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Yahoo
8 hours ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
A storm is brewing in the Atlantic and could be the first to impact the US this season
Forecasters are watching a storm brewing in the Atlantic this week - just two days into the start of this year's hurricane season. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form near the southeastern U.S. coast over the course of the next couple of days. 'The low could gradually acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics later this week if it remains offshore,' the National Hurricane Center cautioned in a post on the social media platform X. Hurricane Hunters have tentatively scheduled a reconnaissance flight to investigate the system on Thursday. Yet, as of right now, environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for the low to develop some subtropical or tropical characteristics later this week, if it forms or moves offshore. 'As the disturbance tracks north-northeast, it has a 10 percent chance of developing tropical characteristics if the circulation can remain over the Atlantic,' according to WXII 12. It is expected to shift east of North Carolina and out over the ocean by late Friday or Saturday. If it forms, it could be the first tropical storm to hit the U.S. this season. The first named storm will be called Andrea. Last year, the first storm was Alberto, which formed on June 19 and flooded the coastal community of Surfside Beach, Texas. It was soon followed by Category 5 Hurricane Beryl: the earliest-forming Category 5 on record in the Atlantic. Powered by climate change-charged ocean waters, this hurricane season is expected to be above average, according to officials. "In terms of tropical development of this feature along the southeastern U.S. Atlantic coast, water temperatures right along the coast are still below that critical 80-degree Fahrenheit threshold," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said in a statement. "Waters are warmer over the Gulf stream, but that is well off the coast at this time. So if this can try to develop later this week, it would probably be over that Gulf Stream and not along the immediate coast." Regardless, there may be some impacts for cities along the East Coast, including poor beach conditions and flash flooding due to heavy downpours. AccuWeather says it has also identified a low-risk zone for tropical development potential in the western Caribbean and eastern Gulf starting next week. "This [area] will be moving slowly through the zone from the western Caribbean and eastern Gulf around the same time when a surge of moisture may develop," AccuWeather Tropical Meteorologist Alex Duffus said. "For these reasons and a drop in disruptive winds in the region, we are issuing a chance for tropical development."


Newsweek
4 days ago
- Climate
- Newsweek
New Prediction Shows When First Tropical Storm Could Take Aim at Florida
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. The first tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season could form between June 6 and June 13, according to a new forecast from AccuWeather. Impacts could affect the Florida Keys between June 10 and 13. Newsweek reached out to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) by email for comment. Why It Matters The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30. Earlier this month, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released its 2025 hurricane forecast. NOAA experts anticipate between 13 and 19 named storms forming during this year's Atlantic hurricane season, with six to 10 strengthening into hurricanes and three to five strengthening into major hurricanes. NOAA forecasters are 70 percent confident in the ranges, the report said. What to Know Tropical Storm Alvin has already formed in the Eastern Pacific, which follows different forecasts and seasonal predictions than the Atlantic season. The Eastern Pacific season begins May 15, but Tropical Storm Alvin formed earlier than average when it strengthened from a tropical depression on Thursday. A stock photo of palm trees before a tropical storm. A stock photo of palm trees before a tropical storm. lisatop/Getty No storms have formed in the Atlantic so far this year, but the first could begin to develop sometime between June 6 and 13, AccuWeather said in a report on Friday. Several weather patterns are contributing to possible tropical storm development, including developing moisture that threatens showers and thunderstorms from South Florida south through Jamaica over the weekend. There also is "pulse of low pressure," according to the report. The U.S. coastline has a near-zero chance of tropical rain or wind through June 13, but AccuWeather labeled the Florida Keys as low risk, which is slightly higher. If a storm does form, U.S. impacts could occur closer to the middle of June, depending on which path the storm takes. Despite AccuWeather issuing a low risk for tropical development in the western Caribbean and southern Gulf between June 6 and June 13, the NHC is not expecting any tropical activity in the Atlantic over the next seven days. The first named storm of 2025 for the Atlantic hurricane season will be Andrea. What People Are Saying AccuWeather tropical meteorologist Alex Duffus said in the report: "This pulse will be moving slowly through the zone from the western Caribbean and southern Gulf around the same time when a surge of moisture may develop. For these reasons and a drop in disruptive winds in the region, we are issuing a chance for tropical development." Duffus added: "We believe there could be some tropical development over an approximate period sometime from June 6-13." Acting NOAA Administrator Laura Grimm, in a press release about the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season: "As we witnessed last year with significant inland flooding from hurricanes Helene and Debby, the impacts of hurricanes can reach far beyond coastal communities. NOAA is critical for the delivery of early and accurate forecasts and warnings, and provides the scientific expertise needed to save lives and property." What Happens Next The Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1. People in at-risk areas should monitor forecasts and be prepared for hurricanes or tropical storms.


