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Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP): A Bull Case Theory
Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP): A Bull Case Theory

Yahoo

time30-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP) on P14 Capital's Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on CTLP. Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP)'s share was trading at $8.58 as of 27th May. CTLP's trailing and forward P/E were 10.72 and 18.25 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. Cantaloupe Inc. (CTLP) reported mixed results for its fiscal third quarter of 2025, with revenue increasing 11.1% year-over-year to $75.4 million, slightly missing consensus estimates by $4.4 million. The quarter's revenue growth was impacted by weather-related disruptions in the Northeast and Midwest, which softened transaction volumes. While both transaction and subscription fees grew approximately 10% year-over-year, this represented a slowdown from previous quarters. However, the company delivered strong operational efficiency, with gross margin expanding by 120 basis points year-over-year to 39.5% and adjusted EBITDA increasing 36.6% to $13.9 million, representing a 21.35% margin. GAAP EPS came in at $0.65 due to a $42.2 million tax benefit, while adjusted EPS was $0.09, up 52% year-over-year. Cantaloupe's Smart Store product line showed strong momentum with over $2 million in sales, and demand is expected to accelerate in the fiscal fourth quarter. The company also highlighted strategic wins, including an exclusive point-of-sale deal with Carnival Cruise Line through Cheq, and new deployments at sports and entertainment venues such as PayPal Park and SAP Center. It launched the Engage Pulse reader tailored for amusement venues, further diversifying its customer base. While international growth remains a future opportunity, it currently contributes minimally to revenue. Management lowered full-year revenue guidance to $302–$308 million from a prior range of $308–$322 million, though EBITDA guidance of $46–$50 million was reaffirmed. Analysts maintain a constructive long-term view, with a 2026 price target of $14.40, representing approximately 87% upside from current levels. Previously, we have covered Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTPL) before their earnings update, wherein we summarized a bullish thesis by the same author. The author highlighted the company's strong fundamentals, margin expansion, and growth in cashless payments. The article also noted potential upside from a strategic review, including a possible sale or go-private deal. Since our last coverage, the stock is up 8.88% as of 28th May. Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP) is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 22 hedge fund portfolios held CTLP at the end of the first quarter which was 19 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of CTLP as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than CTLP but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey. Sign in to access your portfolio

Cantaloupe Inc (CTLP) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Revenue Growth and Smart Store Success ...
Cantaloupe Inc (CTLP) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Revenue Growth and Smart Store Success ...

Yahoo

time09-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Cantaloupe Inc (CTLP) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Revenue Growth and Smart Store Success ...

Release Date: May 08, 2025 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Cantaloupe Inc (NASDAQ:CTLP) reported an 11% year-over-year increase in total revenue for Q3 2025, reaching $75.4 million. The company achieved a 37% increase in adjusted EBITDA, amounting to $13.9 million, reflecting successful margin expansion and operating leverage. Cantaloupe Inc (NASDAQ:CTLP) experienced strong cash generation, with $22.4 million in cash from operating activities during the quarter. The company saw significant growth in its smart store product, with over $2 million in shipments, indicating strong demand in new verticals. Cantaloupe Inc (NASDAQ:CTLP) released a $42.2 million valuation allowance on deferred tax assets, contributing to a net income of $48.9 million for the quarter. Revenue was lower than anticipated due to one-time weather events impacting transaction revenue and delays in equipment purchases. Transaction revenue was materially impacted by adverse weather events, leading to abnormally low traffic in customer locations. There was a pullback in large equipment purchases due to economic uncertainty, affecting sales in the quarter. The company faced supply constraints for its smart store product, limiting its ability to meet demand. International revenue remains a small portion of total revenue, expected to be only 3-4% by the end of fiscal year 2025. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with CTLP. Q: Can you quantify the weather impact on transaction revenue for the quarter? A: Yes, the weather impact was approximately $2 million, mostly in January and a little in February. - Scott Stewart, CFO Q: What are the early indications of demand for the smart store product, and do you expect it to ramp up quickly? A: We are already seeing a ramp-up in the fourth quarter. The smart store is our hottest selling product, with significant interest at industry conferences. We expect it to translate into strong fourth-quarter equipment revenue. - Ravi Venkates, CEO Q: Can you provide updates on your progress in Europe and Latin America? A: We have exciting updates, but it's premature to share them. Scaling is continuing with large customers and in the SMB space. Expect releases soon. - Ravi Venkates, CEO Q: How does the revenue opportunity compare between traditional vending, smart stores, and other verticals? A: Vending will grow 5-6%, micro markets 30-40%, and smart stores and related technologies could grow 100-200% in the next 2-3 years, becoming a significant market share. - Ravi Venkates, CEO Q: What do you expect international revenue to be as a percentage by the end of the year? A: We anticipate international revenue to be 3-4% as we exit the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, with continued growth expected in FY26. - Scott Stewart, CFO For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP): A Bull Case Theory
Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP): A Bull Case Theory

