01-06-2025
Global Perspective: Overcoming 'crisis of trust' vital as hostility, division deepen
By Izumi Nakamitsu, U.N. Under-Secretary-General
Amid growing concerns worldwide about democracy in crisis, the findings of the 2025 Edelman Trust Barometer survey were released in January during the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland. Celebrating its 25th anniversary this year, the survey -- conducted annually by public relations firm Edelman Inc. in the United States -- measures public trust in governments, corporations, media, and nongovernmental organizations across the world.
The survey's inception dates back to 1999, when large-scale demonstrations against globalization erupted in Seattle during the third World Trade Organization (WTO) ministerial meeting. The protests marked a historic watershed for civil society organizations and NGOs, amplifying their international decision-making. Initially designed to assess trust levels between governments, corporations and NGOs, the first results showed that NGOs were the most trusted globally.
Since then, the world has experienced tectonic shifts: the financial crisis of 2008, the rise of populism from around 2016, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Each of these crises has further shaken global stability.
The deep anger of have-nots
This year's Barometer, subtitled "Trust and the Crisis of Grievance," paints a stark picture: Trust in organizations in general, including governments and media outlets, continues to decline, with grievances especially high among low-income groups. Economic uncertainty, job insecurity and inequality -- exacerbated by globalization, recession, and accelerating rapid technological change -- are fanning resentment and grievances. And the gap between high- and low-income groups is widening regarding their trust in government and other organizations.
One of the report's most shocking findings: An average of 40% of people in the world and 35% in Japan view "hostile activism" as a valid means to drive change. Among adults aged 18-34, support for hostile activism accounts for 53% globally and 43% in Japan. Hostile activism includes online attacks, intentionally spreading disinformation, threats or manifestations of violence, and damaging public or private property. In fact, with rising online hostility in Japan, and events such as the Capitol riots in the U.S. in January 2021, the report warns that hostile activism is not rare anymore. It is becoming a phenomenon that can happen at any time.
Widespread pessimism about the future
The survey reveals that less than 1 in 5 people in many developed countries believe that "the next generation will be better off compared to today." In Japan, only 14% hold this view. The 2023-2024 United Nations Development Programme Human Development Report finds that 7 out of 10 people feel they have little influence on their government's decisions. The sense of hopelessness for the future, paired with distrust in democratic political processes, is fueling vicious cycles of further disengagement in the political system.
A "zero-sum" mindset -- where people assume that gains for the opposing group means losses for themselves -- coupled with misinformation and disinformation abounding on social networking sites further intensifies hostility and division among people. Populist resentment against the perceived economic elites stems from a reality where changes in the economic and industrial structures due to economic globalization benefit only a limited number of rich people, while their negative consequences remain largely unaddressed. Growing inequality and disparity erode social structures such as the family and community, which are key sources of people's sense of belonging.
The current crisis of trust can no longer be framed by the traditional political axis of the right and the left. Instead, solutions must consider the state of the society, the role of politics and policies regarding international cooperation -- especially amid geopolitical paradigm shifts -- and technological innovation that is advancing at a tremendous pace.
Domestic divisions and political polarization are directly interlinked with international cooperation and trust. "International cooperation" isn't limited to humanitarian and developmental assistance from developed to developing countries. It now extends to tackling a wide range of challenges vital to the stability and prosperity of the developed countries: responding to climate change, regulating artificial intelligence, and enhancing cooperation and norm promotion in security.
Failing to address the sources of instability in developing countries could trigger further confusion and large-scale population movements, exacerbating international instability. As such, disengaging from international cooperation is ultimately not beneficial to the national interests of any country in the world today.
The U.N. Sustainable Development Goals motto, "Leave no one behind," was adopted by the General Assembly in 2015, rooted in ethical and moral considerations based on international solidarity. The idea for humanity to prosper together is still an important principle, but now has taken a strategic dimension, as the survey reveals: Responding to popular grievances and restoring trust in political organizations has become critical to preventing large-scale destabilization of our global society.
The UN's unconventional call to action
In his September 2021 report titled "Our Common Agenda," United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres emphasized the need to rebuild trust by renewing the "social contract" -- the agreement between governments and their citizens that underpins legitimacy in governance and is binding for the stakeholders. He urged global leaders to listen to the voices of citizens and work together to envision the future.
The secretary-general's stance was unusual, as the world body normally avoids commenting on the internal affairs of member states in its reports, with the exception of major human rights violations. However, rebuilding trust can be perceived as an issue directly affecting world peace, given the big picture of global destabilization related to a crisis rooted in trust deficits in domestic political institutions fueled by people's grievances.
Unfortunately, there is no quick fix. Governments, businesses, the media, NGOs, and international organizations from all sectors -- including the U.N. itself -- need to commit to and collaborate on concrete efforts to rebuild trust. We must be held accountable when we fail to perform the functions the people expect, and work hard to reform ourselves. Domestic organizations must listen to the voices of citizens, engage in sincere dialogue, and work together to find a breakthrough. Responses such as, "We would like to withhold an answer to your question," as is often heard in political arenas in Japan and elsewhere, should be confined to the past. In an era of great change, rebuilding trust at all levels is the key to a better future.
