National Hurricane Center issues tropical storm warning for Tropical Depression Two. What to know
Heavy rains were beginning Sunday morning as Tropical Depression Two caused the National Hurricane Center to issue a tropical storm warning for the Gulf coast of Mexico.
There were no threats or expected tropical development near Florida or elsewhere in the Atlantic basin as Saharan dust blows across the region. The National Hurricane Center was also watching four tropical waves.
➤ Track all active storms
➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location
There's been only one named storm in the Atlantic basin so far this season. While in the short term no tropical development is expected by forecasters − partly due to a wall of Saharan dust blowing by Florida − that could change soon.
The next named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season will be Barry.
Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 5 p.m., June 29.
At 5 a.m., the center of Tropical Depression Two was located near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 95.9 West.
The depression was moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph. On the following track the depression is expected to make landfall along the Mexico coast on Sunday night and move further inland on Monday.
Location: About 50 miles north-northeast of Veracruz, Mexico and about 125 miles southeast of Tuxpan, Mexico
Moving: West-northwest at 9 mph
Maximum sustained winds: 35 mph
RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Two is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches across the Mexican states of Veracruz, San Luis Potosi, and Tamaulipas through Monday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions, especially in gusts, are expected in the tropical storm warning area beginning this afternoon.
WATER: Seas have increased to 8 to 10 ft and will likely build further through Sunday.
Tropical waves
Tropical wave 1: A new tropical wave emerged Sunday off the coast of Africa and has an axis positioned along 18W, extending southward from 18N. It was moving west at 12 mph
Tropical wave 2: An east Atlantic tropical wave axis is along 30W from 18W southward, moving west at 12 mph
Tropical wave 3: A central Atlantic tropical wave axis was noted along 54W from 14N southward, moving west at around 17 mph.
Tropical wave 4: A well-defined tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean has an axis along 66W extending from Puerto Rico to central Venezuela. It is moving west at 12 to 17 mph.
Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.
There's no tropical system threatening Florida at this time.
However, AccuWeather forecasters are warning there is a potential for tropical development in the Gulf or off the southeast coast of the U.S. in early July, the holiday weekend.
'The potential is definitely there off the Southeast Coast or in the Gulf," said Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather lead hurricane expert via email. "The water temperatures are warm enough to support tropical development in that area and the wind shear looks to be fairly low overall in that area.'
'We're forecasting a low chance that anything develops at this point, but this time of the year, this is where we would typically see tropical activity spin up in late June and early July, If anything develops over the next two weeks, it will happen close to home.
"There's nothing unusual here. We would typically look close to home for possible tropical development early in the season. If anything develops, it's likely that rainfall would be the primary concern.
'A cold front during the first couple of days of July will come off the southeast coast and stall. The tail of the front will essentially extend across Florida and into the Gulf. If that frontal boundary stalls for a couple of days and we see any convection, that's how we could end up with tropical development next week."
'We expect tropical activity to pick up later on in the hurricane season. This very well could be a back-half loaded season," DaSilva said.
Right now, dry air and wind shear are helping keep tropical storms from developing, which isn't unusual for early in the hurricane season, which started June 1.
"The second named storm in the Atlantic basin typically doesn't develop until mid to late July. We are on pace with the historical average. Records show that the first hurricane of the season typically doesn't develop until Aug. 11," DaSilva said.
Predictions issued by NOAA, AccuWeather and Colorado State University all forecast an above-normal hurricane season.
Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them:
Andrea: AN-dree uh
Barry: BAIR-ree
Chantal: shahn-TAHL
Dexter: DEHK-ster
Erin: AIR-rin
Fernand: fair-NAHN
Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL
Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh
Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah
Jerry: JEHR-ee
Karen: KAIR-ren
Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh
Melissa: meh-LIH-suh
Nestor: NES-tor
Olga: OAL-guh
Pablo: PAHB-lo
Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh
Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en
Tanya: TAHN-yuh
Van: van
Wendy: WEN-dee
"We're forecasting a wet pattern across the Southeast in early July, regardless of any tropical development," DaSilva said.
'Much of Florida and the Southeast will see plenty of showers and thunderstorms during early July, and that could impact outdoor plans for the Fourth of July.
'Northern Florida and the Panhandle will see more rainfall than South Florida in early July.'
