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Tonys 2025: Best prediction scores by Gold Derby experts, editors, and users
Congratulations to Gold Derby user Brian Tavarus for an exceptional score of 88.46 percent in predicting the 2025 Tonys winners on Sunday. Our top scorer is actually tied with six other people for the overall lead but has the better point score of 13,468 points by using the two Super Bets (500 points each) wisely.
More than 1,100 people worldwide predicted these Broadway champs with our top scorer correctly predicting 23 of 26 categories accurately. Tony, Emmy, and Grammy winner Cynthia Erivo hosted the ceremony in New York City. The top scorer only missed three categories: Best Actor in a Musical (choosing Jonathan Groff over Darren Criss), Best Play (choosing Oh, Mary! over Purpose), and Best Sound Design of a Musical (choosing Sunset Boulevard over Buena Vista Social Club).
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You can see how your score compares to all others in our leaderboard rankings, including links to see each participant's predictions. To see your scores, go to the User menu in the top right corner of every Gold Derby page when you're signed in to the site. Use the drop-down menu to "view profile," then look for the links to your "award show scores."
For our 12 Gold Derby editors predicting, David Buchanan is in first place with 88.46 percent correct (tying him for the overall worldwide lead). In second place are Chris Beachum, Debra Birnbaum, and Joyce Eng with 80.77 percent correct. Denton Davidson, Marcus James Dixon, and Sam Eckmann followed with 76.92 percent. Kevin Sullivan is next with 73.08 percent, and then a tie between Charles Bright and Matt Noble at 69.23 percent. Finishing with 57.69 percent is Rob Licuria and Jaclyn Ben-Poart with 53.85 percent. See editors' scores.
Of the 16 experts who predicted, we have a three-way tie at the top with 84.62 percent for Emily Chackerian (3 Views on Theater), Brian Lipton (Cititour), and Matt Windman (amNY). Another three-way tie follows at 80.77 percent with Andy Humm (Gay USA), Birnbaum, and Eng. Up next at 76.92 percent are Christian Lewis (freelance), Michael Musto (Queerty), Christopher Rosen (The Ankler), and Wayman Wong (Talkin' Broadway). Tied at 73.08 percent are David Sheward (Cultural Weekly) and Peter Travers (ABC). Finishing up are Jessica Derschowitz (freelance) at 65.38 percent, Jan Simpson (3 Views on Theater) at 61.54 percent, Ben-Porat at 53.85 percent, and David Gordon (Theatermania) at 50.00 percent. See experts' scores.
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