2 days ago
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Manchild' Is Clawing Toward a Hot 100 #1 Debut
Sabrina Carpenter is no longer the rising pop princess. She's a fully formed femme fatale with diamond fangs, and her latest venom-laced single, 'Manchild,' is biting deep into the Billboard charts and possibly clawing its way to a #1 debut on the Hot 100.
What started as a sleek feminist kiss-off has exploded into a bona fide streaming juggernaut, and as of this moment, Sabrina is in a deadly close race with TikTok heartthrob Alex Warren's 'Ordinary' for the top spot. According to projections, the songs are now within just 10 chart points of each other, an astonishingly tight margin that could tip in Sabrina's favor if her streaming momentum continues through the week.
'Manchild' didn't just whisper its way onto streaming platforms it stomped in, six-inch heels and all. The track debuted at #1 on the Global Spotify Chart on June 6 with a staggering 8.05 million streams worldwide, marking the biggest debut of the year by a female artist.
Let's be very clear: this isn't just a fluke. These numbers obliterate the previous 2025 record set by Chappell Roan's 'The Giver' and cement Sabrina as not just a pop girl but a pop girl.
In the U.S. specifically, 'Manchild' dropped jaws with 3.3 million streams on its first day, giving it a firm grip on the #1 spot on the U.S. Spotify Chart. That's right: Sabrina Carpenter is topping streaming charts in the same week as new releases from Post Malone, Cardi B, and even a surprise drop from The Weeknd. The girl is unfazed, unbothered, and undeniably unstoppable.
Here's the breakdown of 'Manchild''s first three days on Spotify:
Day 1: 8,752,217
Day 2: 4,766,328
Day 3: 4,526,518 (down only 5.03% from the day before)
Total so far? A cool 18,045,063 streams. And she's just getting started.
Sabrina isn't just relying on vibes she's playing this game with ruthless pop star precision. 'Manchild' has been discounted to 69 cents on digital platforms, making it one of the best-selling singles of the week on U.S. iTunes, where it now sits pretty at #1. This is Sabrina's first #1 on iTunes, and with digital sales factored heavily into Billboard's Hot 100 formula, this price drop could be the razor-sharp move that slices Alex Warren's lead.
For those doing the math: digital sales + massive streaming + Spotify dominance + strong radio adds starting this weekend equals a serious threat for a #1 debut.
Let's not ignore the elephant in the studio: 'Manchild' is a banger. It's a breathless, flirtatious slap in the face to immature men wrapped in syrupy vocals and a glossy, hyper-pop beat. It's 'thank u, next' for the Gen Z TikTok generation—but with better shoes and sharper claws. The lyrics? Savage. The delivery? Pornographicly confident.
And if TikTok is any indication (over 350,000 video creations and counting), the girls, gays, and emotionally neglected situationships are all eating it up.
Here's what we know. Alex Warren's 'Ordinary' has been the sleeper hit of the season, riding high on streaming and viral sentimentality. But streaming alone won't be enough to guarantee him the top spot if Sabrina keeps firing on all cylinders.
If 'Manchild' continues to hold its streaming velocity and expands its sales lead through the week and if radio jumps in with last-minute spins it's entirely possible that Sabrina Carpenter could debut at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 next Monday. That would make her the first solo female artist to debut at #1 in 2025 a stat that's almost too poetic for a song this petty and perfect.
The narrative has shifted. Sabrina isn't just the girl next door with a pretty voice she's a chart-dominating pop dominatrix, and 'Manchild' is her scorched-earth campaign against the industry's lingering doubt. Every stream, every sale, every sexy smirk in the song's viral lyric video is evidence: this woman came to conquer.
So buckle up. The Hot 100 is about to get very, very interesting and Sabrina Carpenter might just be sitting at the top of it all.
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