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FIRST READING: Here's just how much money Canada Post is hemorrhaging

FIRST READING: Here's just how much money Canada Post is hemorrhaging

National Post4 days ago

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Canada Post, meanwhile, cites 62,000 employees, including part-time workers and managers.
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If the $1.3 billion loss is averaged across all those 62,000 employees, that's $20,967 each. If averaged just across CUPW members, it's $23,636. And if you consider that Canada Post lost $1.3 billion in 2024 while maintaining 25,000 front-line mail carriers, it averages out to $52,000 per carrier.
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The number of retail post offices in Canada stands at 5,700. This ranges from a post office counter at the back of a Shoppers Drug Mart to an ever-dwindling number of dedicated post offices, mostly in large urban centres.
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Some of those are more profitable than others, but in 2024 Canada Post lost an average of $228,000 for every one of those retail post offices.
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You could also average out the loss by the corporation's vehicle fleet of 15,300. The 2024 loss averages out to $85,000 for every truck and postal van. In other words, with the money lost in 2024, Canada Post could have replaced every single one of its vehicle fleet with a luxury EV.
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The corporation notes multiple times in the report that even as mail delivery becomes increasingly unprofitable, they're having to serve more addresses than ever before.
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In 2006, there were 14.3 million recognized addresses in Canada. As of the latest count, there are 17.6 million – a total increase of 3.3 million. To put it another way, every day since 2006 has yielded an average of 502 new addresses that have to be serviced by Canada Post. Every three minutes yields another address that Canada Post is legally required to service.
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If last year's operating loss was shared equally across all of those 17.6 million addresses, Canada Post lost $76 for every single one of them. If averaged out across the 21,800 delivery routes served by the corporation, it's a loss of $60,000 per route.
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Although the Carney government has controversially planned to not release a budget until the fall, that doesn't mean they won't be spending incredibly high quantities of money in the interim. The just-released main spending estimates show that the Liberals are planning to spend $486.9 billion across the fiscal year. This is 7.75 per cent higher than the expenditures during the last year of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau – and he ultimately resigned in part due to criticisms that he was spending too much. The National Post's John Ivison noted that whatever Prime Minister Mark Carney's rhetoric about fiscal prudence, more money is being spent everywhere, and on everything. 'My rough calculation is that 63 departments will see their budgets rise beyond the rate of inflation, compared to the previous year's Main Estimates, and only 14 will have their budgets cut,' he wrote.
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There was a brief flurry of drama in the United States this week that could have saved Canada a lot of trouble. On Wednesday, the United States' Court of International Trade ruled that U.S. President Donald Trump did not have unilateral authority to impose international trade tariffs. If the ruling had held, it would have instantaneously ended the Trump trade war with Canada — as well as its on-again, off-again trade war with basically everyone else. But it didn't hold; the United States Court of Appeals restored Trump's unilateral tariff powers the next day. And this is where we should mention that the U.S. Congress could rescind Trump's tariff-making powers anytime it wants. It just doesn't want to.
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Stock Indexes Rebound on Strength in Chip Makers and Energy Stocks
Stock Indexes Rebound on Strength in Chip Makers and Energy Stocks

