
Judges keep calling Trump's actions illegal
President Donald Trump has suffered a string of court losses in recent days as federal judges ruled that his administration broke the law on a number of matters, including firing officials, shutting down organizations and deporting migrants. But if the decisions all point in the same direction — Trump and his team have acted lawlessly in egregious ways, judges emphatically said — the real-world consequences may vary. That is because even assuming all those rulings were to be upheld on appeal, some of Trump's actions would be easier to undo than others. And the slow pace of litigation means the judiciary is often many steps behind and in some cases unable to catch up.
Still, courts serve as a rare check on Trump, who has steamrolled constraints inside the executive branch, enjoys broad immunity for his official acts because of a 2024 Supreme Court ruling and, as a matter of political reality, has little reason to fear impeachment or even serious oversight inquiries by the Republican-controlled Congress.
The Trump administration has responded, as it often does to court losses, by lobbing insults — calling one such ruling a 'rogue judge's attempt to impede on the separation of powers' and another the act of 'an unelected judge with a political ax to grind.' In an interview with New York Times columnist Ross Douthat, Vice President JD Vance declared, 'I know this is inflammatory, but I think you are seeing an effort by the courts to quite literally overturn the will of the American people.'
The denunciations make clear that appeals are inevitable, so the story is not yet over. But among the actions struck down by district court judges this week, the simplest to undo is likely Trump's dismissal, without cause, of three Democratic-selected members of an independent watchdog agency that scrutinises counter-terrorism policies and actions, the Privacy and Civil Liberties Oversight Board.
President Donald Trump signs executive orders in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington.
On Wednesday, Judge Reggie B. Walton of the US District Court in Washington ruled that Trump had broken the law in doing so and ordered the reinstatement of two members who had sued. Trump's move left the board with only one member, largely paralysing the agency because a quorum of three is necessary for it to act. When its employees wrote up an examination of face scanners in airports this month, they released it as an informal staff report rather than as a statutorily authorised board report that is accompanied by member recommendations and submitted to Congress. They cannot start new investigations.
The administration has not said whether it will appeal, but it has made clear it wants the Supreme Court to expand a president's authority to fire the leaders of independent agencies. On Thursday, the court permitted Trump, for now, to remove leaders of two other such agencies. Still, Walton's reasoning suggested that even if the Supreme Court bolsters Trump's power to control some of these agencies, the independent structure of the privacy board might survive since it is an investigative body that does not exercise much, if any, 'executive power,' like making and enforcing rules. And if the two oversight board members who sued, Travis LeBlanc and Edward Felten, can return to their offices, collect back pay and finish their terms, there will have been relatively little long-term damage done.
A middle ground, in terms of what it would take to undo the administration's handiwork, is presented by two rulings against Trump this week concerning his efforts to unilaterally shut down parts of the government, or its activities, that were established and funded by Congress. On Monday, Judge Beryl A. Howell of US District Court in Washington ruled that the administration's takeover of the US Institute of Peace, a non-profit think tank that Congress established to seek diplomatic solutions to global conflicts, was unlawful and a 'gross usurpation of power.'
She ordered the reinstatement of top officials ousted by the White House and nullified the transfer of the institute's building to the General Services Administration, which manages the federal real estate portfolio. A separate lawsuit remains pending on behalf of the institute's workforce. The administration terminated most of the institute's hundreds of workers in the United States and abroad.
But the Trump administration filed its notice of appeal on Wednesday and sought to temporarily block Howell's order. If there is a stay until the Supreme Court weighs in, even a victory and a similar order to reinstate its broader workforce would not make it straightforward for the institute to simply pick back up. For one, its former employees may not be willing or able to return. Some may have found other jobs in the interim. For another, Republican lawmakers may decide against allocating funding for it in next year's budget, in which case Trump's move, even if lawless, will end up as a mere jump-start.
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Observer
6 hours ago
- Observer
The EU can play it cool with Trump's trade threats
Other governments have so far taken three main approaches to dealing with Donald Trump's trade threats. China hit back hard at the US president's tariffs and got him to back down partly. Canada also retaliated and avoided some of the pain Trump inflicted on other countries. Meanwhile, Britain cut a quick deal that favoured the United States. None of these is a model for the European Union. The 27-member group is not China. Though its bilateral goods trade with the United States last year was worth 70% more than between the US and the People's Republic, the EU is not an autocracy that can outpunch Trump. If it antagonises the US president, he might up the stakes by pulling the rug from under Ukraine and undermining the EU's defences. American hard power gives it what geopolitical strategists call 'escalation dominance'. The EU is not Canada either. Ottawa was able to hang tough because its people were infuriated that Trump was trying to blackmail Canada into becoming part of the United States. While anti-Trump sentiment is high in the EU, politicians who are sympathetic to him, such as Poland's new president, can still get elected. On the other hand, the EU is not the United Kingdom. Both are at risk from Russia's invasion of Ukraine. But the EU trades seven times more goods with the United States than Britain does - so Washington has more to lose if economic relations break down. There is another way for the EU to handle Trump's threats: play it cool. That is more or less what the bloc is doing. It involves neither escalating the conflict nor accepting a bad deal. It means being open to a good agreement if the US lowers its demands, but willing to play the long game if it does not. One reason to buy time is to help Kyiv. The longer the EU has to prepare its own support package for Ukraine, which should include getting it a lot of cash, the less the damage if Trump ultimately cuts off all US aid to the country. The president's own vulnerabilities may also increase over time. Just look at the spectacular end of his alliance