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Japan PMI Pickup Points to Front-loading Ahead of US Tariff Jump

Japan PMI Pickup Points to Front-loading Ahead of US Tariff Jump

Bloomberg4 hours ago

Japan's manufacturing activity expanded for the first time in more than a year in June in a likely sign of front-loading of output ahead of a scheduled increase in US tariffs next month.
The au Jibun Bank purchasing managers' index of manufacturing activity rose to 50.4 from 49.4 in May, crossing the boom-or-bust 50 threshold for its highest reading since May 2024, according to data released Monday by S&P Global. The index for services also increased to 51.5 from 51.0.

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CNBC Daily Open: Trump followed up on his threat to strike Iran — will this help or harm his credibility?
CNBC Daily Open: Trump followed up on his threat to strike Iran — will this help or harm his credibility?

CNBC

time42 minutes ago

  • CNBC

CNBC Daily Open: Trump followed up on his threat to strike Iran — will this help or harm his credibility?

The United States conducted airstrikes on three of Iran's nuclear sites on Saturday, entering Israel's war against Tehran. The timing was unexpected. On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump said he was still considering U.S. involvement and would arrive at a decision "within the next two weeks." Financial and political analysts had largely taken that phrase as code word for inaction. "There is also skepticism that the 'two-week' timetable is a too familiar saying used by the President to delay making any major decision," wrote Jay Woods, chief global strategist at Freedom Capital Markets. Indeed, Trump has commonly neglected to follow up after giving a "two week" timeframe on major actions, according to NBC News. And who can forget the TACO trade? It's an acronym that stands for "Trump Always Chickens Out" — which describes a pattern of the U.S. president threatening heavy tariffs, weighing down markets, but pausing or reducing their severity later on, helping stocks to rebound. "Trump has to bury the TACO before the TACO buries him ... he's been forced to stand down on many occasion, and that has cost him a lot of credibility," said David WOO, CEO of David Woo Unbound. And so Trump followed up on his threat, and ahead of the proposed two-week timeline. "There will be either peace, or there will be tragedy for Iran far greater than we have witnessed over the last eight days," Trump said on Saturday evening. But given Trump's criticism of U.S. getting involved in wars under other presidents, does America bombing Iran add to his credibility, or erode it further? The U.S. strikes Iran U.S. President Donald Trump on Saturday said the United States had attacked Iranian nuclear sites, pushing America into Israel's war with its longtime rival. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth said Sunday that "Iran's nuclear ambitions have been obliterated," a sentiment echoed by Trump, who stressed that "Obliteration is an accurate term." The decision to attack Iran engages the American military in active warfare in the Middle East — something Trump had vowed to avoid. Iran calls attacks 'outrageous'Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on Sunday said Tehran reserves all options to defend its sovereignty and people after the "outrageous" U.S. attacks on three of its major nuclear enrichment facilities. Iranian state-owned media, meanwhile, reported that Iran's parliament backed closing the Strait of Hormuz, citing a senior lawmaker. The U.S. on Sunday called on China to prevent Iran from doing so. Investors assess U.S. attacksU.S. futures slid Sunday evening stateside as investors reacted to Washington's strikes on Iran. Futures tied to the S&P 500 lost 0.17%, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 0.24% and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.21%. On Monday, Asia-Pacific markets mostly fell at 1:45 p.m. Singapore time. Japan's Nikkei 225 slipped 0.15% and South Korea's Kospi Index retreated 0.3%. However, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index bucked the trend to climb 0.29%. Oil prices pare gainsU.S. crude oil were up 1.1% to $74.65 per barrel, while global benchmark Brent climbed 1.12% to $77.88 per barrel early afternoon Singapore time. The commodity pared gains from earlier in the day, when prices jumped more than 2% in oil's first trading session after Saturday's events. That said, multiple analysts raised the prospect of oil hitting $100 per barrel, especially if exports through the Strait of Hormuz are affected. [PRO] Eyes on inflation reading Where markets go this week will depend on whether the conflict in the Middle East escalates after the U.S.' involvement. Investors should also keep an eye on economic data. May's personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation, comes out Friday, and will tell if tariffs are starting to heat up inflation. Why global markets are brushing off U.S. strikes on Iran The U.S. joining the war between Israel and Iran might seem like a geopolitical flash point that would send markets tumbling. Instead, investors are largely shrugging off the escalation, with many strategists believing the conflict to be contained — and even bullish for some risk assets. "The markets view the attack on Iran as a relief with the nuclear threat now gone for the region," said Dan Ives, managing director at Wedbush, adding that he sees minimal risks of the Iran-Israel conflict spreading to the rest of the region and consequently more "isolated." Furthermore, rhetoric around the idea of shutting down the Hormuz waterway has been recurring from Iran, but it has never been acted upon, with experts highlighting that it is improbable.

India's June flash composite PMI output index rises to 61.0, highest in 14 months
India's June flash composite PMI output index rises to 61.0, highest in 14 months

Business Upturn

timean hour ago

  • Business Upturn

India's June flash composite PMI output index rises to 61.0, highest in 14 months

By Aditya Bhagchandani Published on June 23, 2025, 10:41 IST India's private sector activity accelerated sharply in June 2025, with the HSBC Flash India Composite PMI Output Index climbing to 61.0, up from 59.3 in May, marking the strongest monthly expansion in 14 months, according to data released by S&P Global. This surge was driven by robust increases in both manufacturing and services activity. The HSBC Flash India Manufacturing PMI rose to 58.4 in June from 57.6 in May, while the Services PMI Business Activity Index increased to 60.7 from 58.8. Key factors behind this momentum included: A record rise in new export orders since the series began in 2014. since the series began in 2014. Strengthened demand from Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and the Americas . . Increased hiring, especially in the manufacturing sector. Softer input cost inflation, reaching a 10-month low. Commenting on the data, HSBC's Chief India Economist Pranjul Bhandari noted that India's strong growth in June was primarily fueled by export demand and rising backlogs, which in turn encouraged more hiring. Although both input and output prices rose, the pace of inflation moderated from earlier highs. The data, collected between June 9 and 18, signals strong momentum as India closes out the first quarter of FY26, with sustained optimism among businesses despite a slight decline in overall sentiment compared to previous months. Ahmedabad Plane Crash Aditya Bhagchandani serves as the Senior Editor and Writer at Business Upturn, where he leads coverage across the Business, Finance, Corporate, and Stock Market segments. With a keen eye for detail and a commitment to journalistic integrity, he not only contributes insightful articles but also oversees editorial direction for the reporting team.

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