Latest news with #DLTR
Business Insider
6 hours ago
- Business
- Business Insider
Dollar Tree (DLTR) Gets a Hold from Gordon Haskett Capital Corporation
Gordon Haskett Capital Corporation analyst Charles Grom maintained a Hold rating on Dollar Tree (DLTR – Research Report) today and set a price target of $90.00. The company's shares closed today at $88.62. Confident Investing Starts Here: Grom covers the Consumer Cyclical sector, focusing on stocks such as Dollar General, Home Depot, and Dollar Tree. According to TipRanks, Grom has an average return of 9.7% and a 58.78% success rate on recommended stocks. In addition to Gordon Haskett Capital Corporation, Dollar Tree also received a Hold from Telsey Advisory's Jason Strominger in a report issued today. However, on the same day, Truist Financial maintained a Buy rating on Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR). The company has a one-year high of $121.92 and a one-year low of $60.49. Currently, Dollar Tree has an average volume of 5.3M. Based on the recent corporate insider activity of 39 insiders, corporate insider sentiment is neutral on the stock. Most recently, in April 2025, Stewart Glendinning, the CFO of DLTR bought 17,000.00 shares for a total of $1,236,660.00.
Yahoo
18 hours ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Why Dollar Tree (DLTR) Stock Is Nosediving
Shares of discount treasure-hunt retailer Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) fell 6.8% in the afternoon session after the company reported mixed first-quarter 2025 results as its full-year revenue guidance slightly missed. On the other hand, Dollar Tree provided optimistic revenue guidance for next quarter, which blew past analysts' expectations. Its full-year EPS guidance also exceeded Wall Street's estimates. Overall, we think this was a decent quarter with some key metrics above expectations. Investors were likely hoping for more, and shares traded down. As a reminder, DLTR has agreed to sell the Family Dollar business to Brigade and Macellum for roughly $1 billion. The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks. Is now the time to buy Dollar Tree? Access our full analysis report here, it's free. Dollar Tree's shares are quite volatile and have had 17 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today's move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business. The biggest move we wrote about over the last year was 9 months ago when the stock dropped 20.4% on the news that the company reported weak second-quarter 2024 earnings. Its revenue and EPS missed analysts' expectations, and it lowered its full-year revenue guidance. The company noted that the unfavorable macro environment was impacting the purchasing behavior of middle- and higher-income customers and this played a role in the decision to revise the financial forecasts. Overall, this was a weaker quarter. Dollar Tree is up 17.8% since the beginning of the year, but at $90.10 per share, it is still trading 25.1% below its 52-week high of $120.30 from June 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Dollar Tree's shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $966.12. Unless you've been living under a rock, it should be obvious by now that generative AI is going to have a huge impact on how large corporations do business. While Nvidia and AMD are trading close to all-time highs, we prefer a lesser-known (but still profitable) semiconductor stock benefiting from the rise of AI. Click here to access our free report on our favorite semiconductor growth story. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Forbes
2 days ago
- Business
- Forbes
Can Dollar Tree Deliver In Its Next Earnings?
BLOOMSBURG, PENNSYLVANIA, UNITED STATES - 2025/06/01: An exterior view of a Dollar Tree store at the ... More Buckhorn Plaza. (Photo by Paul Weaver/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images) Dollar Tree's stock (NASDAQ: DLTR) is set to announce its fiscal first-quarter earnings on Wednesday, June 4, 2025, with analysts estimating earnings of $1.20 per share on $4.53 billion in revenue. This would indicate a 13% year-over-year drop in earnings and a 41% decrease in sales compared to the previous year's figures of $1.38 per share and $7.63 billion in revenue. Historically, DLTR stock has fallen 53% of the time following earnings announcements, with a median one-day decline of 11.1% and a maximum observed drop of 22%. Dollar Tree, traditionally dependent on lower- and middle-income consumers, is now drawing in more affluent shoppers amidst ongoing inflation. Its discretionary products and urban clientele with slightly higher income levels offer stability. Nonetheless, the company is still susceptible to new tariffs, which it seeks to alleviate through supplier negotiations, manufacturing adjustments, and selective price hikes. The current market capitalization of the company stands at $19 billion. Over the past twelve months, revenue reached $18 billion, and it maintained operational profitability with $1.5 billion in operating profits and a net income of $-3.0 billion. Buy or Sell Dollar Tree Stock? For traders focused on events, historical trends may provide an advantage, whether by preparing before earnings or responding to movements after the announcement. Thus, if you are looking for growth with less volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative, having outperformed the S&P 500 and delivered returns exceeding 91% since its launch. See earnings reaction history of all stocks. A few observations regarding one-day (1D) post-earnings returns: Additional statistics for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns following earnings are summarized along with the data in the table below. DLTR 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return A relatively lower-risk approach (though ineffective if the correlation is low) is to comprehend the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings, identify a pair with the strongest correlation, and take the right trade action. For instance, if 1D and 5D show the highest correlation, a trader can place themselves 'long' for the ensuing 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Below is some correlation information drawn from 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D indicates the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and following 5D returns. DLTR Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns Occasionally, peer performance can impact post-earnings stock reactions. In fact, the pricing-in may commence even before the earnings are declared. Here is some historical data regarding the past post-earnings performance of Dollar Tree stock compared to the stock performance of peers that reported earnings shortly before Dollar Tree. For a fair assessment, peer stock returns also represent post-earnings one-day (1D) returns. DLTR Correlation with Peer Earnings Discover more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (a combination of all three, the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), achieving strong returns for investors.