with Tesla boss Elon Musk. The fragile US trade truce with China may break down causing more financial turmoil, making Trump less keen to pick a fight with the EU. If the Supreme Court stops him using emergency powers to impose tariffs, his negotiating position will be weaker. And tariffs could hurt the US more than its supposed victims, by pushing up inflation and crimping growth. A QUICK DEAL? Trump has zig-zagged in his trade threats and actions against the EU. The current state of play is that there are 50% tariffs on US imports of steel and aluminium from the bloc, a 25% tariff on cars and 10% so-called reciprocal tariffs on most other goods. And so they're trying to be the first and the best to get there, which is why everybody's throwing so much money at it without any clear sense of, you know, The US president has threatened to jack up these reciprocal tariffs to 50% if there is no deal by July 9. He is also looking at more 'sectoral tariffs', including on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors. While the EU has complained to the World Trade Organization (WTO), it has delayed its own retaliation. Its negotiators accept that they are unlikely to overturn the reciprocal tariffs, the Financial Times has reported. The bloc still aims to avoid the sectoral ones. Those on cars and any on pharmaceuticals would hurt it the most. It has dangled the possibility of buying more US equipment and natural gas to get a deal. An agreement on those lines could be good for the EU. It needs to beef up its defences and eliminate its purchases of Russian gas. While it would be best to have its own arms and energy supplies, buying more from the US makes sense as an interim measure. An important nuance, though, is that the EU should reserve the right to take action against the reciprocal tariffs after the WTO issues its verdict, says Ignacio Garcia Bercero, a former senior EU trade official. Such a pact would involve quite a climbdown by Trump. True, arms and gas purchases would narrow the US goods deficit with the EU, which was $236 billion last year. But his administration has a host of other complaints including the bloc's value-added tax and food safety standards as well the digital taxes that some of its members impose on tech giants. It is hard to see the bloc agreeing anything in those areas, says Simon Evenett, professor of geopolitics and strategy at IMD. BACK TO WAR? Although the US side described last week's trade talks with the EU as 'very constructive', discussions could easily break down. The question then is how the bloc would react if Trump imposed higher reciprocal tariffs. The EU has so far imposed no countermeasures. Though it has agreed to tax 21 billion euros of US imports in response to the steel and aluminium tariffs, it has delayed these until July 14 to try to get a deal. The European Commission, its executive arm, is also consulting on taxing a further 95 billion euros of US imports in response to the car tariffs and the reciprocal ones. But added together, these tit-for-tat measures would be equivalent to only a third of the 379 billion euros of EU imports subject to Trump's tariffs. Some analysts think the bloc needs to be tougher. One idea is to crack down on American services, where the US had a 109 billion euro surplus with the EU in 2023. Another is to activate its 'anti-coercion instrument ', which would allow retaliation against US companies operating in the bloc. Yet another is to threaten to ban exports of critical goods, such as the lithographic equipment necessary to make semiconductors. Extreme events may require extreme responses. But for now, the EU should keep its cool. It should not kid itself that it is stronger or more united than it is. It should remember that Trump may get weaker with time. And it should never forget Ukraine. — Reuters Hugo Dixon The writer is Commentator-at-Large for Reuters. He was the founding chair and editor-in-chief of Breakingviews.


Observer
9 hours ago
- Observer
Police order LA protesters in downtown to go home
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Observer
9 hours ago
- Observer
UN urges ratification of treaty to protect the planet's fragile oceans
NICE: UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres on Monday urged world leaders to ratify a treaty that would allow nations to establish protected marine areas in international waters, warning that human activity was destroying ocean ecosystems. Guterres, speaking at the opening of the third UN Ocean Conference in Nice, cautioned that illegal fishing, plastic pollution and rising sea temperatures threatened delicate ecosystems and the people who depend on them. "The ocean is the ultimate shared resource. But we are failing it," Guterres said, citing collapsing fish stocks, rising sea levels and ocean acidification. Oceans also provide a vital buffer against climate change, by absorbing around 30 per cent of planet-heating CO2 emissions. But as the oceans heat up, hotter waters are destroying marine ecosystems and threatening the oceans' ability to absorb CO2. "These are symptoms of a system in crisis — and they are feeding off each other. Unravelling food chains. Destroying livelihoods. Deepening insecurity." The High Seas Treaty, adopted in 2023, would permit countries to establish marine parks in international waters, which cover nearly two-thirds of the ocean and are largely unregulated. Hitherto, only an estimated 1per cent of international waters, known as the "high seas", have been protected. The drive for nations to turn years of promises into meaningful protection for the oceans comes as President Donald Trump pulls the United States and its money out of climate projects and as some European governments weaken green policy commitments as they seek to support anaemic economies and fend off nationalists. The United States has not yet ratified the treaty and will not do so during the conference, Rebecca Hubbard, director of The High Seas Alliance, said. "If they don't ratify, they are not bound by it," she said. "The implementation will take years but it is critical we start now and we won't let the US absence stop that from happening." French President Emmanuel Macron, the conference's co-host, told delegates that 50 countries had now ratified the treaty and that another 15 had promised to do so. The treaty will only come into force once 60 countries ratify it. Macron's foreign minister said he expected that would happen before the end of the year. The United States has not sent a high-level delegation to the conference. "It's not a surprise, we know the American administration's position on these issues," Macron told reporters late on Sunday. Britain's Prince William said protecting the planet's oceans was a challenge "like none we have faced before". Ocean experts have also seized on the conference as an opportunity to rally investment for the ocean economy, which has long struggled to attract sizeable funding commitments. At a two-day gathering of bankers and investors in Monaco over the weekend, philanthropists, private investors and public banks committed 8.7 billion euros over five years to support a regenerative and sustainable blue economy. — Reuters