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China Shows Off New Warplanes in Drills With U.S. Ally
China Shows Off New Warplanes in Drills With U.S. Ally

Newsweek

time21-04-2025

  • Politics
  • Newsweek

China Shows Off New Warplanes in Drills With U.S. Ally

Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. China's first joint air force exercise with U.S. ally Egypt featured advanced fighter jets, radar aircraft, and aerial refueling planes, highlighting Beijing's push to project power far into the Middle East and North Africa. Why It Matters China's deepening relationship with Egypt comes at a time that Egyptian ties with Washington have been strained by President Donald Trump's proposal for relocating Palestinians from the Gaza Strip — potentially to Egypt — in a plan that Cairo has strongly opposed. The Middle East is a new location for Chinese rivalry with the United States as the two superpowers are also at odds elsewhere, not least over Taiwan and the South China Sea and with tensions rising there. A half size replica of the J-35a Chinese stealth fighter jet is displayed at the 15th China International Aviation and Aerospace Exhibition, also known as Airshow China 2024 at Zhuhai in southern China's Guangdong province... A half size replica of the J-35a Chinese stealth fighter jet is displayed at the 15th China International Aviation and Aerospace Exhibition, also known as Airshow China 2024 at Zhuhai in southern China's Guangdong province on Tuesday, Nov. 12, 2024. More Ng Han Guan/AP Photo What To Know The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Air Force deployed J-10C fighter jets, a YU-20 aerial refueling tanker and a KJ-500 radar aircraft, according to open-source flight-tracking data and security publications. The PLA Air Force sent J-10C and J-10S fighters while Egypt fielded its MiG-29 jets for the exercise, China's state-run Global Times reported. The KJ-500, an airborne early warning and control aircraft, participated in an international military exercise for the first time, according to the Belgium-based defense magazine Army Recognition. This week, open-source flight data appeared to show multiple Chinese military aircraft arriving in Egypt via the United Arab Emirates, including at least five Y-20 transport planes and one KJ-500 radar aircraft, according to specialist outlet Aviation Week. The joint exercise with the North African country comes as the United States increases its military presence in the Middle East and amid rising tensions with Iran. Egypt is also a potential market for Chinese weapons sales. File picture of a Chinese fighter jet flying above Pingtan island, the closest point in China to Taiwan's main island, in Fujian province on April 2, 2025. File picture of a Chinese fighter jet flying above Pingtan island, the closest point in China to Taiwan's main island, in Fujian province on April 2, 2025. Photo by HECTOR RETAMAL/AFP via Getty Images Egypt has received substantial military aid from the United States since signing a peace deal with Israel in 1979. Egypt was granted $1.3 billion in U.S. military aid in 2024, according to Reuters. It is the second time the Chinese military has deployed to Egypt since last summer, when it sent seven J-10 fighter jets from an air force aerobatic team and a Y-20 transport aircraft to an air show. U.S. defense officials are increasingly concerned that China's rapid military modernization could soon rival American capabilities, though analysts note some Chinese systems still lag behind their U.S. counterparts. What People Are Saying Egypt's Armed Forces Spokesperson on Facebook: "The exercise, taking place over several days at an airbase in the Arab Republic of Egypt, aims to unify combat concepts between the two sides through a series of theoretical and practical lectures." China's Defense Ministry: "This is the first joint training between the Chinese and Egyptian militaries, which is of great significance to promoting pragmatic cooperation and enhancing mutual trust and friendship between the two militaries." Naval analyst Eric Wertheim told U.S. Navy Institute: "I think the big issue with all Chinese weapons – including copies of Western equipment – is that they remain untested in combat." What Happens Next The Chinese and Egyptian air forces' joint training in Egypt, codenamed "Eagles of Civilization 2025," is taking place from mid-April to early May.

