That's what I will remain focused on, not putting a prize-winning bunch of words together that make people feel good about it."
The shadow minister, whose portfolio includes child protection, family violence and Indigenous health, remains committed to an audit of Indigenous affairs spending and said the opposition would continue to hold Labor to "account" on these issues.
'Labor pretend to be our friends': Thorpe
Reflecting on the results of the weekend, independent senator Lidia Thorpe said she was "not too impressed" with the outcome.
"We got rid of an overt racist political party, and we've got a covert one," the Gunnai, Gunditjmara and Djab Wurrung woman said.
"I'm disappointed that we didn't get more independents in and more minor parties with seats that could hold Labor accountable for their hollow words on justice for our people."
Senator Lidia Thorpe is disappointed more independents didn't get elected into the 2025 parliament.
(
ABC: Patrick Stone
)
But now Labor has been voted in for a second term, Senator Thorpe — who has long called for Treaty and Truth-telling — said it now had the power to "make a real difference".
"[Under Labor] we see the rise in stolen children, the rise in kids in out-of-home care, we're seeing the rise of incarceration of our people [and] the rise of Black women incarcerated," she said.
"Labor pretend to be our friends, but they stab us all in the back every day, and I am sick of begging the Labor Party to give us the justice that we deserve."
The ABC requested an interview with Minister for Indigenous Affairs Malarndirri McCarthy and Shadow Minister Jacinta Nampijinpa Price.

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Queensland considering making public drunkenness a crime
Queensland considering making public drunkenness a crime

SBS Australia

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  • SBS Australia

Queensland considering making public drunkenness a crime

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Low pharmacy vaping uptake fuels black market fears
Low pharmacy vaping uptake fuels black market fears

The Advertiser

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  • The Advertiser

Low pharmacy vaping uptake fuels black market fears

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But data released by the Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA) found little more than 40,000 vapes were supplied via pharmacists without a prescription in the first seven months of the scheme. That compares with the more than nine million illegal vapes seized since January 2024, showing bulk demand for the product in Australia. The TGA does not know how many vapes were sold via prescriptions, though only about 3000 medical practitioners are approved to prescribe them nationwide. But Health Minister Mark Butler insisted the laws had been effective, because smoking prevalence data had Australia's rates at all-time lows across all age groups. "We're taking on big tobacco on the one hand and organised crime on the other, which continues to use vapes as a ready source of revenue to fund all their other criminal activities," he said. "We know this is not going to be easy, but we're really pleased that our world leading (is) finally turning the corner on this public health scourge." 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Israelis are used to living under conflict but Iran's strikes are making many wary
Israelis are used to living under conflict but Iran's strikes are making many wary

ABC News

time5 hours ago

  • ABC News

Israelis are used to living under conflict but Iran's strikes are making many wary

The streets around Jerusalem are eerily quiet and empty. Since Israel launched strikes into Iran late last week in what it says is an existential fight for its future, it feels like life inside Israel has come to a standstill. In Jerusalem, schools, some restaurants, and even businesses including banks are closed. Residents are heeding warnings to stay inside, anticipating another wave of retaliatory Iranian missiles at any moment. In Tel Aviv, people have been hauling sleeping bags and pillows into bomb shelters night after night. The mood feels tense and uncertain, even for a population that's very used to combat. The last time Israel was thrust into a similar societal standstill was in the days following the October 7 Hamas attacks in 2023 and the start of the Israel-Gaza war. Since then, Israel has been engaged in non-stop combat, it says sometimes on at least seven different fronts. So most Israelis are used to living under conflict. But now Israel is hooked in yet another, potentially more dangerous war. There seems to be a widespread fear among civilians here that this moment in warfare is more dangerous, and different than all the others. "Just when you think you're scraping the bottom of the barrel, it gets deeper," one person told the ABC. It's not unusual for Israelis to receive an incoming rocket-alert notification on their phone, or for air-raid style sirens to ring out through the air. The aerial defence systems Israel relies on to protect against outside threats have traditionally given Israelis confidence that their loved ones would be relatively safe under attack, especially in larger population areas like Tel Aviv. There has long been a feeling here that while ongoing war is uncomfortable, Israel's defence capabilities would ensure civilian safety was largely guaranteed. But that sense of security has been shattered in recent days as the defences are being put through their biggest test ever and the cracks are showing. Iran is a far more formidable foe than other opponents Israel has engaged in war in the last 18 months, like Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon. The power, and strength of Iran's weapons cache is potent. It is estimated Iran has thousands of ballistic missiles, which Tehran has stockpiled for years and is now unleashing on Israel in retaliation. Hundreds of Iranian rockets have been launched into Israeli airspace over the last few days, and despite Israel's advanced aerial defence systems, several are making landfall. Even the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) concedes it doesn't have the capabilities to stop all the missiles when overwhelmed with a volley of hundreds. Civilians, who live near major Iranian targets including the IDF's main headquarters in Tel Aviv, are increasingly scared. Over the weekend, some limitations in Israel's fight against Iran were exposed when a rocket smashed into a residential complex in the central Israeli city of Bat Yam killing at least six people, including a 10-year-old boy and eight-year-old girl. Despite Israel's attempts to intercept the ongoing waves of missiles, the last few days have reminded residents here that if even one of Iran's more powerful rockets can get through, it can cause mass civilian causalities. The reality of war against an advanced opponent like Iran has left Israelis scared, and in shock. Local social media groups have been flooded with fevered questions on how to leave the country with Israel's airspace remaining closed. There are hours-long queues at land border crossings into Egypt and Jordan — currently the only way to exit Israel. Israel's Health Ministry has also reported it has been inundated with calls to its emotional support hotlines since the fighting with Iran broke out. People on the ground have told the ABC their sense of security has been rocked — and it is likely to get worse. If Iran continues to fire even at least 100 missiles per day, it will potentially keep Israel's home front under heavy pressure for weeks, or perhaps even months. In such a scenario, the likelihood of rising civilian casualties is high. It's too early to tell what the appetite is here amongst Israelis for a protracted conflict with Iran. A lot of people agree that the threat Iran poses to Israel is so big that it has warranted Israel's extraordinary strikes that kicked off the war. But for a war-weary community, the reaction from Iran may mean this could start to feel like one fight too far.

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