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Newsweek
3 days ago
- Climate
- Newsweek
Will Tropical Storm Alvin Hit California? Path, Forecast
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Tropical Storm Alvin is nearing Western Mexico, and although the storm won't hit California, it will impact the Golden State and other parts of the U.S. Southwest later this weekend and next week. Why It Matters The Eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Central Pacific and Atlantic hurricane seasons, which start on June 1. Each hurricane season runs through November 30. Tropical Storm Alvin formed on Thursday, becoming the first named storm of 2025. As of Friday morning, the storm has maximum sustained windspeeds of 50 mph. A tropical storm officially becomes a Category 1 hurricane when wind speeds reach 74 mph. What to Know The storm is expected to weaken as the weekend progresses, the most recent forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said. It is not expected to become a hurricane at time of writing. The most recent forecast path for Tropical Storm Alvin from the National Hurricane Center. The most recent forecast path for Tropical Storm Alvin from the National Hurricane Center. National Hurricane Center The biggest impacts will be heavy rain, life-threatening beach conditions such as rip currents, and wind in Mexico and Baja California, an AccuWeather report said. AccuWeather senior meteorologist Bob Larson told Newsweek that the storm will lose most of its wind intensity by the time impacts are expected in the U.S, but meteorologists do anticipate moisture from the storm to move into the Southwest. Larson said the rain could resemble the monsoon season, which typically hits mid- to late summer, making the incoming moisture an earlier occurrence than is usual. Thunderstorms could affect Arizona late Sunday and into Monday, and some gusty winds could contribute to blowing dust. A map from AccuWeather shows that widespread rain and thunderstorms are expected in Wyoming, Idaho, Utah, Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, and far Southeast California. What People Are Saying AccuWeather meteorologist Brandon Buckingham said in a report: "Showers and thunderstorms will likely become more prolific over the interior western United States next week and could escalate to the point of triggering rapid and dangerous flooding problems when combined with high country snowmelt in parts of the Rockies." An NHC public advisory about Tropical Storm Alvin: "Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Alvin is expected to degenerate to a remnant low on Saturday." The advisory added: "Swells generated by Alvin will affect portions of the coasts of west-central and southwestern Mexico and the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office." What Happens Next The next NHC update about the storm will be issued later Friday afternoon. People in Baja California and Western Mexico are urged to follow local weather guidance as the storm draws nearer.
Newsweek
3 days ago
- Climate
- Newsweek
Tropical Storm Alvin Path Map, Update For Hurricane Season's First Storm
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. A forecast map shows the expected path for Tropical Storm Alvin as it moves through the Eastern Pacific southwest of Mexico. Why It Matters Alvin became the 2025 season's first named storm after forming on Thursday. Its arrival comes after forecasters previously indicated that the 2025 hurricane season would be above normal. What To Know The storm is forecast to keep moving northwest and may deliver heavy rainfall and strong winds to the southern coast of Baja California Sur, particularly in elevated areas, AccuWeather said in an advisory shared with Newsweek. A map from AccuWeather shows the forecast path for Tropical Storm Alvin. A map from AccuWeather shows the forecast path for Tropical Storm Alvin. AccuWeather Alvin is forecast to maintain tropical storm strength through Saturday, though it is projected to weaken as it nears southwest Mexico. Strong winds and heavy, flooding rain will likely be limited to areas near the coast of Baja California Sur, the outlet said. The intense rainfall could lead to landslides and travel delays, particularly in higher elevations along the southern coast, it added. Bob Larson, a senior meteorologist at AccuWeather previously told Newsweek that while the Eastern Pacific hurricane season has already begun, Tropical Storm Alvin has arrived slightly earlier than normal. The first tropical storm of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season typically forms around June 10. While Alvin developed earlier than usual, Larson said it is not considered "unprecedented." What People Are Saying Fox Weather hurricane specialist Bryan Norcross said: "The Eastern Pacific season kicked off right on schedule. The ocean water off the southern coast of Mexico is always quite warm, and this year the atmospheric pattern over that part of the ocean is quite conducive for development. "Alvin has a good chance of intensifying significantly over the open water. As it tracks farther north, however, the water cools quickly. So, if Alvin affects Cabo San Lucas or nearby areas in northern Mexico, for example, it looks likely to be a weakening storm." Meteorologist Jim Cantore said on X, formerly Twitter on Friday: "Alvin caught in the southwest deep flow and getting sheared and pushed by the dry air around the base of the trough. Alvin's time as a TS is numbered, but the eventual moisture, rain and the 20-30 degree cool down in the southwest will be welcome." #Alvin caught in the southwest deep flow and getting sheared and pushed by the dry air around the base of the trough. Alvin's time as a TS is numbered, but the eventual moisture, rain and the 20-30 degree cool down in the southwest will be welcome. — Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) May 30, 2025 What Happens Next Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1 and runs to November 30, while the eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15, also lasting through November 30. Meanwhile, forecasters are watching a low risk for another development south of Mexico from June 3-6.
