
Growth in India services sector slows to more than 2-year low in Jan, PMI shows
Growth in India's dominant services sector was the slowest in over two years in January amid cooling demand but remained historically strong and led to a substantial rate of hiring, a business survey showed on Wednesday.
Asia's third-largest economy has been struggling with slackening consumption. To try and boost spending the government gave some tax relief to the middle class at its annual budget on Feb. 1 but shied away from announcing big reforms which are much needed to prop up growth.
The HSBC final India Services Purchasing Managers' Index , compiled by S&P Global, fell to 56.5 in January from 59.3 in December, a tad lower than a preliminary estimate of 56.8 but comfortably ahead of the 50-mark separating contraction from growth.
"The business activity and new business PMI indices eased to their lowest levels since November 2022 and November 2023 respectively," said Pranjul Bhandari, chief India economist at HSBC.
"That said, new export business partly countered the downtrend and continued to rebound from a dip in late-2024, in line with official data."
Demand for services rose at the slowest pace in 14 months but remained sturdy. It was supported by international demand that was the strongest in five months.
The future activity sub-index moderated to a three-month low but the fall was insignificant and firms hired new staff at one of the fastest paces since the inception of the survey in December 2005.
Inflationary pressures picked up, as both input costs and prices charged rose at a strong pace.
But India's retail inflation eased to a four-month low in December, increasing the chances of easier monetary policy. The Reserve Bank of India is widely expected to cut its key repo rate on Feb. 7, a Reuters poll taken last week showed.
Slower services growth overshadowed a six-month high pace of expansion in the manufacturing sector and dragged the overall Composite PMI down to 57.7 last month from 59.2 in December.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Al Etihad
14 hours ago
- Al Etihad
Global business activity picks up pace in May, PMI data shows
8 June 2025 13:21 A. SREENIVASA REDDY (ABU DHABI)Global economic conditions appear to be improving as the latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) surveys indicated a modest acceleration in output and new orders during JPMorgan Global Composite PMI Output Index rose to 51.2 in May from April's 17-month low of 50.8, signalling expansion for 28th month in a improvement comes amid a general pick-up in both current and expected global growth. Rates of expansion in output and new orders accelerated from April's near one-and-a-half-year lows, while business optimism recovered after hitting its lowest level since May equivalent indices for manufacturing and services posted 49.1 and 52.0 is a key economic indicator measuring business activity in the manufacturing and services sectors. A reading above 50 signals expansion, while below 50 indicates JPMorgan Global Composite PMI is compiled from monthly survey responses collected from around 27,000 companies in over 40 countries, representing 89% of global GDP. The survey provides the first indication each month of worldwide economic business conditions, enabling decision makers in the financial world and in government to make better judgements much earlier than would otherwise be the case.'The global all-industry output PMI recovered 0.4-pt to 51.2 last month, rising to a level consistent with trend-like global growth,' said Maia Crook, Global Economist at JPMorgan. 'The increase was driven by a service PMI recovery, while a payback in activity from earlier front-loading weighed on the manufacturing output the output PMIs diverged, both services and manufacturing showed an encouraging jump in business confidence, taking the all-industry future output PMI up 3.3-pts. The employment PMI also improved from prior recession-like this constructive global growth picture was a notable regional divide, as a sharp drop in China's composite output PMI was offset by a US rebound.'According to the report, the weakness was mainly centred in the manufacturing sector, where production returned to contraction following four months of expansion. Output declined in both the intermediate and investment goods sectors, although growth was sustained in consumer goods. In contrast, the service sector saw an acceleration in activity growth, with output rising across business, consumer, and financial remained at the top of the global output growth rankings, followed by Ireland. The US recorded a solid rate of expansion, while the euro area, Japan, and the UK saw modest or marginal China, however, returned to contraction, with manufacturing output declining at the quickest pace since November 2022. Output also contracted in Germany, France, Brazil, and Canada, with Canada experiencing the sharpest downturn business increased for 19th consecutive month in May, though only slightly. International trade remained weak, with new export orders falling for a second straight month. Only India and Australia registered increases in new export also saw employment rise for the second time in three months, as job creation in services offset losses in manufacturing. Optimism about future output improved significantly, with the Future Output Index rising from 57.4 to 60.7, although it remained below its long-run average for the 12th successive month. Meanwhile, input cost and output price inflation both quickened. Input prices hit a 25-month high and output charges rose at the fastest pace in 14 months, mainly driven by stronger increases among service providers. In contrast, price pressures in manufacturing continued to ease. Source: Aletihad - Abu Dhabi


Gulf Today
a day ago
- Gulf Today
India's forex reserves stood at $691.5 billion, says RBI chief
