Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 7 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds

Fox Sports

18-05-2025

Data Skrive
In Game 7 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Oklahoma City Thunder will go up against the Denver Nuggets. Sunday's matchup between the Thunder and the Nuggets features the Thunder as solid 8-point favorites. The over/under is 213.5 points for the game.
Here is everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information. Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds When: Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
TV: ABC Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Thunder -8 -110 -110 213.5 -112 -108 -298 +240 Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction
ATS Pick: Thunder (- 8)
O/U Pick: Over (213.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 122 - Nuggets 109 Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Insights This season, the Thunder games have finished over 213.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 64 (out of 82) times.
This year, 70 of the Nuggets' 82 games have had a combined total of more than 213.5 points scored.
The Thunder and the Nuggets combine to average 27.8 more points per game than the over/under of 213.5 set for this game.
The Thunder and the Nuggets have seen their opponents average a combined 11.0 more points per game than the point total of 213.5 set in this outing.
Oklahoma City has won 65, or 83.3%, of the 78 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
Denver has been victorious in 10, or 52.6%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
Oklahoma City and Denver have each won five of their last 10 head-to-head matchups.
The Nuggets have an advantage against the spread (7-3) when taking the court against the Thunder.
In their past four games the Thunder have beaten the spread, and they were the favorites in all of those games.
The Nuggets have covered in three straight games against the point spread, and were the favorite in all of them. Thunder Recent Trends The Thunder have gone 7-3 in their last 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread in that span.
Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 227.0 combined points in its last 10 games, 13.5 greater than this matchup's over/under of 213.5.
The Thunder are 53-25-4 against the spread this year.
This season, Oklahoma City has an against the spread record of 30-15-3 in its 48 games as a favorite of 8 points or more.
Thunder games this year have eclipsed the over/under 45 times in 82 opportunities (54.9%).
The Thunder record just 3.6 more points per game (120.5) than the Nuggets allow (116.9).
Oklahoma City has a 38-12-1 record against the spread and a 46-5 record overall when scoring more than 116.9 points.
The Thunder are shooting 48.2% from the field this season, 1.6 percentage points higher than the 46.6% the Nuggets allow to opponents.
Against the spread, the Thunder have fared better at home, covering 28 times in 42 home games, and 25 times in 40 road games.
When it comes to over/unders, Oklahoma City hits the over more often at home, as it has gone over the total 25 times in 42 opportunities this season (59.5%). In away games, it has hit the over 20 times in 40 opportunities (50%).
When playing at home, the Thunder have won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 35-6 (.854). In road games, they are 30-7 (.811) as a moneyline favorite. Thunder Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 120.5 4 Points Allowed 107.6 3 Rebounds 44.8 11 Assists 26.9 12 Steals 10.3 1 Blocks 5.7 2 Thunder Leaders Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.7 steals (fourth in NBA) and 1 block.
Jalen Williams puts up 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.6 steals (seventh in league) and 0.7 blocks.
Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocks.
Aaron Wiggins averages 12 points, 1.8 assists and 3.9 rebounds.
Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 43.5% from the field and 41.2% from downtown with 2.4 made treys per game. Thunder Player Props Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season) Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 31.5 -105 32.7 Jalen Williams 19.5 -120 21.6 Chet Holmgren 14.5 -115 15.0 Isaiah Hartenstein 10.5 +105 11.2 Luguentz Dort 9.5 +100 10.1 Nuggets Recent Trends The Nuggets have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games, with a 9-1 record against the spread in that span.
Denver's average total over the last 10 games is 6.3 points greater than the 213.5 over/under given for this matchup.
Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-44-0 this season.
Denver has covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 8 points or more (in three chances).
Nuggets games this season have hit the over on 49 of 82 set point totals (59.8%).
The Nuggets put up an average of 120.8 points per game, 13.2 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder allow.
When it scores more than 107.6 points, Denver is 38-30 against the spread and 49-19 overall.
The Nuggets' 50.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is seven percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (43.6%).
Against the spread, the Nuggets have had better results on the road (20-21-0) than at home (18-23-0) .
Denver's games have finished above the over/under 63.4% of the time at home (26 of 41), and 56.1% of the time on the road (23 of 41).
As moneyline favorites, the Nuggets have won a higher percentage of games at home (24-13) than away (16-10). Nuggets Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 120.8 3 Points Allowed 116.9 24 Rebounds 45.7 4 Assists 31 1 Steals 8 17 Blocks 4.9 15 Nuggets Leaders Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds and 10.2 assists per game. He's also draining 57.6% of his shots from the field (ninth in league) and 41.7% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per contest.
The Nuggets are getting 21.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6 assists per game from Jamal Murray this year.
The Nuggets are getting 18.2 points, 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game from Michael Porter Jr. this season.
The Nuggets are receiving 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Christian Braun this season.
Russell Westbrook gets the Nuggets 13.3 points, 4.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists per contest while delivering 1.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Nuggets Player Props Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season) Nikola Jokic 29.5 -125 29.6 Jamal Murray 21.5 -110 21.4 Christian Braun 13.5 -115 15.4 Aaron Gordon 12.5 -110 14.7 Michael Porter Jr. 10.5 -125 18.2
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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