Miami Herald
3 days ago
- Climate
- Miami Herald
Tropical Storm Alvin Live Tracker
A live map from shows the current location of Storm Alvin, the first named storm of the season. Alvin became the first named storm system of 2025 when the tropical storm formed in the Eastern Pacific on Thursday morning. Forecasters are anticipating an above-normal hurricane season this year. Forecasters say Alvin could impact western Mexico with strong winds, rainfall, and surf. In a media advisory shared with Newsweek, AccuWeather stated that gusty winds and heavy rainfall will be limited to areas near the coast of Baja California Sur. The intense rain could trigger landslides and cause travel disruptions, particularly in the higher elevations along the southern coast, it said. Alvin is forecast to maintain tropical storm strength through Saturday. However, a slight weakening in wind intensity is anticipated as it tracks northward over cooler ocean waters, according to AccuWeather experts. Fox Weather reported that the storm's winds peaked at 60 miles per hour Friday morning, though they had since decreased to around 50 mph. AccuWeather senior meteorologist Bob Larson previously told Newsweek that while the Eastern Pacific hurricane season has already begun, Tropical Storm Alvin is slightly earlier than average. The first tropical storm of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season typically forms around June 10. While Alvin developed earlier than the average, it is not considered "unprecedented," according to Larson. Meanwhile, forecasters are monitoring a low risk for another potential development, located again south of Mexico, from June 3-6. Fox Weather hurricane specialist Bryan Norcross: "The Eastern Pacific season kicked off right on schedule. The ocean water off the southern coast of Mexico is always quite warm, and this year the atmospheric pattern over that part of the ocean is quite conducive for development. "Alvin has a good chance of intensifying significantly over the open water. As it tracks farther north, however, the water cools quickly. So, if Alvin affects Cabo San Lucas or nearby areas in northern Mexico, for example, it looks likely to be a weakening storm." Meteorologist Jim Cantore, Friday on X, formerly Twitter: "Alvin caught in the southwest deep flow and getting sheared and pushed by the dry air around the base of the trough. Alvin's time as a TS is numbered, but the eventual moisture, rain and the 20-30 degree cool down in the southwest will be welcome." The Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1 and runs through November 30. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season started on May 15 and lasts through November 30. Related Articles Tropical Storm Alvin Becomes First Named 2025 SystemTropical Storm Alvin Spaghetti Models Show Path, ForecastTropical Storm Path as Forecast Shows It's Expected to Form This WeekMap Shows First Tropical Storm Could Form in the Next 7 Days 2025 NEWSWEEK DIGITAL LLC.
