Latest news with #BryanNorcross
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6 hours ago
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Bryan Norcross tackles hurricane season's biggest questions with expert insight
NEW YORK – FOX Weather kicked off "Hurricane HQ Week" on Monday with a live Q&A session with Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross, who answered a range of questions about this year's hurricane season. Norcross, who coined the "superstorm" name himself, explained the complex meteorological scenario. "Sandy was a really unusual storm," he said. "It was late October, and it came from the South. It was a hurricane, but it started interacting with northern type systems as it got farther north." Norcross said the National Hurricane Center (NHC) had initially forecast Sandy to transition into a nor'easter. However, Sandy defied typical classifications. "The tropical system was still intact inside the nor'easter," Norcross noted, meaning it maintained tropical characteristics even as it moved into a colder environment. How To Watch Fox Weather Norcross famously decided against calling it a "post-tropical cyclone," explaining that term made it sound like it was over. "And there was nothing that was going to be over," he added. "The winds had not come down, and the storm surge was coming." Typically, we don't get a hurricane until August, according to Norcross. "Now we have had hurricanes in July," he added. "Last year, we had Beryl that formed in July, and that was a freaky storm because it formed so far south that it missed all the hostileness that was just to the north." While rare, Norcross said, hurricanes have happened in June as well. An El Niño generally tends to hold down the number of storms because the upper-level winds become more hostile, Norcross said. While La Niña generally boosts the number of storms, especially if it is a strong La Niña. Currently, the Pacific is in a "neutral phase." A Beginner's Guide To Preparing For The 2025 Hurricane Season Norcross cautioned against relying solely on El Niño/La Niña for hurricane season predictions in a neutral year. "We have plenty of neutral years that have been super busy hurricane seasons, and then we have some that have really been quite quiet," he said. "So the point is that this does not drive the hurricane season moving into a neutral year. So it's other factors that will affect how busy it is." According to Norcross, some hurricane names are permanently retired from rotation. This practice stems from respect for those impacted by devastating storms. "The idea is that you're in South Florida and you talk about Andrew, for a certain number of people, that brings up really bad feelings," Norcross explained, referencing the catastrophic Hurricane Andrew of 1992. "Having another Andrew would simply conjure those painful memories." The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) oversees this retirement process. It's largely based on the emotional and practical needs of the countries most affected by a severe storm. By avoiding the reuse of names linked to widespread destruction, the WMO prevents further article source: Bryan Norcross tackles hurricane season's biggest questions with expert insight
Yahoo
7 hours ago
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Bryan Norcross: A lemon to watch along the Southeast coast
Updated at 10 a.m. ET Tuesday, June 3, 2025 The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is painting a lemon off the Southeast coast. There's a very slight chance of limited tropical development over the next few days. The dying front that has been causing the heavy rain in South Florida will slowly lift north on Tuesday. On Wednesday, it will combine with an upper-level system to develop a non-tropical area of low pressure near the Florida-Georgia line. That new low will pull the tropical moisture north with it. How To Watch Fox Weather As the low-pressure system tracks past Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina tomorrow into Friday, persistent rain, heavy at times, will break out along the coast. If the low-pressure system stays just offshore, there's a slight chance it could develop enough tropical characteristics to be classified as a depression. However, the NHC rates those odds in the very low category. Even if its organizational structure puts it in the depression category, it won't change the weather on the coast. In coastal Georgia and the Carolinas, stay aware of updates from your local National Weather Service article source: Bryan Norcross: A lemon to watch along the Southeast coast
Yahoo
2 days ago
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A beginner's guide to preparing for the 2025 hurricane season
Watch special hurricane season coverage from FOX Weather, your Hurricane HQ, starting Sunday at noon. Tune in Monday to get your hurricane questions answered by FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross. You can catch it all on your favorite streaming platform or in the FOX Weather app. NEW YORK – The Atlantic hurricane season has started, so now is the time to consider how best to prepare for wicked weather if it were to come your way. Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dexter and Erin are some of the first named storms of the 2025 Atlantic season. Understanding the risks of hurricanes and how to prepare yourself best is essential, especially if things don't go as planned. Click here for the remaining 2025 hurricane names with pronunciations. A good rule of thumb for a hurricane is that the right side of the storm is the most dangerous part of the hurricane. Usually, the right-front quadrant of a storm in the Northern Hemisphere carries higher winds, waves and storm surge, according to the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research. Tropical cyclones often produce widespread torrential rainfall far from the most damaging winds. This means inland flooding can sometimes be seen hundreds of miles from the coast. Why Is The Right Side Of A Hurricane More Dangerous? Preparing a hurricane emergency kit is an excellent way to take matters into your own hands. The National Weather Service recommends using a backpack or storage tub to hold your supplies. It should have enough supplies to last for at least three days. Essential supplies you should consider packing are at least a gallon of water per person per day, canned food, cash, and official documents such as an ID. What To Put In An Emergency Kit Hurricane season, which in the Atlantic Ocean runs from June 1 to Nov. 30, often brings with it a slew of scientific terms. Here is a glossary of some words you might hear during FOX Weather's hurricane coverage and what they mean. These definitions come from a mix of FOX Weather's