Business Insider
3 days ago
- Business
- Business Insider
DLTR, FIVE, or WMT: Which Retail Stock Is the Best Pick?
Retailers have been under pressure due to the impact of macro uncertainty on consumers' discretionary spending and tariff woes. Nonetheless, Wall Street is bullish on some retail stocks due to their ability to thrive despite short-term challenges. Using TipRanks' Stock Comparison Tool, we placed Dollar Tree (DLTR), Five Below (FIVE), and Walmart (WMT) against each other to find the best retail stock, according to Wall Street analysts. Confident Investing Starts Here: Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Dollar Tree stock has risen 20.4% year-to-date, driven by the discount store chain's efforts to improve its business and the sale of the Family Dollar business that weighed on the company's overall performance in recent years. Investors are also optimistic about Dollar Tree's strategic initiatives, including its multi-price point strategy. The retailer finished Fiscal 2024 with approximately 2,900 3.0 multi-price format stores, and is targeting 5,200 3.0 format stores by the end of 2025. Dollar Tree is scheduled to announce its results for the first quarter of Fiscal 2025 on June 4. Wall Street expects the company to report a 15.4% decline in EPS (earnings per share) to $1.21, while revenue is estimated to fall by more than 40% to $4.54 billion. These estimates reflect the impact of the sale of the Family Dollar business, weakness in consumer spending on discretionary items, and tariff-related pressures. What Is the Target Price for DLTR Stock? Heading into the Q1 FY25 results, Telsey analyst Joseph Feldman increased the price target for Dollar Tree stock to $95 from $82 and reiterated a Hold rating on the stock. The analyst stated that he is maintaining his Q1 2025 and 2025 estimates, thanks to DLTR's increased focus on productivity and profitability due to improving value, convenience, and discovery at its stores. He also expects the retailer to gain from its strategic initiatives, including plans to open about 400 new stores in 2025, expand its multi-price point assortment, and refresh its merchandise. While Feldman highlighted Dollar Tree's strong balance sheet and potential share repurchases, he believes tariff risk remains elevated in H2 2025 and 2026, given that the company directly imports about 40% of its total retail value purchases, mainly from China. Although the company plans to manage and mitigate a large part of tariffs, Feldman believes that overall exposure to imports is high, and the uncertainty related to changes in government policies remains a risk. Wall Street has a Moderate Buy consensus rating on Dollar Tree stock based on six Buys, 11 Holds, and one Sell recommendation. The average DLTR stock price target of $85.29 implies a downside risk of about 5.5% from current levels. Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE) Five Below is a value retailer that targets teens and pre-teens with merchandise that is mostly priced between $1 and $5, with some items priced beyond $5. FIVE stock has risen 11% so far in 2025, driven by a favorable update on Q1 FY25 results. Also, the temporary agreement between the U.S. and China to slash tariffs also improved investor sentiment. The company is scheduled to announce its Q1 FY25 earnings on June 4. In early May, Five Below raised its Q1 FY25 guidance, with net sales expected to come in at about $967 million compared to the prior guidance of $905 million to $925 million, and comparable sales estimated to rise about 6.7% compared to the prior guidance of about flat to 2% increase. Further, Five Below expects Q1 FY25 adjusted EPS in the range of $0.82 to $0.84, up from the prior outlook of $0.50 to $0.61. Meanwhile, Wall Street expects Five Below to report EPS of $0.78, reflecting a 30% year-over-year growth. Revenue is expected to grow 18.5% to $961.25 million. Is Five Below a Good Stock to Invest? Following the Q1 update, Citi analyst Paul Lejuez increased the price target for Five Below stock to $121 from $80 and reaffirmed a Hold rating. The 5-star analyst noted that the company's revised Q1 FY25 comps guidance was well ahead of the previous outlook. Lejuez added that with comparisons easing significantly in Q2 FY25, he sees the possibility of Five Below delivering double-digit comparable sales growth, driven by its efforts to improve its assortment and simplify the pricing strategy. Further, the analyst expects Five Below to maintain its Fiscal 2025 outlook despite tariffs. With six Buys, 13 Holds, and one Sell recommendation, Wall Street has a Hold consensus rating on Five Below stock. The average FIVE stock price target of $98.53 implies about 15.6% upside potential from current levels. FIVE stock has advanced 11% so far in 2025. Walmart (NYSE:WMT) Big-box retailer Walmart delivered better-than-expected earnings for the first quarter of Fiscal 2026, though sales slightly lagged expectations. The company attributed its performance to higher transaction counts and unit volumes, along with robust e-commerce growth. While Walmart is not immune to tariffs, it is considered more resilient compared to its rivals due to its greater