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Fantasy bullpen report features concern for closers Mason Miller and Tanner Scott
Fantasy bullpen report features concern for closers Mason Miller and Tanner Scott

New York Times

time2 days ago

  • General
  • New York Times

Fantasy bullpen report features concern for closers Mason Miller and Tanner Scott

As spring transitions into summer, so do high-leverage roles in fantasy baseball. After Wednesday's loss in Detroit, Giants manager Bob Melvin announced Camilo Doval will resume closer duties, with Ryan Walker returning to a set-up role. Walker has pitched better of late, but his 1.30 WHIP and reduced swinging strike rate necessitated the change. Doval takes over amid a 19-game scoreless streak, during which he has recorded two wins, three saves, seven holds and 18 strikeouts against five walks (21.7 K-BB percentage) over 18 innings. Advertisement Last week, Texas reliever Luke Jackson was featured in my 'Closer Concerns' section and he has since been removed from save situations by Bruce Bochy. Robert Garcia recorded the first save since this occurred, but based on recent usage patterns, he may be deployed as the highest-leverage reliever (HLR) rather than as a traditional closer. Roles may be settling in for the Pirates, with David Bednar recording the past two saves, but I will continue to list them as a shared save situation in my leverage pathways for at least one more week. In Arizona, Justin Martinez returned from the injured list and will be 'eased' into save chances, while A.J. Puk ramps up his return to pitch protocols with an eye on being activated in late June. With all this in mind, my leverage pathways have been updated. Here are the high-leverage pathway identifiers. Each team will receive one of the following labels: Access The Athletic's guide for abbreviations used in fantasy baseball. Robert Garcia (TEX): Despite allowing a run in three straight appearances between May 18 and 25, he recorded a save on May 27 and was used against Toronto's 2-3-4 lineup pocket the following day. This may designate him as the highest-leverage reliever and the preferred save share moving forward. Kumar Rocker will not be used as a reliever, but Jon Gray could return as one by July. Griffin Jax (MIN): Over his past six games, he has recorded 13 strikeouts against one walk (57.1 K-BB percentage) with a 0.50 WHIP and an 18.9 percent swinging strike rate. Seranthony Dominguez (BAL): He struggled early on incorporating a split-finger fastball into his arsenal, but he has surged in recent appearances, posting a save, a hold, and six strikeouts versus zero walks (42.9 K-BB percentage) in his past three games, spanning four innings. Advertisement Mason Miller (ATH): It's been a rough month for the talented reliever. He has allowed at least a run in four of eight May appearances, and multiple runs in three of those contests. It's resulted in 11 runs (10 earned) across 7.2 innings, including two home runs. Contact has been an issue — he's allowed six barrels in his first 34 batted ball events this season (17.6 barrel percentage) versus seven all of last year across 123 events. His hard-hit rate percentage has risen from 32.5 percent in 2024 to its current 50 percent. What is confusing is he has reduced his contact rate by over five percent, but his Z-contact (in the strike zone) has increased by four percentage points. Delving a bit deeper, his strike percentage has decreased by three percent, and his first-strike percentage sits 6.7 percentage points below last season. Count leverage affected Devin Williams earlier this season and could be the culprit in this scenario as well. Baseball-Reference tracks 3-0 count and 0-2 count percentages: All three home runs Miller has allowed this season have been against his four-seam fastball, which has a .373 expected weighted on-base average with a .532 expected slugging percentage. Fine-tuning his command in the strike zone with the fastball can put him in advantageous counts, allowing him to deploy his devastating slider (27.9 swinging strike percentage in 2025). His current 5.79 ERA is accompanied by a 1.94 SIERA and a 3.41 xERA. This is a broad range of predictors, and his rest-of-the-season results probably lie somewhere between them. Trust in his talent while monitoring his results in June. Reed Garrett (NYM): He hasn't been scored upon in his past seven appearances and recorded a save in the past two. He will not be replacing Edwin Díaz anytime soon, but in mixed leagues, he represents a viable stream option for saves. Ben Casparius (LAD): Across his past three relief outings, he has racked up 10 strikeouts against one walk (56.2 K-BB%) in five innings. In 17 appearances as a reliever this season, he has logged 32.2 innings, with 37 strikeouts against six walks (23.8 K-BB percentage), a 15.1 swinging strike percentage and a 0.98 WHIP. Advertisement Randy Rodríguez (SF): Although Doval will garner most of the attention this week, Rodríguez has been racking up strikeouts. Through 11 games in May, he has recorded two wins and four holds across 12 scoreless frames, with 20 strikeouts versus three walks (40.5 K-BB percentage), a 0.58 WHIP and a robust 21.5 swinging strike percentage. Tanner Scott (LAD): He has allowed multiple runs in three of his past five appearances, including Wednesday's loss and blown save in Cleveland. He has experienced a spike in his batting average on balls in play (BABIP), combined with extended outings where injuries have decimated his leverage ladder. This chart breaks down his results from his first 21 games compared to his past five: There are more whiffs available if he ramps up his slider use, though he has not thrown as many this season. Do not overreact to this small sample, but do monitor how he responds during his outings in June. Here is his rolling-game chart from FanGraphs: *Multi-inning or bridge relievers who can vulture wins and help protect ratios. Statistical Credits (through games played on May 28): and Check out my work at Reliever Recon and Closer Monkey for daily updates. (Photo of Mason Miller: Ross Cameron / Imagn Images)

