Increased chances of rain and storms for central Florida during the week
It was a much warmer end to the weekend and the work week will start with higher chances of rain and storms.
A few showers and an isolated storm remain possible this evening, but most will stay dry.
Expect variable clouds overnight, with morning lows in the low 70s.
Moisture is expected to move back into the area on Monday, increasing the chances of rain and storms in the afternoon and evening.
The best chance for activity will be south of Orlando, with highs in the upper 80s.
Even more moisture rushes in for midweek. Tuesday and Wednesday will feature elevated rain and storm chances, primarily in the afternoon and evening hours.
Highs both days will be in the upper 80s.
The active weather pattern will likely continue through the end of the work week. Expect decent coverage or rain and storms on Thursday and Friday, with temperatures in the upper 80s and low 90s.
Scattered showers and storms will also be possible for next weekend.
Sunday started the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
No significant activity is expected to start the season and quiet conditions are expected for the next seven days.
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Washington Post
32 minutes ago
- Washington Post
A thick plume of Saharan dust is headed toward Florida
A plume of thick dust suspended in the atmosphere is moving westward across the Caribbean Sea and is expected to reach Florida on Wednesday. Areas in its path can expect haze, locally poor air quality and the potential for vibrant morning and evening skies. The plume has meandered thousands of miles across the Atlantic Ocean from its source on the continent of Africa, already reducing visibility in Puerto Rico and nearby locations. Technically called the Saharan Air Layer (SAL), this dust is a relatively common feature overall. Carried westward by the trade winds that kick up hurricane season, it is also somewhat unusual to see SAL survive the journey across the ocean in this way. The dust will be thickest through Thursday, but the SAL eventually runs into an area of lighter winds aloft that will allow it to sit and dissipate around Florida through the rest of the week. There may be multiple days of fiery sunrises and sunsets as a result. As the name implies, the SAL is born in the desert of Africa. The dust is formed by light, dry sands and other minerals. They require a jet stream positioned correctly to send them westward. At other times, SAL might shoot northward toward Europe. This batch can be seen stirring up over Africa, particularly in and near Chad, during the latter part of May. The same winds that drive tropical disturbances westward off the African continent pick up the dust and move it along as well. Most years have some, but excessive levels of dust can augment storm development since it stifles cloud development and can lower sea surface temperatures if it lingers. Similar to dense wildfire smoke, fine particles contained in Saharan dust can be harmful if people are exposed persistently or in large quantity, particularly for anyone with respiratory issues. In the Caribbean and United States, by the time Saharan dust makes the 4,000-plus mile trek, it is typically mostly aloft with minimal impact on surface air quality. This minimizes risks to population but creates the appearance of thin clouds in midday skies. The current batch of SAL was passing Puerto Rico and surrounding locations Monday and will continue to do so Tuesday. San Juan weather observations showed periodic reports of haze and visibility as low as 6 miles over recent days. 'The SAL will result in degraded air quality and hazy skies across the islands,' the National Weather Service wrote in a technical discussion. '[It] will also contribute to warmer-than-normal temperatures, especially during nighttime hours, reducing radiational cooling and contributing to hotter minimum temperatures each morning.' High pressure to the north of the Caribbean and lower pressure in the eastern Gulf of Mexico will help draw the dust toward the Bahamas and Florida through Wednesday. Code yellow 'moderate' air quality conditions are forecast in South Florida given the likelihood of increased particulates in the air. The dust plume should eventually dissipate in and around the Sunshine State but some of it may reach other portions of the Gulf Coast and Southeast U.S. in lesser quantities. Although the SAL tends to squash precipitation chances versus what they would be without it, the two can intermix. In locations that occurs, some so-called dirty rain may fall. The dust particles floating in the atmospheric column where air rises and condenses into storms gets picked up, nucleates into raindrops then falls to earth. It's probably not so noticeable during rainfall, but when the storm has ended and the raindrops have dried, dusty residue is left behind. This is particularly true on metal or dark objects. It's difficult to make much of this and recent bouts of dusty air off the Sahara. Most seasons do have some and it is most common early in the season. Sea surface temperatures across the Atlantic basin are running above average for the date, and the same can be said in the main development region where tropical waves tend to form. Thus far, impact from dust has been minimal. Forecasts call for an active season, a common theme of the past decade in the Atlantic Ocean and across much of the globe.