Globe and Mail

time10 minutes ago

  • Globe and Mail

Stock Indexes Rebound on Strength in Chip Makers and Energy Stocks

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) Monday closed up +0.41%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) closed up +0.08%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed up +0.71%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25) are up +0.60%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQM25) are up +0.80%. Stock indexes on Monday recovered from early losses and settled higher. Strength in chip stocks led the broader market higher on Monday. Also, energy producers rallied after the price of WTI crude rose more than +2% to a 1-1/2 week high. In addition, US steel and aluminum producers soared Monday after President Trump pledged to double tariffs on US steel and aluminum imports to 50% from 25%. Stocks on Monday initially moved lower due to an escalation of trade tensions between the US and China. On Monday, China's Ministry of Commerce accused the US of unilaterally introducing new discriminatory restrictions, including new guidelines on AI chip export controls, curbs on chip design software sales to China, and the revocation of Chinese student visas, and vowed to take measures to defend its interests. The latest flare-up threatens to worsen trade relations even after President Trump expressed hope he will speak with Chinese President Xi Jinping this week to accelerate a trade truce. Economic concerns were also bearish for stocks after Monday's news showed US manufacturing activity last month unexpectedly contracted by the most in 6 months, and April construction spending unexpectedly declined. In addition, higher bond yields on Monday were bearish for stocks. The 10-year T-note yield Monday rose +6 bp to 4.46% as escalating trade tensions between the US and China led to a broad selloff of dollar assets, including Treasuries. Also, Monday's 2% jump in the price of WTI crude to a 1-1/2 week high has boosted inflation expectations, a hawkish factor for Fed policy. The US May ISM manufacturing index unexpectedly fell -0.2 to 48.5, weaker than expectations of an increase to 49.5 and the steepest pace of expansion in 6 months. US Apr construction spending unexpectedly fell -0.4% m/m, weaker than expectations of a +0.2% m/m increase. Fed comments on Monday were mostly supportive of stocks and bonds. Fed Governor Waller said, "Assuming that the effective tariff rate settles close to my lower tariff scenario, that underlying inflation continues to make progress to our 2% goal, and that the labor market remains solid, I would be supporting good news rate cuts later this year." Also, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee said the Fed can proceed with interest rate cuts if uncertainty around trade policy is resolved. On the negative side, Dallas Fed President Logan said the Fed can afford to be patient before acting on interest rates as "both sides of our dual mandate appear fairly balanced." The markets are discounting the chances at 5% for a -25 bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 17-18. The markets this week will focus on any new trade or tariff news. On Tuesday, Apr factory orders are expected to fall -3.2% m/m and the Apr JOLTS job openings report is expected to fall by -92,000 to 7.100 million. On Wednesday, the May ADP employment change is expected to climb by +110,000, and the May ISM services index is expected to rise +0.5 to 52.1. On Thursday, weekly initial unemployment claims are expected to fall by -5,000 to 235,000. On Friday, May nonfarm payrolls are expected to climb +125,000, and the May unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.2%. Finally, May average hourly earnings are expected to rise +0.3% m/m and +3.7% y/y. Overseas stock markets on Monday settled lower. The Euro Stoxx 50 fell to a 1-week low and closed down -0.21%. China's Shanghai Composite was closed today for the Dragon Boat Day holiday. Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 closed down -1.30%. Interest Rates September 10-year T-notes (ZNU2 5) Monday closed down -9 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose +6.2 bp to 4.462%. Sep T-notes on Monday were under pressure as escalating trade tensions between the US and China have led to a broad selloff of dollar assets, including Treasuries. Also, a negative carryover from weakness in European government bonds weighing on T-notes. In addition, today's 2% jump in the price of WTI crude to a 1-1/2 week high has boosted inflation expectations, a bearish factor for T-notes. Losses in T-notes were limited due to dovish Fed comments after Fed Governor Waller laid out a scenario for the Fed to cut interest rates later this year, and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee said the Fed could proceed with interest rate cuts if uncertainty around trade policy is resolved. In addition, Monday's weaker-than-expected reports on May ISM manufacturing activity and Apr construction spending were bullish for T-notes. European government bond yields on Monday finished higher. The 10-year German bund yield rose +2.4 bp to 2.524%. The 10-year UK gilt yield rose +2.1 bp to 4.667%. The German May S&P manufacturing PMI was revised downward by -0.5 to 48.3 from the previously reported 48.8. The UK May S&P manufacturing PMI was revised upward by 1.3 to 46.4 from the previously reported 45.1. Swaps are discounting the chances at 98% for a -25 bp rate cut by the ECB at Thursday's policy meeting. US Stock Movers Chip stocks moved higher Monday to lend support to the overall market. Micron Technology (MU) closed up more than +4%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Microchip Technology (MCHP) closed up more than +3%. Also, Broadcom (AVGO) and Marvel Technology (MRVL) closed up more than +2%. In addition, Nvidia (NVDA), Lam Research (LRCX), ARM Holdings Plc (ARM), and ASML Holding NV (ASML) closed up more than +1%. US steel and aluminum producers rallied Monday after President Trump said he would increase tariffs on US steel and aluminum imports to 50% from 25%. Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) and Century Aluminum (CENX) closed up more than +20%. Also, Steel Dynamics (STLD) closed up more than +10% to lead gainers in the S&P 500. In addition, Nucor (NUE) closed up more than +10%, and Commercial Metals (CMC) closed up more than +5%. Energy producers and energy service providers moved higher on Monday as the price of WTI crude climbed more than +2% to a 1-1/2 week high. Devon Energy (DVN), Diamondback Energy (FANG), and Haliburton (HAL) closed up more than +2%. 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Yukon wildfire fighters battle blazes across the prairies
Yukon wildfire fighters battle blazes across the prairies

CBC

time43 minutes ago

  • CBC

Yukon wildfire fighters battle blazes across the prairies

Yukon wildfire fighters are off to Alberta and Saskatchewan to help fight a major wildfire outbreak. "We've got a low fire danger rating here" said Haley Ritchie, an information officer with Yukon Wildland Fire. "So it's a good time for us to be able to help out." Both provinces have seen massive evacuations due to wildfires and a number of rural communities have also declared states of emergency. Five attack crews and an agency representative went to Alberta. The 21 people are accompanied by an L188 Electra heavy air tanker for aerial firefighting, along with the plane's two pilots and a dedicated mechanic. "They're such specialized aircraft that they come with their own personnel, who travel with the plane," said Ritchie. She said Yukon Wildfland Fire does not own the air tanker, but contracts it out for the season. A spokesperson for the Alberta government said Yukon crews are battling the Swan complex fire near Slave Lake. It's the hardest hit part of Alberta, where more than 88,000 hectares have already burned. The Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre puts out the request for wildfire fighters, Ritchie said. Once they arrive within the province or territory, the local agency coordinates who goes where. Meanwhile, a division supervisor and trainee from the Yukon are also on their way to Saskatchewan to help out with personnel logistics there. "Hopefully in the future, we'll be able to get support when we need it too," said Ritchie. She said if the fire situation were to change in the Yukon, crews could be pulled back within 24 hours. A cool and damp spring has meant a slow start to wildfire season in the Yukon, where just four hectares have burned so far. Personnel are allowed to be deployed for 19 days in total, including travel time.

