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Five supertrends influencing global investment outlook
Five supertrends influencing global investment outlook

Trade Arabia

time20-02-2025

  • Business
  • Trade Arabia

Five supertrends influencing global investment outlook

Bank of Singapore has unveiled its highly anticipated "2025 Supertrends Report," a refreshed outlook building upon the insights of the 2024 edition. This latest report identifies the key investment themes shaping financial markets and global economies in the years ahead. The report was launched at the CIO Summit, held in Dubai, where the bank's leadership and expert panelists explored key investment themes, their implications on global investment, and strategies for success. The 2025 Supertrends Report draws on perspectives from the recently established Global Advisory Council, which was convened in 2024 under the guiding principles that thought leadership is a global effort, there is no monopoly on good ideas, and diversity of perspectives is critical. By integrating the expertise of esteemed council members, this report offers forward-looking insights to help investors navigate an increasingly complex and dynamic world. As the world undergoes rapid and profound shifts — from geopolitical realignments to the accelerating influence of artificial intelligence, the report underscores the importance of strategic foresight in navigating today's evolving investment landscape. Jean Chia, Global Chief Investment Officer at Bank of Singapore, said: "The 2025 Supertrends Report, a collaborative effort of Bank of Singapore's Chief Investment Office with our CIO Global Advisory Council, integrates diverse global perspectives to provide our clients with actionable insights. By anticipating these structural trends, investors can unlock new opportunities and construct resilient portfolios that thrive in an ever-changing world." The 2025 Supertrends Report identifies five key investment themes that will define the financial and economic landscape in the coming years: 1. The Changing World Order This theme explores the increasing fragmentation of the global economy as investors navigate the lingering effects of the pandemic, ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and the escalating US-China rivalry. This divide is expected to deepen under a second Trump presidency, which could introduce tax cuts, steep tariffs, tighter immigration policies, and deregulation — potentially driving inflation higher for the rest of the decade. While these measures may initially boost US economic growth, fewer Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts and higher US Treasury (UST) yields could create headwinds in the longer term. Meanwhile, the rest of the world is likely to face economic strain due to US tariffs, a stronger dollar, and rising UST yields. If the global economy continues to fragment into US- and China-led blocs, disrupted supply chains could further fuel inflationary pressures worldwide. 2. Activating Asset Allocation As traditional 60-40 portfolios become less effective in a high-inflation, high-interest rate environment, investors are expected to shift toward private markets and real assets. Key areas of interest include digital transformation, automation, and sustainability, as these sectors drive long-term value creation. The expansion of digital infrastructure, including data centers, 5G networks, and cybersecurity—will require substantial investment, while the transition to a sustainable economy will depend on scalable solutions in clean energy, energy efficiency, and the circular economy. In this higher-risk environment, companies with strong business models and pricing power are likely to outperform. Additionally, given concerns over debt sustainability and geopolitical risks, investors may consider safe-haven assets such as gold to enhance portfolio resilience. 3. Finding AI #IRL Artificial intelligence is moving beyond conceptual hype to real-world applications, becoming a clear priority for businesses across industries. As companies increasingly channel capital into AI-driven investments, they seek to enhance productivity, customer engagement, and revenue growth. This has led to substantial capital inflows into AI semiconductors, cloud computing, and enterprise software. AI semiconductors are benefiting from significant capital expenditures by hyperscalers, with demand extending beyond off-the-shelf merchant chips to custom solutions, further driving growth across the semiconductor and hardware ecosystem. Real-world AI applications are rapidly expanding, focusing on:  Boosting internal employee productivity  Creating revenue opportunities through customer-facing applications  Enhancing customer experience and engagement Additionally, consumer adoption of AI-powered tools—such as chatbots—is steadily increasing. As mass-market familiarity with AI grows, it sets the stage for sustained and long-term demand, reinforcing AI's integral role in shaping the future of business and technology. 4. Powering Ahead This theme highlights how the rising energy demands of AI and the accelerating transition to clean energy are reshaping the global energy landscape. As AI adoption expands, so too does its power-intensive nature, intensifying the need for sustainable energy solutions. While political shifts — such as a Trump administration — may slow short-term policy momentum, the global commitment to sustainability remains strong, presenting significant long-term investment opportunities.

Kyrsten Sinema's next gig: Working for crypto
Kyrsten Sinema's next gig: Working for crypto

Yahoo

time30-01-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Kyrsten Sinema's next gig: Working for crypto

Former Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.) and Chris LaCivita, President Donald Trump's 2024 co-campaign manager, are joining cryptocurrency firm Coinbase's Global Advisory Council, as the industry continues to look for legitimacy in the new Trump administration. Their moves come after Trump last week set up a working group aimed at recommending federal regulations for the $3.5 trillion cryptocurrency market, a sign that the new administration is looking to build a far rosier relationship with the industry than former President Joe Biden's administration had. Also tapped by the company were former Federal Reserve Bank of New York President Bill Dudley and Luis Alberto Moreno, the former economic development minister of Colombia. 'Coinbase is fortunate to have some of the brightest minds across finance, tech, and politics supporting us through the Global Advisory Council,' Faryar Shirzad, the firm's chief policy officer, said in a statement. 'Our four new members are world-class leaders in their respective fields and we look forward to their contributions as the world enters a new era for crypto.' Biden and his Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler turned the screws on key industry players, including Coinbase, arguing the crypto market was dangerous for investors and rife with fraud. Meanwhile, throughout the 2024 campaign, Trump courted them. Crypto investors and executives spent more than $130 million to promote favored candidates in the 2024 elections. And Crypto firms shelled out millions in donations to the Trump inaugural fund after his victory. 'Americans elected [Trump] to be the country's first crypto president,' LaCivita said on X. 'Proud to be part of this effort to make America a world leader in crypto by joining Coinbase's Global Advisory Council.' While in the Senate, Sinema joined 11 Democrats in support of an effort to undo a Securities and Exchange Commission rule directing companies to label digital assets as liabilities on balance sheets. 'We have a chance to modernize finance for all Americans and lead on global crypto innovation,' Sinema wrote on X. 'Looking forward to advocating for the 52 million Americans who have owned crypto and supporting Coinbase's mission to make personal finance fairer and faster.' Sign in to access your portfolio

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