New York Times
34 minutes ago
- New York Times
MLB teams most likely to be sellers at trade deadline — and the players they could shop
With the calendar flipping to June, the MLB trade deadline is less than two months away. That leaves about eight weeks for contending teams to make deals to acquire players to improve their rosters, and eight weeks for non-contenders to start to rebuild for 2026 and beyond. Of course, there's a lot of baseball to be played between now and the July 31 deadline, but the landscape is starting to take shape. So let's begin to take stock, with the caveat that there will be changes along the way that no one can foresee. Advertisement Below are the nine teams that I currently believe will become 'sellers' at this year's trade deadline, but keep in mind several other teams that remain in contention now will join this list by the All-Star break (or shortly thereafter). It's pretty obvious, based on their records and low expectations entering the season, that the Rockies, White Sox, Pirates, Athletics, Marlins and Angels will be selling. Meanwhile, the Nationals, although hovering around .500, are a year away from legitimately contending, so they, too, need to focus on future seasons, and I expect them to ultimately be sellers. That leaves two surprise sellers on my initial list: the Orioles and Diamondbacks. At the start of the season, I thought both would make the playoffs as wild-card teams, but they've underperformed. Their pitching staffs have been riddled with injuries and just haven't delivered. The Orioles' staff ranks 28th in the majors with a 5.27 ERA, while the D-Backs' pitchers haven't fared much better (24th, 4.81 ERA). Baltimore is in worse shape, in the standings and overall — Arizona's offense ranks fourth in MLB in OPS and fifth in runs scored — but both teams have dug holes and, barring a change in fortune, it's probably best they become sellers. As the Orioles and Diamondbacks weigh whether to sell, they'll consider that they could become the headliners of this trade deadline in a sellers' market. They could both make shrewd trade deadline deals, then enter the offseason a key free agent or two away from contending again next year. Since most of this year's likely sellers don't have a lot of talent to trade, Baltimore and Arizona could take advantage of the lackluster market. The Orioles could dangle impact bat Ryan O'Hearn (175 OPS+), elite center fielder Cedrick Mullins and veteran starting pitchers such as Zach Eflin and Tomoyuki Sugano. The Diamondbacks, particularly if they learn ace Corbin Burnes will miss significant time with an elbow injury, could make starting pitchers Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly available in trade talks and could put first baseman Josh Naylor on the trade market too. All seven of those players are impending free agents. Advertisement It can be a tough and unpopular call to sell in these situations, and both teams have time to make that decision. Both expected to play in the postseason this year, but if they instead play at the trade deadline, then next year they could be in a much stronger position for October baseball. For now, here is my take on the nine teams that I believe will be sellers at the trade deadline, along with the players they could shop or contenders would covet. Starting pitchers: The Rockies don't have much to trade from their majors-worst rotation, but a team could take a chance on Kyle Freeland, who has posted a 4.29 ERA over six road starts this season. Freeland, 32, is making $16 million this year and will earn $16 million in 2026, plus has a $17 million vesting option for 2027 that's triggered if he reaches 170 innings next year. He's a back-of-the-rotation lefty who could benefit from a change of scenery and not having to pitch half his games in Coors Field. Relief pitchers: Colorado could dangle its two closers, Zach Agnos and Seth Halvorsen, or even set-up relievers such as Jake Bird and Victor Vodnik. The historically bad Rockies are in no position to hang onto relievers if they could be dealt for either starting pitching prospects or everyday position players at any level. Catchers/Infielders: Veteran third baseman Ryan McMahon is a trade candidate with the positional flexibility to also play second base. He's signed through 2027 and will make $32 million over the final two years of the contract. However, he has struggled this year at the plate (83 OPS+) and just doesn't have the trade value he possessed in the past four years, when he averaged 20-plus home runs per season. Shortstop Ezequiel Tovar is their most valuable infielder, but he's an important building block and not going anywhere. Advertisement Outfielders/DH: Their most valuable outfielder, center fielder Brenton Doyle, is having a down year, but the two-time Gold Glove Award winner is a keeper for the long term. Jordan Beck has some value, but the second-year major leaguer is unlikely to be moved. Most likely to be traded: LHP Kyle Freeland, 3B Ryan McMahon, RHP Seth Halvorsen Starting pitchers: The White Sox are developing a young rotation that includes Shane Smith, Sean Burke, Davis Martin and Jonathan Cannon — none of whom is expected to get traded. Adrian Houser, the lone healthy veteran in their rotation, could be dealt to a team looking for back-of-the-rotation depth. Relief pitchers: Steven Wilson will probably be traded. The veteran righty will be arbitration-eligible for two more years. He's allowed only one run over his past seven appearances and has a 2.16 ERA on the season. Catchers/Infielders: Miguel Vargas is the only infielder the White Sox could get nibbles on. The ex-Dodger has had a solid season at third base with eight homers, 15 doubles and 26 RBIs, and he has some positional flexibility. However, Vargas is only 25 years old and Chicago is not looking to trade him. Outfielders/DH: Luis Robert Jr. is their top trade chip, but he's had a brutal start to the season, batting just .177 with a .266 on-base percentage. He does have five homers and 21 stolen bases and plays plus defense in center field, but — unless he starts raking in June and July — the White Sox's asking price will have to come way down. Most likely to be traded: CF Luis Robert Jr., RHP Adrian Houser and RHP Stephen Wilson Starting pitchers: The Pirates can shop veteran lefty Andrew Heaney, an impending free agent. He has posted a 3.39 ERA over 12 starts and can help eat innings at the back of a rotation. They are less likely to trade from the rest of their rotation, which includes ace Paul Skenes, Mitch Keller and Bailey Falter along with Jared Jones, who underwent season-ending elbow surgery. Advertisement Relief pitchers: Pittsburgh has several relievers to trade including closers Dennis Santana and David Bednar, who are a combined 11-for-11 in save opportunities this season, and veteran lefty relievers Caleb Ferguson and Ryan Borucki. Catchers/Infielders: Second baseman Adam Frazier and shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa can be shopped, but they would be merely extra players on a contending team rather than starting, like they do for Pittsburgh. The Pirates could explore trading third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes, but he's having another poor offensive season and his power has never arrived. Hayes is signed through 2029, and although he'll make an affordable $7.5 million annually over the next four years and deliver strong defense, most teams wouldn't want his contract. Outfielders/DH: It's unlikely the Pirates trade any of their outfielders. Oneil Cruz, their best player, isn't going anywhere. Bryan Reynolds is having a down year and is owed more than $15 million per year through 2030. DH Andrew McCutchen is expected to finish his career as a Pirate. Most likely to be traded: LHP Andrew Heaney, RHP Dennis Santana, 2B/OF Adam Frazier Starting pitchers: The A's could listen to inquiries on lefty Jeffrey Springs, whom they acquired in a trade with the Rays in the offseason, and fellow southpaw JP Sears; both have multiple years of team control. It's not like they'd want to move either, but they'd at least listen in case they get a compelling offer. Relief pitchers: Every contender would want the A's closer, Mason Miller, but there is no indication they'll trade him. Don't be surprised if they at least listen on Miller, who is under team control through 2029, as he could bring back a franchise-changing haul in prospects. It's more likely they move righty Tyler Ferguson, who has a 3.76 ERA over 27 appearances. Catchers/Infielders: The A's have a solid young infield but they're movable pieces are backup players such as