Will AI go rogue? Noted researcher Yoshua Bengio launches venture to keep it safe
Will AI go rogue? Noted researcher Yoshua Bengio launches venture to keep it safe

Globe and Mail

timean hour ago

  • Globe and Mail

Will AI go rogue? Noted researcher Yoshua Bengio launches venture to keep it safe

Famed Canadian artificial-intelligence researcher Yoshua Bengio is launching a non-profit organization backed by close to US$30-million in philanthropic funding to develop safe AI systems that cannot deceive or harm humans, and to find ways to ensure that humanity remains in control of the powerful technology. The Turing Award winner, whose work helped pave the way for today's generative AI technologies, already holds multiple titles. He is a professor at the Université de Montréal, the scientific adviser at the Mila - Quebec Artificial Intelligence Institute and recently chaired the first international report on AI safety. His new venture will operate differently. 'This is more like what a company would do to solve a particular problem. It's much more top-down and mission-oriented,' he said. The non-profit is called LawZero, a reference to science fiction writer Isaac Asimov's Three Laws of Robotics, which stipulate that intelligent machines may not harm human beings. 'I hope I'm wrong': Why some experts see doom in AI LawZero, based in Montreal, will develop a concept called Scientist AI, which Prof. Bengio and his colleagues outlined in a paper earlier this year. In short, it is an AI system that will not have the negative traits found in today's large language models and chatbots, such as sycophancy, overconfidence and deception. Instead, the system would answer questions, prioritize honesty and help unlock new insights to aid in scientific discovery. The system can also be used to develop a tool that will keep AI agents, which can plan and complete tasks on their own, from going rogue. 'The plan is to build an AI that will help to manage the risks and control AIs that are not trusted. Right now, we don't know how to build agents that are trustworthy,' he said. The tool, which he hopes will be adopted by companies, would act as a gatekeeper to reject actions from AI systems that could be harmful. The plan is to build a prototype in the next 18 to 24 months. AI agents are fairly rudimentary today. They can browse the web, fill out forms, analyze data and use other applications. AI companies are making these tools smarter to take over more complex tasks, however, ostensibly to make our lives easier. Some AI experts argue that the risk grows the more powerful these tools become, especially if they are integrated into critical infrastructure systems or used for military purposes without adequate human oversight. AI agents can misinterpret instructions and achieve goals in harmful or unexpected ways, which is called the alignment problem. Editorial: A real reform mandate for the first federal AI minister Researchers at AI company Hugging Face Inc. recently argued against developing autonomous agents. 'We find no clear benefit of fully autonomous AI agents, but many foreseeable harms from ceding full human control,' they wrote, pointing to an incident in 1980 when computer systems mistakenly warned of an impending Soviet missile attack. Human verification revealed the error. Prof. Bengio also highlighted recent research that shows that popular AI models are capable of scheming, deceiving and hiding their true objectives when pushed to pursue a goal at all costs. 'When they get much better at strategizing and planning, that increases the chances of loss of control accidents, which could be disastrous,' he said. Around 15 people are working with LawZero, and Prof. Bengio intends to bring on more by offering salaries competitive with corporate AI labs, which would be impossible in academia, he said. The non-profit setting is ideal for this kind of work because it is free of the pressure to maximize profit over safety, too. 'The leading companies are, unfortunately, in this competitive race,' he said. The project has been incubated at Mila and has received funding from Skype co-founder Jaan Tallinn, along with the Future of Life Institute, Schmidt Sciences and Open Philanthropy, organizations concerned about the potential risks posed by AI. After the release of ChatGPT in late 2022, many AI researchers, including Prof. Bengio and Geoffrey Hinton, began speaking up about the profound dangers posed by superintelligent AI systems, which some experts believe to be closer to reality than originally thought. The potential downsides of AI ran the gamut from biased decision-making, turbocharged disinformation campaigns, a concentration of corporate and geopolitical power, bad actors using the technology to develop bioweapons, mass unemployment and the disempowerment of humanity at-large. None of these outcomes are a given, and these topics are hotly debated. Experts such as Prof. Bengio who focus on what other researchers see as far-off and outlandish concerns have been branded as 'doomers.' Some governments took these warnings seriously, with the United Kingdom organizing major international summits about AI safety and regulation. But the conversation has swung heavily in the other direction toward rapid AI development and adoption to capture the economic benefits. U.S. Vice-President JD Vance set the tone in February with a speech at an AI conference in France. 'The AI future is not going to be won by hand-wringing about safety. It will be won by building,' he said. Prof. Bengio, among the more vigorous hand-wringers, was in the audience for that speech. He laughed when asked what he was thinking that day but answered more generally. 'I wish that the current White House had a better understanding of the objective data that we've seen over the last five years, and especially in the last six months, which really triggers red flags and the need for wisdom and caution,' he said.

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