
Opinion: Deciphering Danielle Smith's bows to separatism
Since becoming UCP leader and Alberta premier, Danielle Smith has subtly and not so subtly pushed for provincial independence. Her stated patriotism for Canada has been late in coming and mostly lukewarm.
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More telling are her recent moves making it easier for a small but vocal group within Alberta to introduce a referendum on separatism.
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Smith says she is giving Albertans the opportunity to vent their anger and frustration, much of which she herself has stoked. (One wonders what her response would be if sufficient signatures were obtained to put the idea of nationalizing the oil industry to a referendum.)
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She hints, too, that a referendum is necessary to prevent a split within the UCP, though this strategy may be too clever by half.
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Polls suggest that an outright vote on independence would be defeated. Besides the affection most Albertans hold for Canada — especially now when the country faces severe threats from the U.S. — the vast majority would also be swayed in any vote by the significant economic and legal costs of pursuing separation.
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There are several possible answers. Smith may be responding to political pressures from her UCP base. The party's hardcore right wing anointed her as UCP leader and premier. Smith remembers that the same group brought down former premier Jason Kenney. She is mindful to constantly feed the beast, lest it swallow her.
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Smith's actions may also just reflect a deep personal grievance against the federal government, the Liberals and even Canada. (She was eight years old when former prime minister Pierre Trudeau brought in the National Energy Program, which she and others continue to blame for the downturn in the price of oil in the early 1980s.)
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But she also seems to hold the belief that Canada is a collection of provincial fiefdoms, with no role for the federal government. She once opined that Canada does not have a national government.
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Smith's threats — like those employed by U.S. President Donald Trump — may simply be part of a bargaining strategy, albeit a poor one. She has listed nine demands, many of which are impossible for any federal government to grant. Additionally, several of these also tread on the jurisdiction of other provinces and the treaty rights of Indigenous peoples.

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