Miguel Andujar (strained oblique), Luis Urías or Gio Urshela (hamstring strain). However, two of the three are on the injured list and none of them has much trade value. Advertisement Outfielders/DH: It's unlikely an outfielder or DH is moved. Most likely to be traded: LHP Jeffrey Springs, RHP Tyler Ferguson, 3B/OF Miguel Andujar Starting pitchers: After losing their best starter (Corbin Burnes) in free agency to the Diamondbacks last offseason and their next best starter (Grayson Rodriguez) to the IL this season with elbow inflammation, the Orioles will need to listen to trade offers on the rest of their rotation to begin their reboot in earnest. Tomoyuki Sugano is having a solid first year in MLB (3.23 ERA over 11 starts), but he's 35 years old. Zach Eflin will be a free agent at season's end, so dealing the righty for prospects and then trying to re-sign him in the offseason probably makes sense. Also, despite his poor start to the season, if Charlie Morton (6.20 ERA) can put together a string of good outings, he's another veteran who could be traded. Relief pitchers: The Orioles don't want to move their impact closer, Félix Bautista, who is under team control through 2027, but they'll at least listen to see if they get an overwhelming offer. Otherwise, veterans such as righty Seranthony Domínguez and lefty Gregory Soto, both impending free agents, should be traded. The Orioles might even listen to inquiries on Yennier Cano and Keegan Akin to see if some team will offer solid pitching prospects in return. They must rebuild their pitching staff with younger arms. Catchers/Infielders: The Orioles can shop both of their first base/DH power bats in Ryan O'Hearn and Ryan Mountcastle. O'Hearn, who is slashing .329/.416/.535 with nine homers and 22 RBIs, has the most trade value of any Orioles player. He will be a free agent after this season. Mountcastle is on the IL with a strained hamstring but his raw right-handed power still has some value. That said, his home run totals have declined every year since 2021. Outfielders/DH: Cedric Mullins is also on the IL with a strained hamstring but should be healthy by the trade deadline. An elite defensive center fielder, Mullins is having a solid offensive year with 10 homers, eight steals and a 123 OPS+ in 50 games. He will be a free agent after the season. Most likely to be traded: 1B/DH Ryan O'Hearn, CF Cedric Mullins, RHP Zach Eflin Advertisement Starting pitchers: In March, Sandy Alcantara was expected to be a headliner of this year's trade deadline, but he hasn't been able to regain his Cy Young Award form of 2022 after returning from Tommy John surgery. It would be foolish for the Marlins to swap Alcantara with his ERA so high (8.47 ERA) and trade value so low. They'll need to wait until the offseason or next year's deadline — he's under team control through 2027 — before they consider trading him. The rest of the Marlins' rotation consists of 25- to 27-year-old starters like Max Meyer, Ryan Weathers and Edward Cabrera who are building blocks. That leaves veteran Cal Quantrill as the only likely trade chip from this group, but he has a 5.84 ERA over 11 starts. Relief pitchers: The Marlins could listen to offers on some of their relievers including Ronny Henriquez (2.20 ERA, 12.6 strikeouts per nine innings), Jesus Tinoco (5.12 ERA, four saves), Calvin Faucher (4.95 ERA, four saves) and Anthony Bender (1.52 ERA). Catchers/Infielders: They really don't have anything to trade in the infield as it is filled with young, developing players with minimal service time. Outfielders/DH: The same can be said for the outfield and DH positions, though right fielder Jesús Sánchez is an exception. He will be arbitration-eligible in 2026 and is a left-handed bat (109 OPS+) some contending teams could chase. Most likely to be traded: RF Jesús Sánchez, RHP Cal Quantrill, RHP Anthony Bender Starting pitchers: The Angels could shop their best starter, Yusei Kikuchi (3.06 ERA), but it's unlikely they trade the lefty after signing him to a three-year, $63 million deal to headline their offseason. They could dangle José Soriano or Tyler Anderson, both of whom have ERAs under 3.90 this season. Anderson, 35, will be a free agent after this season. Advertisement Relief pitchers: Kenley Jansen is 12-for-12 in save opportunities and should have some trade