
Swiss Manufacturing Jumps on Hope for Tariff Deal With US
Swiss manufacturing rose much more than anticipated in June, reflecting hope that a solution to the ongoing tariff spat with the US can be found as the July 9 deadline looms.
The Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 49.6 from 42.1 in May, the third-largest change in the indicator's history, UBS and procure.ch said on Tuesday. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had expected a smaller increase.

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Starmer defends his record in power as biggest revolt of his premiership looms
Sir Keir Starmer has defended his Government's record over its first year in office, all while he faces the largest revolt of his premiership. The Prime Minister insisted at a meeting of senior ministers that his team could look back with a 'real sense of pride and achievement' as the July 5 anniversary of his first year in office nears. The Government's work has focused on giving working people a 'chance to thrive, not just survive', a Downing Street spokesman said, as Labour backbenchers continue to threaten a rebellion over welfare reforms they insist will have a negative impact on disabled people. The welfare reform Bill will have its first airing in the Commons on Tuesday, and some Labour backbenchers continue to say they will vote to halt the legislation, after a much larger rebellion was quelled by ministers last week. Sir Keir opened the Cabinet meeting on Tuesday morning by telling senior ministers the welfare reforms are 'designed to help those who can work into employment and ensure dignity and security for those who can't work', a No 10 spokesman said. 'He then reflected on the last year in office, saying we could all rightly look back with a real sense of pride and achievement,' the spokesman added. No 10 pointed to the three trade deals struck with India, the US, and the EU, the extra investment in the spending review, and a cut in NHS waiting lists among the Government's achievements one year on. The spokesman added: 'He said the Government's work is all designed and focused on improving the lives of working people and giving them the chance to thrive, not just survive, and the Government should be proud of those achievements as a team.' Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds had earlier urged Labour MPs to back the reforms package, and warned that retreating entirely from them would mean losing the chance to 'make any changes for the better whatsoever' and undermining 'public support'. 'I'd ask (colleagues) to support the Government on that basis, because clearly what we've got here is something which is better than the existing system,' Mr Reynolds told Sky News on Tuesday morning. Ministers hope a partial U-turn on the benefit cuts, which will protect existing claimants of personal independence payments (Pip) and the health element of universal credit, are enough to win over Labour rebels. Ahead of the Universal Credit and Personal Independent Payment Bill's second reading in the Commons on Tuesday evening, 39 Labour backbenchers have signed an amendment aimed at halting its progress. Leading rebel Rachael Maskell has warned 'many more' have told her they still plan to vote against the Government's plans than those who have signed up. Asked whether MPs would lose the whip for voting against the Government, Mr Reynolds said he was 'not aware of anything like that' but 'those issues are for the chief whip'. To see off the threat of far greater rebellion, the Government last week softened the impact of its changes to protect some 370,000 existing Pip claimants who had been set to lose out following reassessment. Some 126 Labour MPs had signed that previous 'reasoned amendment' proposed by Treasury Committee chairwoman Dame Meg Hillier, which would have stopped the legislation if approved. Ministers also committed to a review of the system, involving disabled people and led by disabilities minister Sir Stephen Timms, and unfreezing the higher UC rate for those already claiming the health-related element. But critics have argued the concessions risk creating a 'three-tier' system of disparity between existing and new claimants, as well as any future changes that emerge as a result of the Timms review. Facing questions from broadcasters on Tuesday morning, Mr Reynolds insisted it was 'entirely normal' for existing entitlements to be 'grandfathered' during major changes to the welfare system.
