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Conditions To Reach Next Phase of Gaza Ceasefire 'Extremely Ambiguous'

Conditions To Reach Next Phase of Gaza Ceasefire 'Extremely Ambiguous'

Al Jazeera27-01-2025

Andreas Krieg, an associate professor at King's College London, talks about the Israel-Hamas ceasefire agreement and the 'big question marks' over its three phases.
Published On 19 Jan 2025

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Is time running out for Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu?
Is time running out for Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu?

Al Jazeera

time7 hours ago

  • Al Jazeera

Is time running out for Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu?

Wherever Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu looks, trouble seems to be looming. Criticism of his government's war on Gaza is mounting, with charges of genocide and war crimes coming from both foreign leaders and former Israeli prime ministers. Internationally, Israel is looking increasingly isolated, as images of the starvation it is inflicting on Gaza flood global media. Domestically, Netanyahu faces deep criticism of a war many believe he is only prolonging to stay in power. Legally, the prosecution in his corruption trial has begun its cross-examination of him, while politically, he is facing a possible collapse of his governing coalition. Netanyahu has never seemed so embattled in his career, but is this really the end for Israel's longest-serving prime minister? Here's what we know. Very, and it's growing. Netanyahu has long been accused of manipulating the war in Gaza for his political ends, an accusation that gained new momentum since March, when Israel broke the ceasefire with the Palestinian group Hamas, further endangering the captives held in Gaza. In late May, a poll for Channel 12 television showed a majority of Israelis thought Netanyahu cared more about retaining his grip on power than returning the captives. Most of the protests held in Israel have focused on the captives taken during the Hamas-led assault of October 7, 2023, and how extending the war for political motivations endangers them. But recently, a small but significant number of Israelis have also protested against the intense suffering their government is inflicting upon the people of Gaza. In addition to an open letter from the country's academics denouncing Israel's devastation of Gaza, a growing number of photographs of Palestinian children are being held by demonstrators as part of wider Saturday night protests against the war in Tel Aviv. Even members of the military are growing unhappy with the war in Gaza. As reports of reservists refusing to fight increased, open letters by current and former officers in various divisions appeared, calling for an end to the war. Two of Israel's former prime ministers have recently publicly criticised Netanyahu. Ehud Barak, a former general and prime minister from 1999 to 2001, said in Time magazine that Netanyahu must choose between a deal brokered by United States President Donald Trump to free the captives and end the war, or continuing with his politically motivated 'war of deception'. Ehud Olmert, prime minister from 2006 to 2009, wrote in Haaretz that Israel was guilty of having committed war crimes in Gaza and that: 'This is now a private political war.' 'A sane country does not wage war against civilians, does not kill babies as a pastime, and does not engage in mass population displacement,' former general and leader of the Democrats party, Yair Golan, told local radio station Reshet Bet. He was referring to the stated plans of far-right ministers like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir to expel Palestinians from Gaza in order for Israelis to settle it. Olmert added on Tuesday that Trump should tell Netanyahu that 'enough is enough'. For years, Israel has been divided over the conscription of its ultra-Orthodox youth, who were exempt from military service if they were full-time students in religious schools or yeshivas. In June 2024, Israel's Supreme Court ruled that the exception could no longer apply, fulfilling a longstanding demand by secular Israelis who protested against the double standard. But the leaders of the two ultra-Orthodox parties in the ruling coalition, Shas and United Torah Judaism (UTJ), are threatening to collapse the government unless it passes legislation that would override the Supreme Court decision. It is unclear whether elections would result in a parliament more sympathetic to the ultra-Orthodox, but recent developments, like plans to increase the number of conscription notices to ultra-Orthodox students, have pushed the issue to the fore. Arab and European leaders have become increasingly vocal in their criticisms of Netanyahu and the war. However, for now at least, he still has the vital support of the US and President Donald Trump. In early May, Saudi Arabia and the Arab League slammed Netanyahu after he suggested that expelled Palestinians would be able to settle in Saudi territory. Later the same month, Canada, France, and the United Kingdom, who had all previously supported Israel's war on Gaza, issued a statement describing the level of human suffering in the enclave as 'intolerable'. Spain and Ireland, which, along with Norway, recognised a Palestinian state in May 2024, have also called for action to be taken against Israel and the Netanyahu government. The UK, along with Australia, Canada, New Zealand and Norway, also announced on Tuesday that they would impose sanctions on Smotrich and Ben-Gvir. How long Netanyahu will keep Trump's support, however, is not clear, as speculation that the mercurial US president may be tiring of Netanyahu is widespread and growing. Netanyahu has been embroiled in multiple corruption investigations since 2019. If he is found guilty, he faces jail, possibly up to 10 years. His trial, which began in 2020, has faced numerous delays due to the COVID-19 pandemic and, more recently, the war on Gaza, which he is accused of extending and at times exacerbating precisely to avoid his trial. Critics also say he is extending the war to avoid being held accountable for his government's failings during the October 7 attack. Controversy and scandal have followed Netanyahu throughout his political career, and opposition to his rule is growing within Israel and parts of the West, yet he may still survive, observers say. However, to do so, Netanyahu must retain US support for his government while sustaining a war that Trump appears to want ended. 'I don't know if Netanyahu can come back from this,' one of his former aides, Mitchell Barak, told Al Jazeera in May. 'There's a lot of talk about Netanyahu being at the end of his line … They've been saying that for years, and he's still here … but I can't see any more magic tricks that are available to him.'

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