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BofA's Hauner Expects More Emerging-Market Gains as Dollar Drops
BofA's Hauner Expects More Emerging-Market Gains as Dollar Drops

Bloomberg

timea day ago

  • Business
  • Bloomberg

BofA's Hauner Expects More Emerging-Market Gains as Dollar Drops

Emerging-market assets look poised to deliver 'several percent' returns this year on expectations of a continued decline in the US dollar, according to Bofa Securities. 'For the year, we can easily maintain the double-digit return and that's because we see the dollar as the most important driver and see a stabilization of the US long-end,' said David Hauner, head of global emerging markets fixed-income strategy at the US brokerage.

India's FY26 GDP growth to slide to 6.2 pc: Nomura
India's FY26 GDP growth to slide to 6.2 pc: Nomura

Economic Times

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • Economic Times

India's FY26 GDP growth to slide to 6.2 pc: Nomura

India's real GDP growth in FY26 will slide further to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25, a Japanese brokerage said on Monday. In a research report, Nomura said there is a "divergence" between the growth in GST collections and across other high-frequency growth indicators like auto sales and bank credit growth. As per the official data released last week, the real GDP growth came down to 6.5 per cent in FY25 from 9.2 per cent in FY24. The RBI sees growth sustaining at 6.5 per cent, the official data showed. "Our baseline view assumes GDP growth moderates to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25," Nomura said in its report. The Japanese brokerage revised its March 2026 Nifty target to 26,140 points, up from the previous level of 24,970 points, on the macroeconomic trends and also sought to temper concerns on valuations. "The Indian equity markets have been resilient in the recent past despite corporate earnings estimate cuts and global uncertainties," Nomura said. "We think positive domestic macros, as reflected in the significant fall in yields and the relatively lower beta of Indian equities underpinned by consistent domestic flows, are supporting market valuation," the report said. American brokerage peer Bofa Securities, however, made a cautious note about equity market valuations and said that they seem to be "full" in the near term. The brokerage, however, said it expects India to continue being the top country to deliver a high number of stock compounders and pointed out nine structural themes aiding it, including rapid infrastructure creation, productivity gains, digitisation and financialisation. Nomura said it prefers domestic-focused sectors against exporters given the global uncertainties, and also expects the investment cycle to get delayed because of the global uncertainties. Consumption stocks have underperformed during the market correction since the peak in September 2024, it said, adding that the current macro environment marked by low inflation, interest rate cuts and income tax cuts presents tailwinds to consumption.

Nomura forecasts India's GDP growth to slide from 6.5% to 6.2% in FY26
Nomura forecasts India's GDP growth to slide from 6.5% to 6.2% in FY26

Business Standard

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • Business Standard

Nomura forecasts India's GDP growth to slide from 6.5% to 6.2% in FY26

In a research report, Nomura said there is a divergence between the growth in GST collections and across other high-frequency growth indicators like auto sales and bank credit growth India's real GDP growth in FY26 will slide further to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25, a Japanese brokerage said on Monday. In a research report, Nomura said there is a "divergence" between the growth in GST collections and across other high-frequency growth indicators like auto sales and bank credit growth. As per the official data released last week, the real GDP growth came down to 6.5 per cent in FY25 from 9.2 per cent in FY24. The RBI sees growth sustaining at 6.5 per cent, the official data showed. "Our baseline view assumes GDP growth moderates to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25," Nomura said in its report. The Japanese brokerage revised its March 2026 Nifty target to 26,140 points, up from the previous level of 24,970 points, on the macroeconomic trends and also sought to temper concerns on valuations. "The Indian equity markets have been resilient in the recent past despite corporate earnings estimate cuts and global uncertainties," Nomura said. "We think positive domestic macros, as reflected in the significant fall in yields and the relatively lower beta of Indian equities underpinned by consistent domestic flows, are supporting market valuation," the report said. American brokerage peer Bofa Securities, however, made a cautious note about equity market valuations and said that they seem to be "full" in the near term. The brokerage, however, said it expects India to continue being the top country to deliver a high number of stock compounders and pointed out nine structural themes aiding it, including rapid infrastructure creation, productivity gains, digitisation and financialisation. Nomura said it prefers domestic-focused sectors against exporters given the global uncertainties, and also expects the investment cycle to get delayed because of the global uncertainties. Consumption stocks have underperformed during the market correction since the peak in September 2024, it said, adding that the current macro environment marked by low inflation, interest rate cuts and income tax cuts presents tailwinds to consumption.

India's FY26 GDP growth to slide to 6.2 pc: Nomura
India's FY26 GDP growth to slide to 6.2 pc: Nomura

Time of India

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • Time of India

India's FY26 GDP growth to slide to 6.2 pc: Nomura

Nomura projects India's real GDP growth to slightly decrease to 6.2% in FY26, down from 6.5% in FY25, noting a divergence in growth indicators. Despite this, they revised their Nifty target upwards, citing positive domestic macroeconomic factors and consistent domestic flows supporting market valuation. Bofa Securities, however, expressed caution regarding near-term equity market valuations. Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads India's real GDP growth in FY26 will slide further to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25, a Japanese brokerage said on a research report, Nomura said there is a "divergence" between the growth in GST collections and across other high-frequency growth indicators like auto sales and bank credit per the official data released last week, the real GDP growth came down to 6.5 per cent in FY25 from 9.2 per cent in RBI sees growth sustaining at 6.5 per cent, the official data showed."Our baseline view assumes GDP growth moderates to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25," Nomura said in its Japanese brokerage revised its March 2026 Nifty target to 26,140 points, up from the previous level of 24,970 points, on the macroeconomic trends and also sought to temper concerns on valuations."The Indian equity markets have been resilient in the recent past despite corporate earnings estimate cuts and global uncertainties," Nomura said."We think positive domestic macros, as reflected in the significant fall in yields and the relatively lower beta of Indian equities underpinned by consistent domestic flows, are supporting market valuation," the report brokerage peer Bofa Securities, however, made a cautious note about equity market valuations and said that they seem to be "full" in the near brokerage, however, said it expects India to continue being the top country to deliver a high number of stock compounders and pointed out nine structural themes aiding it, including rapid infrastructure creation, productivity gains, digitisation and said it prefers domestic-focused sectors against exporters given the global uncertainties, and also expects the investment cycle to get delayed because of the global stocks have underperformed during the market correction since the peak in September 2024, it said, adding that the current macro environment marked by low inflation, interest rate cuts and income tax cuts presents tailwinds to consumption.

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