meteorologists, the National Hurricane Center, and the National Weather Service. Buzzwords You'll Be Hearing During Hurricane Season Noaa advises keeping a safe distance from flooded or damaged areas. Getting to high ground away from water and flood-prone areas is also essential. Knowing what to do during severe weather can save your life and the lives of others. If you're being told to evacuate, you should heed those warnings and stay safe. If you opt to stay home during the storm, here are some hurricane safety tips to help you weather it. Learn How To Survive A Hurricane If You Didn't Evacuate After a hurricane passes, returning to the disaster area or venturing outdoors can pose a unique set of dangers and challenges, but there are things you can do to stay safe. Your local officials will be key in providing information like when it's safe to return home and what areas to avoid. What To Do After A Hurricane Understanding the threat in your local area and remaining weather-aware is significant. According to the NWS, 78 deaths resulted from hurricanes in article source: A beginner's guide to preparing for the 2025 hurricane season
Yahoo
4 days ago
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First Tropical Storm of Season Gets Named, Here's Where It's Headed
The first named stormed of the 2025 hurricane season has arrived, and it's making its way over the Eastern Pacific Ocean. Located about 500 miles south-southeast of the southern tip of Mexico's Baja California Peninsula, Tropical Storm Alvin is currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). According to FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross, Tropical Storm Alvin formed in the Eastern Pacific. 'The Eastern Pacific season kicked off right on schedule. The ocean water off the southern coast of Mexico is always quite warm, and this year the atmospheric pattern over that part of the ocean is quite conducive for development,' Norcross said. 'Alvin has a good chance of intensifying significantly over the open water. As it tracks farther north, however, the water cools quickly. So, if Alvin affects Cabo San Lucas or nearby areas in northern Mexico, for example, it looks likely to be a weakening storm.' Not only does Tropical Storm Alvin mark the first storm of the season in the Eastern Pacific, but it's the first across all ocean basins throughout the Northern Hemisphere. Tropical Storm Alvin is forecasted to stay far enough offshore that its effects on the Mexican coast will be minimal, limited primarily to larger swells and stronger rip currents along coastal areas. There are as many as 18 named storms and 10 hurricanes forecasted for this year, according to Mexico's National Weather Service. Alvin is expected to reach cooler waters by Friday before it fall apart south of Mexico's Baja California Peninsula. First Tropical Storm of Season Gets Named, Here's Where It's Headed first appeared on Men's Journal on May 30, 2025
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4 days ago
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Artificial intelligence among new tech shaping forecasts during 2025 hurricane season
MIAMI – In light of hurricane season starting this weekend, NOAA's National Hurricane Center (NHC) provided a sneak peek into how the agency has updated its approach to forecasting hurricanes, particularly by using new technology. NHC Director Michael Brennan told FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross on Friday that some of those changes include upgrading NOAA's hurricane analysis and forecast system hurricane models this summer. They will also apply updates to how his team forecasts rapid intensification, which is when a tropical cyclone's maximum sustained winds increase by at least 35 mph in a 24-hour period. Brennan said progress has been made in this field since Katrina hit in August 2005, allowing forecasters to improve their understanding of how intensity works. Another update to the NHC's forecasting includes using a new Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite, or GOES. Brennan noted how the satellite, which has been parked over the Atlantic and the eastern U.S., is already being used as the primary tool for monitoring the tropics, or the area of the Atlantic where tropical storms form. Noaa's Goes-19 Weather Satellite Begins Operations In Orbit Perhaps one of the newest types of technology the NHC will use in developing its forecasts is artificial intelligence (AI). Traditionally, some of the more accurate forecasts are developed by taking the so-called "averages" of multiple weather models. This year, meteorologists at the NHC will begin to test models produced by AI in the context of traditional modeling when they build their forecasts. "They're (AI) not going to be part of our official sort of consensus or blended models this year, but we may make some additional ones on the side that we're going to test out and see how they do and perform," Brennan said. He noted how AI might especially show a lot of promise when it comes to forecasting the path of a hurricane. However, he looks at that potential with a keen eye. "It's important for us to look at it ourselves, do our own evaluation and see how it fits in," he said. NOAA said this hurricane season is expected to see 13-19 named storms, or storms with maximum sustained winds strong enough to classify them as either tropical storms or hurricanes. In fact, NOAA predicts that 6-10 of those named storms will be hurricanes, and about half of those are expected to become major hurricanes with sustained winds of at least 111 mph. 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook FOX Weather will premiere two specials on the FOX Weather channel and FOX Weather app as the U.S. kicks off hurricane season. The first special will be "Hurricane HQ: Eye on the Season," which will air on Sunday at noon ET. In this special, FOX Weather Meteorologist Ian Oliver revisits hard-hit communities from last year's deadly storms, while Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross breaks down the driving forces behind the season ahead. On Monday at 9 a.m. ET, Norcross will answer hurricane questions live during a unique, interactive hourlong special called "Hurricane HQ&A with Bryan Norcross." How To Watch Fox Weather In addition to the two specials, FOX Weather will also kick off the official start of the 2025 hurricane season with "Hurricane HQ Week." The network's meteorologists will share the latest predictions, heartfelt stories of survival and talk with those still rebuilding from last year's destructive storms. You can watch FOX Weather on your favorite platform or streaming device and on your FOX Weather article source: Artificial intelligence among new tech shaping forecasts during 2025 hurricane season