'There is a big plume of dust coming across the Atlantic right now. We expect more Saharan dust to reach portions of the southern U.S. from South Florida to Texas.
'We could have some Saharan dust high in the sky for the Fourth of July, especially across South Florida.'
'We could see some dirty rain across Florida that can make a mess on your car and other surfaces outside, thanks to the Saharan dust.'
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said.
The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories.
The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:
Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin.
To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA sadi.
Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated:
: for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific.
: for storms in the Northwest Pacific.
: for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean.
We will update our tropical weather coverage daily.
Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here.
This article originally appeared on Naples Daily News: Hurricane Center tracks Tropical Depression near Mexico. See tracker
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Chicago Tribune
37 minutes ago
- Chicago Tribune
Tropical Storm Flossie strengthens, hurricane warning issued for Mexico's Pacific coast
MEXICO CITY — Tropical Storm Flossie continued to gain steam off Mexico's southwestern Pacific coast on Monday afternoon and was projected to turn into a hurricane overnight. Meanwhile, the remnants of what was Tropical Storm Barry dumped rain on eastern Mexico. Flossie strengthened with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph. It was centered about 155 miles southwest of Zihuatanejo and was moving northwest at 10 mph. Mexico's government issued a tropical storm warning along the southwestern coast from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula. A tropical storm watch remained in effect for the southwest coast from Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes. A watch means tropical storm conditions are possible in the area within two days. Flossie is expected to rapidly intensify into a hurricane late Monday or early Tuesday, then skirt the coast for a few days. While its center is forecast to remain offshore, moderate rain was likely in parts of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco through early next week. Meanwhile, the remnants of Barry were bringing heavy rain to Mexico's Gulf coast after it came ashore as a tropical depression south of Tampico with maximum sustained winds of 30 mph, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said.
The Hill
an hour ago
- The Hill
Tropical Storm Flossie strengthens, hurricane warning issued for Mexico's Pacific coast
MEXICO CITY (AP) — Tropical Storm Flossie continued to gain steam off Mexico's southwestern Pacific coast on Monday afternoon and was projected to turn into a hurricane overnight. Meanwhile, the remnants of what was Tropical Storm Barry dumped rain on eastern Mexico. Flossie strengthened with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph (105 kph). It was centered about 155 miles (250 kilometers) southwest of Zihuatanejo and was moving northwest at 10 mph. Mexico's government issued a tropical storm warning along the southwestern coast from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula. A tropical storm watch remained in effect for the southwest coast from Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes. A watch means tropical storm conditions are possible in the area within two days. Flossie is expected to rapidly intensify into a hurricane late Monday or early Tuesday, then skirt the coast for a few days. While its center is forecast to remain offshore, moderate rain was likely in parts of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco through early next week. Meanwhile, the remnants of Barry were bringing heavy rain to Mexico's Gulf coast after it came ashore as a tropical depression south of Tampico with maximum sustained winds of 30 mph, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said. ____ Follow AP's coverage of Latin America and the Caribbean at
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
A potential tropical system could dump heavy rain on Florida this week
Florida could get doused by rain this week, regardless of whether a tropical system develops near its coast. The National Hurricane Center is watching the northern half of the state for potential tropical development this week, but forecasters give it a low chance of happening — 20% over the next seven days. Still, they say a frontal boundary could slow and stall in the area, potentially forming an area of low pressure near north Florida or over the eastern Gulf. 'Some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur thereafter as the low moves little,' the hurricane center said Monday. Global storm models show the potential for development, but a relatively low likelihood, hence the 20% figure from the NHC. 'It doesn't look like it could be much, but with a holiday coming up it could make for a few wet days for parts of Florida,' Jim Cantore of the Weather Channel posted on X. The rain could arrive by the middle of the week and hang out until the weekend, said the Miami office of the National Weather Service. 'While uncertainty remains, this may result in some threat of flooding for South Florida if persistent rounds of heavy rainfall occur over urban areas. Forecast specifics will likely become more clear as we move forward in time,' forecasters said Sunday. Over the weekend, the second tropical storm of the season — Barry — sprang up over the coast of Mexico. Like Andrea before it last week, it was a short-lived storm. The next name on the list is Chantal.
