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Shareholders in Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) are in the red if they invested three years ago
Shareholders in Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) are in the red if they invested three years ago

Yahoo

time06-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Shareholders in Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) are in the red if they invested three years ago

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But if you try your hand at stock picking, you risk returning less than the market. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Collins Foods Limited (ASX:CKF) shareholders, since the share price is down 16% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 25%. So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress. We check all companies for important risks. See what we found for Collins Foods in our free report. While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS). During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Collins Foods actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 5.3% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics. We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 10% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating Collins Foods further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity. The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers). We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. If you are thinking of buying or selling Collins Foods stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts. It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Collins Foods' TSR for the last 3 years was -7.8%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments! Collins Foods shareholders are down 9.3% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 8.6%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid. If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar). Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Institutions own 42% of Collins Foods Limited (ASX:CKF) shares but individual investors control 47% of the company
Institutions own 42% of Collins Foods Limited (ASX:CKF) shares but individual investors control 47% of the company

Yahoo

time26-03-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Institutions own 42% of Collins Foods Limited (ASX:CKF) shares but individual investors control 47% of the company

Collins Foods' significant individual investors ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public The top 21 shareholders own 50% of the company Institutions own 42% of Collins Foods Every investor in Collins Foods Limited (ASX:CKF) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. We can see that individual investors own the lion's share in the company with 47% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn). And institutions on the other hand have a 42% ownership in the company. Institutions often own shares in more established companies, while it's not unusual to see insiders own a fair bit of smaller companies. Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Collins Foods, beginning with the chart below. Check out our latest analysis for Collins Foods Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices. We can see that Collins Foods does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Collins Foods' earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters. Hedge funds don't have many shares in Collins Foods. Kevin William Perkins is currently the company's largest shareholder with 6.1% of shares outstanding. The second and third largest shareholders are Yarra Funds Management Limited and Orbis Investment Management Limited, with an equal amount of shares to their name at 6.1%. A closer look at our ownership figures suggests that the top 21 shareholders have a combined ownership of 50% implying that no single shareholder has a majority. While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily. While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO. I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions. We can see that insiders own shares in Collins Foods Limited. In their own names, insiders own AU$72m worth of stock in the AU$1.0b company. Some would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board. But it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling. The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 47% stake in Collins Foods. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run. We can see that Private Companies own 4.4%, of the shares on issue. It's hard to draw any conclusions from this fact alone, so its worth looking into who owns those private companies. Sometimes insiders or other related parties have an interest in shares in a public company through a separate private company. It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Collins Foods better, we need to consider many other factors. Many find it useful to take an in depth look at how a company has performed in the past. You can access this detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow. If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future. NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Sign in to access your portfolio

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