Newsweek
3 days ago
- Climate
- Newsweek
Tropical Storm Alvin Live Tracker
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. A live map from shows the current location of Storm Alvin, the first named storm of the season. Why It Matters Alvin became the first named storm system of 2025 when the tropical storm formed in the Eastern Pacific on Thursday morning. Forecasters are anticipating an above-normal hurricane season this year. What To Know Forecasters say Alvin could impact western Mexico with strong winds, rainfall, and surf. In a media advisory shared with Newsweek, AccuWeather stated that gusty winds and heavy rainfall will be limited to areas near the coast of Baja California Sur. The intense rain could trigger landslides and cause travel disruptions, particularly in the higher elevations along the southern coast, it said. Alvin is forecast to maintain tropical storm strength through Saturday. However, a slight weakening in wind intensity is anticipated as it tracks northward over cooler ocean waters, according to AccuWeather experts. Fox Weather reported that the storm's winds peaked at 60 miles per hour Friday morning, though they had since decreased to around 50 mph. AccuWeather senior meteorologist Bob Larson previously told Newsweek that while the Eastern Pacific hurricane season has already begun, Tropical Storm Alvin is slightly earlier than average. The first tropical storm of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season typically forms around June 10. While Alvin developed earlier than the average, it is not considered "unprecedented," according to Larson. Meanwhile, forecasters are monitoring a low risk for another potential development, located again south of Mexico, from June 3-6. An AccuWeather map shows the location of Tropical Storm Alvin. An AccuWeather map shows the location of Tropical Storm Alvin. AccuWeather What People Are Saying Fox Weather hurricane specialist Bryan Norcross: "The Eastern Pacific season kicked off right on schedule. The ocean water off the southern coast of Mexico is always quite warm, and this year the atmospheric pattern over that part of the ocean is quite conducive for development. "Alvin has a good chance of intensifying significantly over the open water. As it tracks farther north, however, the water cools quickly. So, if Alvin affects Cabo San Lucas or nearby areas in northern Mexico, for example, it looks likely to be a weakening storm." Meteorologist Jim Cantore, Friday on X, formerly Twitter: "Alvin caught in the southwest deep flow and getting sheared and pushed by the dry air around the base of the trough. Alvin's time as a TS is numbered, but the eventual moisture, rain and the 20-30 degree cool down in the southwest will be welcome." #Alvin caught in the southwest deep flow and getting sheared and pushed by the dry air around the base of the trough. Alvin's time as a TS is numbered, but the eventual moisture, rain and the 20-30 degree cool down in the southwest will be welcome. — Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) May 30, 2025 What Happens Next The Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1 and runs through November 30. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season started on May 15 and lasts through November 30.
Newsweek
4 days ago
- Climate
- Newsweek
Tropical Storm Alvin Becomes First Named 2025 System
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Tropical Storm Alvin became the first named storm system of 2025 when it formed in the Eastern Pacific on Thursday morning. Why It Matters The Eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Central Pacific and Atlantic hurricane seasons, which start on June 1. Each hurricane season runs through November 30. National Hurricane Center (NHC) experts have been monitoring the disturbance in the Eastern Pacific since last week. The disturbance became a tropical depression on Wednesday afternoon and strengthened further into a tropical storm on Thursday morning. What to Know As of the most recent update issued by the NHC, Tropical Storm Alvin has maximum sustained windspeeds of 60 mph. A tropical storm officially becomes a Category 1 hurricane when windspeeds reach 74 mph. Although the Eastern Pacific hurricane season has already begun, Tropical Storm Alvin is a little earlier than average, AccuWeather senior meteorologist Bob Larson told Newsweek. A National Hurricane Center forecast for Tropical Storm Alvin. A National Hurricane Center forecast for Tropical Storm Alvin. National Hurricane Center The average date for the first tropical storm to form in the Eastern Pacific hurricane season is June 10. Although Alvin is earlier than average, it is not "unprecedented," Larson said. The earliest storm to form was May 9, in 2021. The NHC is not anticipating Tropical Storm Alvin to become a hurricane, although AccuWeather reported it's possible the storm could strengthen briefly into a Category 1 hurricane before it begins to weaken as it nears Mexico's western coast. "Some additional strengthening is expected through early tomorrow, but weakening is expected to begin by late Friday," an NHC public advisory for the storm said. Alvin is forecast to remain a tropical storm through Saturday as it takes a slight turn toward Mexico before weakening into a tropical depression by Sunday. The biggest impact will likely be heavy rain across parts of Mexico. NOAA is forecasting a below-normal hurricane season for the Eastern Pacific with 12 to 18 named storms. Of those, five to 10 will likely become hurricanes, and two to five could develop into major hurricanes. An average season produces 15 tropical storms and four hurricanes, AccuWeather reported. Larson told Newsweek that AccuWeather is forecasting the coming season will be more active than last year, which saw 14 named storms. What People Are Saying Larson told Newsweek: "We are anticipating at least some strengthening as we go through the night tonight and into tomorrow morning." NHC said in a public advisory: "Swells generated by Alvin will affect portions of the coast of west-central Mexico and the coast of the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office." What Happens Next Another tropical storm update will be released by the NHC on Thursday night. People should follow local guidance when it comes to rip currents and dangerous ocean swells in Baja California and on Mexico's western coast.