Yahoo

time07-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP) on Substack by P14 Capital. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on CTLP. Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP)'s share was trading at $8.12 as of May 2nd. CTLP's trailing and forward P/E were 42.74 and 17.27 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. A customer interacting with a point-of-sale terminal, demonstrating the impact of targeted loyalty marketing. Cantaloupe Inc. (CTLP) stands out as a deeply compelling investment opportunity, particularly in the context of its recent share price decline from a 52-week high of $11.36. The drop, largely attributable to macroeconomic uncertainty and small-cap selling pressure, obscures the company's strong fundamentals and unique positioning as a leader in the fast-growing self-service commerce space. Despite the near-term volatility, CTLP is poised to benefit from powerful secular trends, including increased adoption of micro-markets, smart unattended retail solutions, and cashless payments. Its most recent quarterly results reaffirm the strength of its business model, with robust growth across subscription and transaction revenues. In 2Q25, subscription revenue rose 14.1% year-over-year (Y/Y), while transaction revenue jumped 17.15% Y/Y, supported by a 10.43% Y/Y increase in average ticket sizes and stable take rates. These drivers also pushed average revenue per user (ARPU) up 11.15% Y/Y. The company's SEED software platform continues to gain traction, with rising attach rates helping boost recurring revenue and customer stickiness. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance, targeting 17.5% Y/Y revenue growth, with strength in equipment sales in the second half—particularly from Smart Store units that carry high margins and are priced between $12K and $15K. Beyond domestic tailwinds, Cantaloupe's international expansion—especially in Latin America—offers underappreciated long-term optionality. Though rollout has been methodical, management is focused on disciplined execution and sustainable growth. Meanwhile, the company is exhibiting strong operating leverage. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter rose 26% Y/Y to $10.7 million, with margins expanding to 14.5%, up from 13% a year ago. Transaction margins increased 4.5% Y/Y to 25.6% due to better routing efficiency and larger transaction sizes. Equipment margins also improved significantly to 9.1%, on track to reach 13.5% by FY28. Subscription margins remained healthy at 78.8%, leaving ample room for incremental gains. Active customers rose 9.6% Y/Y and active devices were up 3.5% Y/Y, reflecting accelerating adoption and growing penetration across both traditional vending and new verticals like sports stadiums, auto dealerships, and senior living centers. With its full-year revenue and margin outlook de-risked, CTLP is well-positioned for continued outperformance and offers an attractive entry point for investors looking for resilient, cash-generating growth stories.

Cantaloupe price target raised to $11.50 from $10.50 at B. Riley
Cantaloupe price target raised to $11.50 from $10.50 at B. Riley

Yahoo

time10-02-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Cantaloupe price target raised to $11.50 from $10.50 at B. Riley

B. Riley raised the firm's price target on Cantaloupe (CTLP) to $11.50 from $10.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The revenue miss was almost entirely attributable to lower-margin equipment sales, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the stock's risk/reward remains attractive. Leverage the power of TipRanks' Smart Score, a data-driven tool to help you uncover top performing stocks and make informed investment decisions. Monitor your stock picks and compare them to top Wall Street Analysts' recommendations with Your Smart Portfolio Published first on TheFly – the ultimate source for real-time, market-moving breaking financial news. Try Now>> See the top stocks recommended by analysts >> Read More on CTLP: Cantaloupe, Inc. Reports Strong Q2 Financial Performance Closing Bell Movers: Amazon slips 4% on soft Q1 outlook, capex plans Cantaloupe reports Q2 EPS 7c, two estimates 7c Cantaloupe backs FY25 revenue view $308M-$322M, consensus $312.03M CTLP Earnings this Week: How Will it Perform?