UPI
4 days ago
- Climate
- UPI
Atlantic may spring to life just days after 2025 hurricane season begins
With the first day of Atlantic hurricane season on June 1, a window for homegrown tropical development will open during the second week of the month, and there could be some effect in the United States as a result, AccuWeather meteorologists warn. Over the next week to 10 days, moist and dry air will alternate over the Caribbean and as far north as Florida waters in the Gulf and Atlantic. Some of the dry air episodes will be accompanied by dust carried from the Sahara Desert for thousands of miles to the west. The dust may be visible when the sky is clear, and can result in colorful sunrises and sunsets. This wide image of the tropical eastern Pacific and the western Atlantic shows Alvin (far left) on Friday, May 30, 2025. Brown areas over the Caribbean (center) and Atlantic (right) are indicative of Saharan dust. (AccuWeather Enhanced RealVue™ Satellite) A moist zone is forecast to develop along the tail end of a cool front from South Florida to the Bahamas and Cuba from later this weekend to early next week. Repeating showers and heavy thunderstorms in this region can bring several inches of rain. In a few cases, a couple of inches of rain may pour down in an hour's time and result in street and highway flooding in cities such as Miami and Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Looking farther ahead, AccuWeather meteorologists are also monitoring a pulse of low pressure that works its way from east to west around the globe. "This pulse will be moving slowly through the zone from the western Caribbean and southern Gulf around the same time when a surge of moisture may develop," AccuWeather Tropical Meteorologist Alex Duffus said. "For these reasons and a drop in disruptive winds in the region, we are issuing a chance for tropical development." "We believe there could be some tropical development over an approximate period sometime from June 6-13," Duffus said. Should the first tropical depression or tropical storm unfold in the Atlantic during the second week of June, where it tracks will depend on how quickly it ramps up and the steering breezes at the time. There is a chance a tropical depression or storm wanders into the Gulf of America or perhaps drifts onshore and slowly unwinds over Central America, southeastern Mexico, or Cuba before the middle of the month. The first name on the list of 2025 Atlantic tropical storms and hurricanes is Andrea. Any impacts on the Florida Keys would likely be from June 10-13. Should a tropical depression or storm wander into the Gulf, heavy rain and gusty winds could be carried onshore somewhere along the United States mainland toward the middle of the month. Because of the uptick in squally showers and thunderstorms as early as this weekend and on through the middle of the month from the western Caribbean to the southern Gulf and Florida Straits, boating, fishing and cruise interests should monitor the situation. Alvin in the eastern Pacific became the first tropical storm of the season for either basin straddling Central and North America earlier this week.