Fantasy Baseball Closer Report: Giants make a change as Camilo Doval assumes closer role
Fantasy Baseball Closer Report: Giants make a change as Camilo Doval assumes closer role

NBC Sports

time3 days ago

  • Sport
  • NBC Sports

Fantasy Baseball Closer Report: Giants make a change as Camilo Doval assumes closer role

In this week's Closer Report, Camilo Doval has officially been named the Giants' closer as he supplants Ryan Walker. Daniel Palencia is taking advantage of his opportunity in Chicago. And the Diamondbacks get Justin Martinez back from the injured list. All that and more as we run down the last week in saves. Andrés Muñoz - Seattle Mariners Josh Hader - Houston Astros Muñoz picked up a save with a perfect inning against the Astros on Friday, needing just seven pitches to secure his 17th of the season. The 26-year-old right-hander still holds a clean 0.00 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, and a 28/8 K/BB ratio across 22 2/3 innings. Hader got his turn on Saturday and struck out the side against Seattle for the save. He then worked around a hit, collecting three more strikeouts to lock down his 14th save against the Athletics on Wednesday. Robert Suarez - San Diego Padres Edwin Díaz - New York Mets Mason Miller - Athletics Luke Weaver - New York Yankees Jhoan Duran - Minnesota Twins Suarez had a busy week on the mound, pitching in four out of six games and picking up two saves. The 34-year-old right-hander is up to 17 this season with a 2.35 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and a 23/8 K/BB ratio across 23 innings. With Suarez getting the night off on Tuesday, Jeremiah Estrada stepped in for his first save of the season, striking out two batters against the Marlins. Díaz recorded a save and a win this week as he extended his scoreless streak to 12 appearances. He's up to 11 saves with a 2.42 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and a 31/11 K/BB ratio across 22 1/3 innings. Miller worked three straight games against the Phillies this week. His struggles continued Friday as he allowed three runs in a non-save situation. He got a save chance Saturday but allowed a game-tying homer before striking out the side. Miller finally came through with a scoreless outing Sunday, picking up his 12th save. Weaver secured two more saves over the last week against the Rangers and Rockies, then worked a scoreless inning in a non-save situation against the Angels on Monday. The 31-year-old right-hander has recorded eight saves with a 0.73 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, and a 23/7 K/BB ratio across 24 23 innings. With Weaver getting a day off, Devin Williams stepped in for the save chance with a three-run lead and surrendered two runs before converting the save, his first since April 17. Weaver's role should be safe for the time being. It was a mixed bag of results for Duran. He fell in line for a win Saturday against the Royals, then took a loss Sunday before bouncing back with a save against the Rays on Tuesday. Still, the 27-year-old right-hander holds a 1.07 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and a 30/11 K/BB ratio across 25 1/3 innings. Emmanuel Clase - Cleveland Guardians Ryan Helsley - St. Louis Cardinals Tanner Scott - Los Angeles Dodgers Jeff Hoffman - Toronto Blue Jays Trevor Megill - Milwaukee Brewers Aroldis Chapman - Boston Red Sox Pete Fairbanks - Tampa Bay Rays Camilo Doval - San Francisco Giants Will Vest/Tommy Kahnle - Detroit Tigers Kyle Finnegan - Washington Nationals Raisel Iglesias - Atlanta Braves Félix Bautista - Baltimore Orioles Justin Martinez - Arizona Diamondbacks Clase worked back-to-back games against the Tigers, picking up a save Friday with a clean inning before giving up two runs, one earned, in a non-save situation Saturday. He bounced back Wednesday with his 11th save, striking out one batter against the Dodgers. Helsley held on for a save on Friday against the Diamondbacks despite giving up two runs. He then fell in line for a win with a scoreless inning Saturday and struck out two in a clean outing for a save Tuesday. The 30-year-old right-hander has converted 11 saves with a 3.32 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, and a 21/11 K/BB ratio across 19 innings. Scott is in the middle of a rough stretch, giving up nine runs over his last five outings. He blew a save Friday with three runs allowed against the Mets, then surrendered a lead in the eighth with four runs given up against the Guardians on Wednesday. Hoffman gave up two runs to blow a save chance against the Padres last Thursday, then bounced back with saves on Monday and Wednesday against the Rangers. The 32-year-old right-hander has struggled this month, giving up 13 runs after taking a 1.17 ERA through April. Megill secured three saves in five days over the last week, giving him ten on the season to go with a 2.45 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, and a 20/11 K/BB ratio across 18 1/3 innings. He's recorded seven saves this month after just three through April. Chapman blew a save chance Tuesday against the Brewers, then pitched a scoreless inning in a non-save situation Wednesday. He remains at