Cantaloupe Inc (CTLP) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Margin Expansion
Cantaloupe Inc (CTLP) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Margin Expansion

Yahoo

time07-02-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Cantaloupe Inc (CTLP) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Margin Expansion

Total Revenue: $73.7 million, up 13% year over year. Transaction Revenue: $44.4 million, an increase of 17% year over year. Subscription Revenue: $20.7 million, a 14% increase year over year. Adjusted Gross Margin: 41.7%, up from 37.2% in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA: $10.7 million, a 26% increase from the previous year. Net Income: $5 million, or $0.07 earnings per share. Cash and Cash Equivalents: $27.7 million at the end of the quarter. Active Customers: Over 32,000, a 10% increase year over year. Active Devices: 1.3 million, a 4% increase year over year. Average Revenue Per Unit (RPO): $202, up 12% from the prior year period. Equipment Revenue: $8.6 million, a decrease of 7% year over year. Total Operating Expenses: $24.5 million, up from $20.7 million in the prior year. Fiscal Year 2025 Revenue Guidance: $308 to $322 million, representing 15% to 20% growth. Fiscal Year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance: $44 million to $52 million. Fiscal Year 2025 Operating Cash Flow Guidance: $24 million to $32 million. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with CTLP. Release Date: February 06, 2025 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Cantaloupe Inc (NASDAQ:CTLP) reported a 13% year-over-year increase in total revenue for Q2, reaching $73.7 million. Transaction revenue grew by 17% and subscription revenue by 14% year-over-year, indicating strong performance in these segments. The company achieved a total adjusted gross margin of 41.7%, up from 37.2% in the same quarter last year. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 26% year-over-year, reflecting successful expansion of operating leverage. Cantaloupe Inc (NASDAQ:CTLP) continues to see strong growth in micro markets and penetration of seed software with both existing and new customers. Equipment revenue decreased by 7% compared to Q2 FY24, indicating potential challenges in this segment. Total operating expenses increased to $24.5 million from $20.7 million in Q2 FY24, largely due to expenses from recent acquisitions. The cash balance decreased compared to the year-end balance as of June 30, 2024, due to timing of payments for transaction processing. The international business mix remains under 5%, suggesting limited growth in international markets. The guidance range for total revenue is relatively wide, indicating uncertainty in achieving the higher end of the forecast. Q: Can you discuss the evolution of your average revenue per unit and how your business mix is changing? A: Scott Stewart, CFO: We've seen significant growth in transaction processing, with average ticket sizes increasing. At our Investor Day in December 2022, we projected that if a customer purchased every product at list price, revenue could reach $400 per unit. This remains true, with potential for further increase due to new software releases and strategic sales targeting high-revenue locations. Q: Any updates on your international strategy and current business mix between the US and international markets? A: Ravi Venkatesan, CEO: We are progressing well internationally, particularly in Latin America, where we've focused on robust deployments to maximize transactions. Our international business mix remains under 5%, but we expect acceleration as we execute our second-half priorities. Q: How does the new micro-lending service through Cantaloupe Capital work, and are you holding any of the loans? A: Ravi Venkatesan, CEO: We do not hold or underwrite the loans. The service is offered through a partner, providing a convenient way for customers to secure loans via our platform. This initiative aims to alleviate capital constraints for our customers, enabling them to expand their business without us being financially liable. Q: What are the key growth drivers for Cantaloupe, particularly regarding micro markets and smart stores? A: Ravi Venkatesan, CEO: Growth is driven by expanded micro market footprints, smart store products, and strategic location placements. We're also seeing increased transaction values from new location types like universities and hospitals, contributing to higher average revenue per unit. Q: Is the improvement in subscription and transaction gross margins sustainable? A: Scott Stewart, CFO: Yes, we believe the current margin levels are sustainable. We've seen an increase in our take rate and continue to benefit from cost reduction measures and improved transaction routing. The higher average ticket price also supports margin improvements. For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Sign in to access your portfolio

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