Is China's military really built for war? New report questions Beijing's arms buildup
Is China's military really built for war? New report questions Beijing's arms buildup

Egypt Independent

time17-02-2025

  • Politics
  • Egypt Independent

Is China's military really built for war? New report questions Beijing's arms buildup

Seoul, South Korea CNN — is not ready for war, according to a contentious report from a US think tank, which claims the main motivation for the ruling Communist Party's expansive push for military modernization is to retain its grip on power – not fight an overseas foe. China is not ready for war, according to a contentious report from a US think tank, which claims the main motivation for the ruling Communist Party's expansive push for military modernization is to retain its grip on power – not fight an overseas foe. Beijing has pursued a head-turning military buildup under Chinese leader Xi Jinping, during which the People's Liberation Army (PLA) – previously not even one of the strongest in Asia – has started to rival, or in some categories surpass, the US military in analysts' estimations. Simulations by US defense experts have repeatedly shown the US – widely regarded as the world's strongest military – having a tough time matching the PLA in a fight close to China's shores, especially over the democratic island of Taiwan, which is claimed by Beijing. But a report released last month by the Washington-based RAND Corp. said that despite the impressive buildup, political considerations – importantly the Communist Party's desire for control over both military personnel and Chinese society – could hamper the PLA in battle, especially against a peer adversary such as the US. 'The PLA remains fundamentally focused on upholding Chinese Communist Party (CCP) rule rather than preparing for war,' wrote Timothy Heath, a longtime China expert with RAND, in the report, titled 'The Chinese military's doubtful combat readiness.' 'China's military modernization gains are designed first and foremost to bolster the appeal and credibility of CCP rule,' making war unlikely, Heath added. One example Heath cited of political considerations butting up against military objectives is the PLA spending up to 40% of training time on political topics. A soldier checks the missiles on an air fighter at a PLA military airport in a training session in east China's Zhejiang province in late August 2021. FeatureChina/AP 'The trade-off in time that could be spent mastering the essential skills for combat operations further raises questions as to how well prepared the PLA might be for modern war,' Heath said. Heath noted too that PLA units are led not only by commanding officers, but also by political commissars who focus on party loyalty rather than combat effectiveness. 'A divided command system … reduces the ability of commanders to respond flexibly and rapidly to emerging situations,' he wrote. A conventional war between the US and China is a 'remote possibility,' and Pentagon planners should focus on a wider variety of Chinese threats than missiles and bombs, he added. A J-16 fighter jet flies in the sky during the 15th China International Aviation and Aerospace Exhibition, or Airshow China 2024, on November 12, 2024 in Zhuhai, China. Chen Jimin/China News Service/AP But other experts scoffed at his conclusions, saying that Xi had made his top military goal clear: bringing Taiwan under Beijing's control, by force if necessary. The PLA's buildup points to China being ready to do that, domestic control concerns notwithstanding, the experts added. 'There are much easier, cheaper, lower-risk ways to maximize party security than the bespoke warfighting capabilities Xi concertedly pursues,' said Andrew Erickson, professor of strategy at the US Naval War College. John Culver, a former US intelligence officer for East Asia, also cast doubt on the report. 'War isn't Plan A, but it is Plan B if events require and the material capacity of the PLA and China for such an event is strong and getter stronger,' he wrote on X. Weapons and will China has achieved rapid and indisputable military progress since Xi introduced sweeping reforms a decade ago. Beijing's intense shipbuilding program of recent years has yielded the world's largest navy/maritime fighting force, which can operate farther than ever from China's shores – including from the country's first overseas military base in Djibouti. Meanwhile, China has made advances in stealth aircraft and hypersonic weapons – and turned vast areas of its inland deserts into fields of missile silos. A missile from the rocket force of the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) takes part in military exercises around Taiwan on April 8, 2023. Liu Mingsong/Xinhua/AP But Heath questioned whether Beijing's new arsenal would be effective in war. 'History has shown repeatedly that militaries sometimes fail to effectively use their advanced armaments in battle,' his report read, citing the war in Ukraine as the latest conflict where a better-armed military has failed to prevail. Critics of Heath's report said it's folly to see the same weaknesses in the PLA. 