value. Other relievers who could get moved include Ryan Zeferjahn and Brock Burke. Catchers/Infielders: Veteran catcher Travis d'Arnaud could get traded to a contender as could versatile infielder Luis Rengifo and maybe even third baseman Yoán Moncada (IL). D'Arnaud is signed through 2026, while the other two are impending free agents. Outfielders/DH: Left fielder Taylor Ward could bring back the best prospect package. He has 16 homers and 11 doubles with a .271 on-base percentage and is under team control through next year. Jorge Soler and his power bat could be traded again, and it probably makes sense for the Angels to get out of his contract ($16 million per year through 2026) if possible. Most likely to be traded: LF Taylor Ward, RHP Kensley Jansen, LHP Tyler Anderson Starting pitchers: Veterans Michael Soroka and Trevor Williams could get moved if they have a strong run of starts in June and July. Both are back-of-the-rotation inning-eaters at this point. Relief pitchers: The Nationals didn't trade closer Kyle Finnegan at last year's trade deadline and then were able to re-sign him in the offseason on an affordable one-year contract. Finnegan has 16 saves and a 2.61 ERA, and I'll be surprised if he isn't traded at this year's deadline. Lefty Andrew Chafin, who has been traded at the deadline two years in a row, could be on the move again. He has a 2.00 ERA in 12 appearances and left-handed batters are hitting .200 against him. Catchers/infielders: The only infielders who could get traded are utility types such as Amed Rosario and Paul DeJong, the latter of whom is on the IL with a broken nose. Outfielders/DH: They won't trade from their young outfield of James Wood in left, Robert Hassell III in center and Dylan Crews in right, although if center fielder Jacob Young comes back healthy from a sprained shoulder, he could get moved. He's a plus defender who can really run in center, ranking in the 94th percentile in sprint speed and the 85th percentile in outs above average (defensive range). In addition, Josh Bell could be traded again, but he'll have to perform much better in June and July for anyone to have interest. Advertisement Most likely to be traded: RHP Kyle Finnegan, CF Jacob Young, LHP Andrew Chafin Starting pitchers: Corbin Burnes underwent an MRI after exiting Sunday's game with an elbow issue. If the Diamondbacks get bad news on Burnes, they could become surprise sellers at the trade deadline, and if that happens, they could trade Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly as both are impending free agents. Gallen is having a subpar year — he's logged a 5.54 ERA, more than two runs over his career mark — and would have to pitch much better over his next five to six starts for the Diamondbacks to get anything close to his value if he were pitching at his accustomed level. Relief pitchers: The Diamondbacks could shop veteran relievers such as Shelby Miller, Jalen Beeks, Ryan Thompson and Kendall Graveman, all of whom are in their 30s. Catchers/Infielders: Arizona made a great trade in the offseason to land first baseman Josh Naylor, but if they pivot to selling, he will probably get dealt again given he's in his free-agent walk year. Naylor, 27, would be an excellent fit for the Seattle Mariners or Cincinnati Reds. Outfielders/DH: Randal Grichuk could be dealt to a team that needs an extra outfielder; he has some power and has learned how to come off the bench successfully. Most likely to be traded: RHP Zac Gallen, 1B Josh Naylor, RHP Shelby Miller (Top image photos: Ryan O'Hearn: Winslow Townson / Getty Images; Taylor Ward: Ezra Shaw / Getty Images)


New York Times
35 minutes ago
- New York Times
Deportation flights accelerate, reaching a high under Trump.
President Trump's mass deportation plans appear to have accelerated in May, with Immigration and Customs Enforcement flying more removal flights than in any other month since he took office, according to public flight data collected by Tom Cartwright, an immigration advocate who tracks ICE flights. The latest government data shows the number of daily deportees averaged about 850 per day in the first two weeks of May, following a gradual climb since early March. The increasing pace of ICE removal flights through the month suggests deportation numbers could continue to trend upward in June.