Over/Under win total predictions for every SEC Football team

USA Today

14-05-2025

Over/Under win total predictions for every SEC Football team
The 2025 college football season is months away. You never want to wish time away, but August 23 (week zero) can't get here fast enough. In what will likely be the last season of the 12-team playoff era, a number of SEC teams will be vying for three or maybe even four spots in the College Football Playoff. Others, will simply be hoping to go bowling. And still others, especially their coaches, simply want to survive the year and keep their job.
The SEC provides a gauntlet every year, but this has especially become true in the expanded 16-team conference. Several teams will be battling to hit the over on their win total for 2025.
With spring ball wrapped and transfer portal additions likely done, too, FanDuel Sportsbook updated their latest win totals for the 2025 season. Who's going to beat the projections, and who will fall short? Let's take a stab at predicting the over-under win totals for the 2025 season.
All college football odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Win Total: 3.5
Prediction: Under
The win total is so low, it's tempting to take the over. But the Bulldogs will have to go 3-0 against Southern Mississippi, Alcorn State, and Northern Illinois and then find an upset win somewhere.
Here's Mississippi State's schedule for 2025.
Aug. 30 – at Southern Miss
Sept. 6 – Arizona State
Sept. 13 – Alcorn State
Sept. 20 – Northern Illinois
Sept. 27 – Tennessee
Oct. 4 – at Texas A&M
Oct. 11 – Open Date
Oct. 18 – at Florida
Oct. 25 – Texas
Nov. 1 – at Arkansas
Nov. 8 – Georgia
Nov. 15 – at Missouri
Nov. 22 – Bye Week
Nov. 29 – Ole Miss
Try to find the fourth win. I dare you.
Vanderbilt Commodores
Win Total: 4.5
Prediction: Over
Vanderbilt will have to beat Virginia Tech again, go 4-0 in nonconference play, and then find another win somewhere. If they can go 2-1 against the Hokies, Kentucky, and Missouri, that should put the over in play. Does Diego Pavia have another magical season in the bag?
Kentucky Wildcats
Win Total: 4.5
Prediction: Over
Betting the over here is to bet on Mark Stoops maintaining the same level of consistency he has at Kentucky for the last decade. From his second season in Lexington in 2014 through 2023, the Wildcats never won fewer than five games. Last year feels more like the aberration than the norm. However, the schedule is rough for the Wildcats. They'll have to go at least 3-1 in nonconference and then find a couple of upsets in SEC play. No easy feat. However, look for Zach Calzada to provide a boost to the Kentucky passing attack.
Arkansas Razorbacks
Win Total: 5.5
Prediction: Under
It's not a stretch to predict wins over Alabama A&M, Arkansas State, Memphis, and Mississippi State. But the rest is a bit of a crap shoot. They'll need to find a pair of upsets on a schedule that features Ole Miss, Notre Dame, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Auburn, LSU, Texas, and Missouri. If I had to pick a couple of upsets to help them hit the over, it would be Ole Miss and Missouri.
Oklahoma Sooners
Win Total: 6.5
Prediction: Over
People keep talking about the Oklahoma Sooners schedule as if it's as difficult as last year. It's not. Quarterback turnover at places like Michigan, Tennessee, Auburn, Texas, Ole Miss, Alabama, and Missouri along with key players lost to the draft make it a lot more manageable than people want to admit.
Win Total: 6.5
Prediction: Over
Florida has the toughest schedule in the nation but D.J. Lagway could be an All-American and is a legit Heisman contender this season. In a five-week span, the Gators will take on LSU, Miami, Texas, and Texas A&M. If they can go 3-1 in that stretch, the over isn't a stretch.
Win Total: 7.5
Prediction: Over
Road trips to South Bend, Baton Rouge, and Austin will be pivotal for the Aggies College Football Playoff chances, but there's still a path to eight wins on the schedule.
Win Total: 7.5
Prediction: Under
There's a strong possibility that the South Carolina Gamecocks start the season 5-0. But then they take on LSU, Oklahoma, Alabama, and Ole Miss in a four-week span. Finding three more wins on the schedule isn't easy.
Win Total: 7.5
Prediction: Over
It's not a huge stretch to get Mizzou to seven wins. Finding the other one is a little tougher. Though they'll have a new starter in Drew Pribula, the schedule sets up well for the Tigers, but they'll need to find an upset or two along the way.
Auburn Tigers
Win Total: 7.5
Prediction: Under
Could Auburn be better than last year? Yeah. But a lot of that is going to hinge on Jackson Arnold living up to the five-star hype. The Tigers have a tough schedule with a sneaky good test week one on the road against Baylor. They also play at Oklahoma and Texas A&M, host Georgia and Alabama. They don't have a whole lot of margin for error in their games against Missouri, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, and Arkansas. The Tigers will need to go 4-0 in those games and 4-0 in nonconference. Doable, but not feeling confident.
Tennessee Volunteers
Win Total: 8.5
Prediction: Under
It's a fairly manageable schedule for Josh Heupel and the Volunteers, but week one against Syracuse could be as they break in a new quarterback. Although Nico Iamaleava is the more recent loss of note, the Volunteers lost bell cow back
Ole Miss Rebels
Win Total: 8.5
Prediction: Under
Ole Miss has reloaded through the transfer portal once again, but they lost a lot of talent to the NFL Draft, namely quarterback Jackson Dart. It doesn't take a lot of work to see a possibility of five losses on the schedule.
Win Total: 8.5
Prediction: Over
At Clemson to open the season could be a College Football Playoff preview. Garrett Nussmeier is back for the LSU Tigers to help them manage a schedule that includes games against Florida, Ole Miss, Alabama, South Carolina, Arkansas, Texas A&M, and Oklahoma. It's a tough schedule but the Tigers are going to be good this year.
Texas Longhorns
Win Total: 9.5
Prediction: Over
This Texas team may not be as good as last year's Texas team, especially on offense, but the schedule is favorable. Texas has road trips to Ohio State, Georgia, and Florida, along with the game of the year in the Red River Showdown. If the Longhorns can go 2-2 against that group of teams, 10 wins isn't out of the question.
Win Total: 9.5
Prediction: Over
Yes, Georgia is replacing its quarterback but if there's a team that gets the benefit of the doubt, it's Georgia. They're coming off of an SEC title in a season where Carson Beck regressed. Kirby Smart will have the defense loaded and if they can find a run game, the Bulldogs will be in the SEC title game once again.
Alabama Crimson Tide
Win Total: 9.5
Prediction: Under
Alabama went 9-3 with an experienced quarterback in 2024. They're replacing Jalen Milroe and will have some talented options but will they be ready for a schedule that features trips to Florida State week one, Georgia, South Carolina, and Auburn? Not to mention big games against Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Wisconsin. The Crimson Tide have one of the more difficult schedules in the country that's not being talked about enough.
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