India's foreign exchange (forex) reserves stood at $691.5 billion, as of May 30, and are sufficient to fund more than 11 months of goods imports and about 96 per cent of external debt outstanding, RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said on Friday. For the week ended May 30, the reserves dropped by $1.2 billion to break an 8-week rising trend. India's foreign exchange reserves had recorded a robust increase of $6.99 billion to $692.72 billion in the preceding week ended May 23. Changes in foreign currency assets, expressed in dollar terms, include the effect of appreciation or depreciation of other currencies held in the reserves. External commercial borrowings (ECBs) and non-resident deposits have seen higher net inflows compared to the previous year. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor said: 'Overall, India's external sector remains resilient as key external sector vulnerability indicators continue to improve. We remain confident of meeting our external financing requirements.' The latest RBI data showed that India's foreign currency assets (FCA), the largest component of foreign exchange reserves, stood at $586.167 billion. The RBI releases forex data every Friday. According to RBI data, India's forex reserves are still quite close to its all-time high of $704.89 billion, reached in September 2024. In 2024, the reserves rose by a little over $20 billion. Central banks worldwide are increasingly accumulating gold as a safe-haven asset in their foreign exchange reserves amid uncertainty created by geopolitical tensions. Indo-Asian News Service


Gulf Today
a day ago
- Gulf Today
Asian equities see largest monthly foreign inflow in 15 months
Asian equities attracted strong foreign inflows in May as concerns over an immediate economic hit from higher US tariffs eased, prompting a return by investors who had previously exited large and concentrated positions in the region. The inflows marked a sharp reversal after four consecutive months of net foreign selling. According to data from LSEG, foreign investors bought approximately $10.65 billion worth of equities across India, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Philippines, registering their largest monthly net purchase since February 2024. US President Donald Trump's announcement of reciprocal tariffs in early April stoked concerns over the impact on Asian exports, exporter margins, and regional supply chains, but a subsequent 90-day pause for most countries later in the month helped ease investor fears and revive interest in regional assets. Goldman Sachs said it has revised its earnings growth forecast for MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan (MXAPJ) to 9 per cent for both 2025 and 2026, raising estimates by 2 and 1 percentage points, respectively, citing stronger macro growth in China and US-exposed markets. The upgrade was also supported by $600 billion in AI-related investments from Saudi Arabia to US firms, which are expected to benefit Taiwan and Korea, though the impact may be partially offset by a weaker dollar, the brokerage said. Taiwan equities witnessed $7.28 billion worth of foreign inflows, the largest monthly cross-border net purchase since November 2023. Foreigners also acquired a significant $2.34 billion worth of Indian stocks in their largest monthly net purchase since September 2024. South Korean, Indonesian and Philippine stocks also saw foreign inflows worth a net $885 million, $338 million and $290 million, respectively, while Thai stocks suffered $491 million of net selling. Despite heightened market volatility in the first half of the year driven by concerns over President Trump's trade policies, the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index has risen about 8.8 per cent year-to-date, outperforming both the MSCI World Index, which is up 5.4 per cent, and the S&P 500 Index, which has gained 0.98 per cent. Asian currencies were steady on Friday and poised for weekly gains after a phone call between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping signalled further trade talks, while most regional equities tracked Wall Street's overnight losses. In India, equities reversed course to rise 0.9 per cent after the Reserve Bank of India delivered a larger-than-expected cut to its key repo rate and lowered the cash reserve ratio to bolster economic growth. 'The RBI may have decided to move quickly to a more appropriate policy rate level. A shift towards neutral stance means more rate cuts may be unlikely in the near-term,' Jeff Ng, Head of Asia Macro Strategy at SMBC, said. The rupee inched up 0.1 per cent to 85.74 per dollar. Other regional currencies moved within a narrow band. The Thai baht and Singapore dollar were largely flat but were on track for weekly gains of 0.5 per cent and 0.4 per cent, respectively. The Malaysian ringgit was up nearly 0.6 per cent for the week. MSCI's index of emerging market currencies was flat after touching an all-time high on Thursday. The index is up 0.5 per cent for the week. The dollar index was little changed, after hitting a six-week low on Thursday, and was headed for a weekly loss of 0.5 per cent. Trump's erratic tariff moves and a worsening US fiscal outlook have triggered a flight from the dollar, prompting analysts to expect most emerging market currencies will retain or build on their gains over the next six months. In their closely watched hour-long phone call on Thursday, Xi pressed Trump to ease trade tensions that have rattled the global economy and warned against provocative moves on Taiwan, according to a summary released by the Chinese government. But Trump said on social media that the talks, focused primarily on trade, led to 'a very positive conclusion'. 'The talks look positive, and coupled with Federal Reserve rate cut expectations due to weak US data, might lead to further USD softening,' said Saktiandi Supaat, Head of FX research at Maybank. Markets are now bracing for the US jobs and non-farm payrolls report due later in the day, with concerns that a downside surprise could stoke stagflation fears and boost pressure on the Federal Reserve to quickly ease policy. Reuters