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Best bets and value play for Mornington races Monday

News Corp form analyst Brad Waters looks at Monday's meeting at Mornington. BEST BET LAVA DELTA (Race 2 No. 13 – $2.30) The Clinton McDonald-trained filly raced on the speed and tried hard at Cranbourne. A similar effort should bring a win at Mornington. NEXT BEST SHOWMARA (Race 4 No. 1 – $10) The local three-year-old was too strong at Wodonga to continue a promising campaign. Hard to beat if he runs out the 2000m. AMAPOLA (Race 6 No. 8 – $8) Amapola led and kept giving to score at Kyneton third-up. She's an improving and drawn to be in this for a long way as well. VALUE BET ARABIAN MYTH (Race 3 No. 1 – $19) Arabian Myth raced wide and fought on solidly at Geelong fresh. He'll be fitter and blinkers go on for this. THE JOCKEY ZAC SPAIN Jockey Zac Spain heads to Mornington for four rides on Monday. MR YUM CHA (Race 1 No. 6 – $13), STARDEALT (Race 4 No. 7 – $6), DARCEANDERMILL (Race 5 No. 6 – $10), AMAPOLA (Race 6 No. 8 – $8). Originally published as Best bets and value play for Mornington races Monday