Yahoo
5 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Atlantic may spring to life just days after 2025 hurricane season begins
With the first day of Atlantic hurricane season on June 1, a window for homegrown tropical development will open during the second week of the month, and there could be some impact in the United States as a result, AccuWeather meteorologists warn. Over the next week to 10 days, moist and dry air will alternate over the Caribbean and as far north as Florida waters in the Gulf and Atlantic. Some of the dry air episodes will be accompanied by dust carried from the Sahara Desert for thousands of miles to the west. The dust may be visible when the sky is clear, and can result in colorful sunrises and sunsets. A moist zone is forecast to develop along the tail end of a cool front from South Florida to the Bahamas and Cuba from later this weekend to early next week. Repeating showers and heavy thunderstorms in this region can bring several inches of rain. In a few cases, a couple of inches of rain may pour down in an hour's time and result in street and highway flooding in cities such as Miami and Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Looking farther ahead, AccuWeather meteorologists are also monitoring a pulse of low pressure that works its way from east to west around the the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ "This pulse will be moving slowly through the zone from the western Caribbean and southern Gulf around the same time when a surge of moisture may develop," AccuWeather Tropical Meteorologist Alex Duffus said. "For these reasons and a drop in disruptive winds in the region, we are issuing a chance for tropical development." "We believe there could be some tropical development over an approximate period sometime from June 6-13," Duffus said. Should the first tropical depression or tropical storm unfold in the Atlantic during the second week of June, where it tracks will depend on how quickly it ramps up and the steering breezes at the time. There is a chance a tropical depression or storm wanders into the Gulf of America or perhaps drifts onshore and slowly unwinds over Central America, southeastern Mexico, or Cuba before the middle of the month. The first name on the list of 2025 Atlantic tropical storms and hurricanes is Andrea. Any impacts on the Florida Keys would likely be from June 10-13. Should a tropical depression or storm wander into the Gulf, heavy rain and gusty winds could be carried onshore somewhere along the United States mainland toward the middle of the month. Because of the uptick in squally showers and thunderstorms as early as this weekend and on through the middle of the month from the western Caribbean to the southern Gulf and Florida Straits, boating, fishing and cruise interests should monitor the situation. Alvin in the eastern Pacific became the first tropical storm of the season for either basin straddling Central and North America earlier this week. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.


USA Today
19-04-2025
- Climate
- USA Today
Will it rain on Easter? Large storm brings weekend severe weather risk.
Will it rain on Easter? Large storm brings weekend severe weather risk. The storm system has already walloped parts of the country with huge hail and damaging winds. Show Caption Hide Caption This spring has already been an extremely busy one for severe weather We've seen nearly double the average number of tornadoes so far this year, and quite a few of them have been destructive. Heavy rain and damaging thunderstorms are in store over Easter weekend for a stretch of the country from Texas through the Northeast, forecasters said. The weather system has already walloped parts of Iowa and Nebraska with 4-inch, softball-sized hail and destructive 70-mph winds on April 17, days ahead of the holiday weekend. The National Weather Service in Omaha, Nebraska, said an EF-3 tornado caused damage when it tore through north Douglas and southeast Washington counties with estimated peak winds of 140 mph. On April 19, forecasters said severe thunderstorms were a threat to parts of the middle and lower Mississippi Valley and the Southern Plains, and the risk could grow into Easter Sunday on April 20. The thunderstorms there could produce severe wind, hail and a few tornadoes, the weather service said. At least a dozen states could be impacted by the severe weather, which could also cause flash flooding in areas that were already hit hard in early April by tornadoes and record rainfall, AccuWeather said. Texas is expected to take the brunt of high winds, large hail and possible tornadoes, but storms and smaller hail and wind gusts will stretch all the way through New York City and New England into Saturday evening. Map shows US forecast through Easter morning Easter storm threat On April 20, thunderstorms are expected to stretch from east Texas to the mid-Mississippi Valley, the Storm Prediction Center said. Damaging winds and potential for tornadoes on the holiday will include parts of Arkansas, Missouri and Illinois. Excessive rainfall is also expected with flash flooding from overflowing streams in the region, the weather service said. "For Easter Sunday through Sunday night, the threat of severe weather will reach its peak from Arkansas through the Missouri Valley," AccuWeather Meteorologist Alex Duffus said.