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UBS announces new $2bn share buyback programme
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Japan's Trade Strategy Tested as Trump Pushes for Quick Deals
(Bloomberg) -- Japan's efforts to maintain a steady, friendly approach to trade negotiations are being tested as President Donald Trump ramps up pressure for a deal ahead of a looming tariff deadline. Struggling Downtowns Are Looking to Lure New Crowds Philadelphia Transit System Votes to Cut Service by 45%, Hike Fares Squeezed by Crowds, the Roads of Central Park Are Being Reimagined Sprawl Is Still Not the Answer With higher US tariffs set to take effect on July 9, Tokyo's cautious strategy has yet to deliver a breakthrough, raising the risk that it could become an easy target in the Trump administration's push for fast wins. Unlike China, which has taken a more retaliatory stance to US pressure, Japan remains dependent on Washington for trade and security, leaving Tokyo with little appetite for direct confrontation. Instead, chief trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa is likely to stick to his playbook of keeping talks frequent, polite and firm, not wanting to risk a bad deal with a national vote looming on July 20. 'The government is stuck between US expectations and domestic pressure not to give up too much before the election,' said Rintaro Nishimura, an associate at The Asia Group. Trump has stepped up his rhetoric. After lambasting Japan for not buying enough US cars in an interview that aired Sunday, he followed up with a social media post attacking 'spoiled countries' and singled out Japan for not importing US rice. 'They won't take our RICE, and yet they have a massive rice shortage,' Trump said. He then reiterated a threat to unilaterally inform Japan of the tariff levels the US would apply. 'In other words, we'll just be sending them a letter, and we love having them as a Trading Partner for many years to come.' Japanese officials responded cautiously on Tuesday, trying not to inflame tensions. Akazawa — who's made seven trips to Washington in recent months — may have had the most reason to be frustrated. On his latest visit, he didn't get to meet Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and two of his three conversations with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick happened over the phone. 'Most times I'm taking off from Haneda Airport without a confirmed schedule of meetings,' Akazawa said Tuesday on his return to Tokyo. Yet despite the hurdles, he projected confidence that repeated talks and relationship-building will eventually lead to a mutually acceptable deal. 'We expect a package to span various fields and become quite extensive, so there are still points where the two sides are not on the same page,' he said. 'We find both the reciprocal and sectoral tariffs unfortunate. So we won't be able to say we have protected our national interests unless both of them are addressed.' Investors, for now, are keeping calm amid the trade negotiations. 'The bark is worse than the bite,' said Rajeev De Mello, Geneva-based portfolio manager at Gama Asset Management SA. 'I expect that the US will delay most of the excess tariffs but keep a 10% rate.' Japan's Strategy Japan's pitch to Washington has centered on jobs and investment, especially in the auto industry. Ishiba's team is pushing to reduce a steep 25% tariff on Japanese cars and lower the planned across-the-board duties from 24% set to take effect on July 9. Tokyo is also offering cooperation on shipbuilding and increased spending on US semiconductors and liquefied natural gas as sweeteners. That jobs-first message has worked before. Trump dropped his opposition to Nippon Steel's takeover of US Steel after Japan stressed its commitment to American workers. But a strategy that worked in the boardroom may not be enough to move the dial at the national level. 'The message from the Trump administration is that it wants something big. The Japanese are patching things together and hoping that it sticks,' Nishimura said. The stakes are high for Tokyo. Japan's auto industry accounts for nearly 10% of the country's gross domestic product and employs around 8% of the workforce, making it a vital growth engine Ishiba is under pressure to defend. While some level of tariffs on cars seems inevitable, officials hope to bring them down closer to 10% to show progress at home. One option could be to open Japan's rice market in exchange for concessions on cars. But that's politically sensitive. The ruling Liberal Democratic Party has long relied on support from the farming sector to retain seats in rural areas, and any move seen as giving up the agricultural lobby to protect the auto industry would risk alienating that voting base. Akazawa has said Japan won't sacrifice farmers in the trade deals. Agriculture Minister Shinjiro Koizumi said he will support talks that maximize the benefits for Japan. Japan will need to make broader gestures, such as removing non-tariff barriers on car imports and lowering duties on its agricultural products including rice, according to Kenichi Kawasaki, a professor at the National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies. Even then, he expects US car tariffs of about 10% to remain. Akazawa has chosen his words carefully as Japan navigates the looming July 9 trade deadline. While acknowledging the milestone, he has made clear Tokyo won't be pressured into a deal it doesn't want. Trump for weeks has sought to exert leverage with negotiating partners ahead of the deadline, vowing to cut short talks with those he sees as being difficult and instead send them letters setting tariff rates. Asked if Akazawa will quickly disclose to the media if a letter from Trump arrives, he smiled. 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