exposure to groceries and essentials compared to rivals who sell more discretionary goods. Moreover, the retailer is able to attract customers with its lower prices. Walmart is also strengthening customer engagement with faster deliveries, store remodels, and a wider assortment of brands. Is Walmart Stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell? In reaction to the Q1 FY26 print, Raymond James analyst Bobby Griffin reiterated a Buy rating on Walmart stock with a price target of $105. The 5-star analyst noted that Walmart exceeded Q1 estimates and reaffirmed its FY26 guidance despite heightened macro and tariff-related uncertainty. Griffin believes that Walmart is uniquely positioned to navigate the ongoing challenges, thanks to its diversified sourcing, replenishable assortment, disciplined inventory planning, and a structurally advantaged model across e-commerce and supply chain. He added that Walmart continues to lean into high-margin revenue streams, with advertising, membership, and marketplace all delivering strong growth and expanding contribution to profit. Griffin highlighted that Walmart's e-commerce business turned profitable in the U.S. and globally for the first time, a key milestone that supports long-term EBIT margin expansion. Over the long term, Griffin continues to view Walmart as a well-positioned retailer that can grow its operating income faster than sales, as the profit mix shifts further toward digital, data, and automation-enabled initiatives. Overall, Walmart scores a Strong Buy consensus rating based on 28 Buys and two Holds. The average WMT stock price target of $109.38 implies about 11% upside potential from current levels. WMT stock has risen 9.3% year-to-date. Conclusion Wall Street is highly bullish on Walmart, cautiously optimistic on Dollar Tree, and sidelined on Five Below stock. Currently, analysts see downside risk in Five Below and Dollar Tree stocks, while they expect further upside in WMT stock. Walmart's value proposition, robust e-commerce growth, and huge scale are some of the strengths that support analysts' bullish thesis.
Yahoo
6 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Countdown to Dollar Tree (DLTR) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
Wall Street analysts forecast that Dollar Tree (DLTR) will report quarterly earnings of $1.19 per share in its upcoming release, pointing to a year-over-year decline of 16.8%. It is anticipated that revenues will amount to $4.54 billion, exhibiting a decline of 40.5% compared to the year-ago quarter. Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been adjusted downward by 2.7% to its current level. This demonstrates the covering analysts' collective reassessment of their initial projections during this period. Before a company announces its earnings, it is essential to take into account any changes made to earnings estimates. This is a valuable factor in predicting the potential reactions of investors toward the stock. Empirical research has consistently shown a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and the short-term price performance of a stock. While investors typically use consensus earnings and revenue estimates as a yardstick to evaluate the company's quarterly performance, scrutinizing analysts' projections for some of the company's key metrics can offer a more comprehensive perspective. Bearing this in mind, let's now explore the average estimates of specific Dollar Tree metrics that are commonly monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts. It is projected by analysts that the 'Total net sales' will reach $4.53 billion. The estimate suggests a change of -40.5% year over year. Analysts forecast 'Other revenue' to reach $3.65 million. The estimate indicates a year-over-year change of -44.2%. Analysts expect 'Dollar Tree - Number of stores closed' to come in at 13. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported 16 in the same quarter last year. Analysts' assessment points toward 'Dollar Tree - Ending stores' reaching 8,969. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported 8,520 in the same quarter last year. The collective assessment of analysts points to an estimated 'Dollar Tree - New stores' of 100. The estimate is in contrast to the year-ago figure of 116. Analysts predict that the 'Dollar Tree - Selling Square Footage' will reach 79.46 Msq ft. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported 74.1 Msq ft in the same quarter last year. The combined assessment of analysts suggests that 'Operating income (loss)- Dollar Tree' will likely reach $526.21 million. Compared to the current estimate, the company reported $522.30 million in the same quarter of the previous all Key Company Metrics for Dollar Tree here>>>Dollar Tree shares have witnessed a change of +11.5% in the past month, in contrast to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +6.4% move. With a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), DLTR is expected closely follow the overall market performance in the near term. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>> Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research Sign in to access your portfolio
