Monday, June 2 forecast: Threat of strong storms and flooding return

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2 days ago

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Get the umbrellas back out; another stormy stretch lies ahead. The current quiet spell will come to an end Tuesday with bouts of rain and thunder throughout the rest of the week.
Warm and humid conditions have filled the area, priming the region for heavy rainfall. A Flood Watch has been posted for some of the Ozarks from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning.
For tonight, we can expect mostly clear skies and balmy breezes through the evening. Clouds will increase late tonight with a chance for scattered showers by sunrise Tuesday, mainly near and north of I-44.
This first wave of showers will quickly fade, with skies becoming partly cloudy and temperatures climbing back into the 80s. By late in the afternoon, strong to severe storms will break out across Kansas into Northern Missouri. This band of rain and thunder will gradually shift southeast Tuesday evening with a threat of heavy rainfall and a few severe thunderstorms. Strong winds and spotty hail are possible, along with an isolated tornado. The tornado risk looks limited, and primarily with storms late Tuesday afternoon into the evening north of I-44.
The band of rain and thunder will slowly shift southeast through Wednesday morning. The slow push southeast will result in a stripe of very heavy rainfall, mainly along and north of I-44, where 1 to 3″ is expected with locally higher amounts. Rain amounts will quickly fall off to the south of I-44.
The leftover band of clouds and showers will persist into Wednesday afternoon, keeping much of the Ozarks much milder. Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms will flare up heading into Wednesday afternoon, mainly near and south of I-44.
The front will lift back to the north on Thursday. Warm and humid weather will contribute to another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon and evening. Locally heavy rainfall and an isolated severe storm or two are possible.
A bigger wave of rain and thunder is expected to sweep through the region Friday. This round may arrive early in the day and depart during the afternoon. Heavy rainfall is likely, and this wave of storms could also bring a round of severe weather.
Friday's wave of storms may be able to nudge the front back to the south, pushing the focus for scattered weekend showers and thunderstorms to the south. We won't be rain-free, but rain chances should drop off through Saturday and Sunday.
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