'Xi repeatedly engages in difficult military restructuring efforts that prioritize improvements in realistic warfighting capabilities and impose some of the most demanding requirements conceivable on China's armed forces,' said Erickson of the US Naval War College. He noted that China is building both numbers – the Pentagon estimates Beijing is growing its nuclear warhead arsenal by about 100 a year – and technology, 'pushing global frontiers with ambitious hypersonic weapons megaprojects.' The human factor Few doubt that the PLA has made great strides in both the number and quality of weapons it can field. Take for example its warships, led by the Type 055 destroyer, classified by many analysts as the most powerful surface combatant in the world. The PLA Navy launched its 10th Type 055 last year, with as many as six more expected in the coming years. Each requires a crew of about 300 sailors. The Type 055 guided-missile destroyer Nanchang (101) at Qingdao Port ahead of an activity to celebrate the 74th anniversary of the founding of the Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) on April 20, 2023 in Qingdao, China. Fu Tian/ChinaCollin Koh, research fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore, said building the high-tech warships may be easier than crewing them – because modern warships need young sailors to take on complex tasks, and that requires extensive training. 'The army could likely assimilate someone from the countryside … who might not get a lot of education … and train him up to be an infantryman. But if you want to train somebody who is able to man the controls in the combat information center in the warship, fire a missile and to maintain a missile, that requires a bit more,' Koh said. Meanwhile, the PLA continues to struggle another personnel problem – corruption. A Pentagon report from December said a widespread anticorruption campaign within the senior levels of the Chinese military and government is impeding Xi's defense buildup. 'I think they've identified it as something that really has posed great risks to the political reliability and ultimately the operational capability of the PLA,' a senior US defense official said in December. Defining Chinese military readiness When analysts talk about Chinese military readiness, focus quickly zooms in on Taiwan. US intelligence estimates say Xi has ordered the PLA to be ready to invade the island by 2027, if necessary. But Heath argues that while the Chinese leader set that goal, he and other top party officials have not engaged in any concerted push to prepare the Chinese public for combat. 'Chinese leaders have made no speeches that glorify war, advocate for war, or otherwise characterize war as inevitable or desirable,' Heath wrote, noting that 'China's military has not even published a study on how it might occupy and control Taiwan.' Others caution against judging Beijing's intentions based on Western thinking. It's unknown what Xi would consider a win in Taiwan, they say. The amount of pain the PLA – and Chinese society as a whole – could sustain to take the island is known only in Beijing, they say. 'We have to consider the use of force by Beijing at a level that could be potentially calibrated to suit its political needs,' Koh said. That force could be a blockade to strangle the island without shots being fired. It could be enough airstrikes to show Taipei and its supporters that China holds the upper hand in any cross-strait conflict. It could be a full-scale invasion and occupation. Or it could be a continuation of Beijing's relentless political pressure accompanied by the almost constant PLA presence around Taiwan, including dozens of warplanes and ships. It's a policy that, to date, has served the Communist Party well, some analysts say. So, why spend all that money on new weapons? 'China's military modernization gains are not designed to conquer Taiwan through military attack. Instead, (they are) designed to help the PLA more effectively carry out its longstanding mission of upholding CCP rule,' Heath wrote. Essentially, new warships and stealth fighter jets impress the public, and that makes controlling society easier, he said. Drew Thompson, a senior research fellow at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore agreed with that point. 'Politics being primary means propaganda is more important than the military outcome,' he said. But Koh said the PLA's gains under Xi cannot be brushed aside as merely sending a domestic message. 'Despite those known issues within China and the PLA, I don't think any military planner in the region is going to just dismiss the PLA as a paper tiger,' he said. And Thompson said the PLA is indeed a capable foe for Taiwan and for the US. 'China could start a war and fight it. Could they win? How do you define victory?' Thompson asked. 'Is it a zero sum or just a series of tradeoffs?'

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