eight saves with a 2.05 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and a 29/8 K/BB ratio across 22 innings. Fairbanks worked back-to-back saves against the Blue Jays this week, collecting two strikeouts over two scoreless innings. The 31-year-old right-hander is up to ten saves with a 2.05 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and a 22/12 K/BB ratio across 22 innings. This is where Doval starts in the rankings after he was anointed the Giants' closer on Wednesday. Manager Bob Melvin stated Ryan Walker will take a step back into setup duties while Doval moves forward as closer. The 27-year-old right-hander has already recorded five saves and has not allowed a run over his last 19 appearances dating back to April 7. Vest converted back-to-back saves on Monday and Tuesday against the Giants. After pitching in three of four games, Kahnle stepped in for the save Wednesday. Both relievers are up to seven saves, though Vest has been the preferred option over the last several weeks. Finnegan was sidelined for a few days as he nursed some shoulder fatigue. Jorge López stepped in for a save on Saturday against the Giants. Meanwhile, Iglesias continues his inconsistent performance and he's struggled with home runs. He gave up a solo homer on Friday against the Padres to take the loss. And in Baltimore, Bautista had some better outings this week with two clean appearances, including his eighth save of the season Monday against the Cardinals. Martinez returned for the Diamondbacks this week. He made his first appearance on Saturday against the Cardinals and surrendered two runs to blow the lead. While not the results he wanted, his velocity was back up to 100 mph. He made a clean appearance with one strikeout against the Pirates on Monday. Martinez should step into primary closing duties with Shelby Miller potentially mixing in if Martinez faces the tough part of a lineup in the eighth. AJ Puk is in the middle of his rehab from an elbow injury and is eligible to return on July 1. Daniel Palencia - Chicago Cubs David Bednar/Dennis Santana - Pittsburgh Pirates Emilio Pagan - Cincinnati Reds Jordan Romano - Philadelphia Phillies Kenley Jansen - Los Angeles Angels Carlos Estévez - Kansas City Royals Robert Garcia - Texas Rangers With Porter Hodge on the injured list with an oblique strain, Palencia has gotten the chance to run with the closer role for the Cubs. He's locked down four saves over the last eight days and holds a 1.83 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and a 21/7 K/BB ratio across 19 2/3 innings. Bednar recorded two saves for the Pirates and has three of the team's last four as it seems he's becoming the preferred option for the ninth inning. Pagan surrendered a run against the Cubs on Saturday before holding on for his 13th save. He allowed another run Monday in a non-save situation. In Philadelphia, Romano broke a nine-game scoreless streak with three runs allowed in a non-save situation against the Athletics on Friday, then bounced back with a save against the Braves on Tuesday. Jansen made one appearance this week, working around two walks and striking out one batter for a save against the Marlins on Friday. The 37-year-old right-hander is up to 11 saves with a 4.96 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, and a 16/5 K/BB ratio across 16 1/3 innings. Estévez earned a win in his only outing this week as he recorded four outs and collected two strikeouts against the Twins on Sunday. And in Texas, Garcia has the last two saves and three on the season as he usurps Luke Jackson as closer. Ronny Henriquez - Miami Marlins Zach Agnos - Colorado Rockies Jordan Leasure/Steven Wilson - Chicago White Sox Henriquez was featured in last week's stash section and was given a chance to close out games this week. He picked up a win Saturday against the Angels, then converted a save with two strikeouts on Sunday. However, he gave up two runs to lose the lead when the team used him in the seventh and eighth on Wednesday. Calvin Faucher recorded the save. It's been a fluid situation all season, but Henriquez likely has the most upside of the group. Meanwhile, Agnos recorded one save for Colorado and Wilson locked down a save for the White Sox. Aaron Ashby made his season debut for the Brewers this week after missing the beginning of the season with an oblique injury. The 27-year-old left-hander once showed promise as a starting pitcher but has been much more effective out of the bullpen. He's made two appearances, pitching three scoreless innings with four strikeouts. While Trevor Megill and Abner Uribe have the late innings locked down, Ashby could be in line for multi-inning outings that could be useful for strikeouts in deeper leagues. The Angels could be getting a major bullpen upgrade with the addition of Robert Stephenson, who was activated from the 60-day injured list on Wednesday. The 32-year-old right-hander missed all of last season recovering from Tommy John surgery. Stephenson struck out two in a clean inning of work against the Yankees in his first action back and could work his way into high-leverage work in short order.

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