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Newsweek
3 days ago
- Climate
- Newsweek
Potential Tropical Storm Barbara Chances at Forming More Than Double
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Chances for a developing tropical system off the southern Pacific coast of Mexico to become Tropical Storm Barbara have more than doubled in recent days, according to updates from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). As the storm strengthens, it could sap energy from another system to its east, AccuWeather senior meteorologist John Feerick told Newsweek, or the two systems could combine themselves. Why It Matters The rapid increase in the likelihood of storm formation comes during the early weeks of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season, which runs from May 15 to November 30. Forecasters suggested that storms forming in this basin can bring significant rainfall and thunderstorms not only to Mexico but also to the U.S. Southwest, potentially influencing the region's summer monsoon. With the NHC monitoring multiple disturbances and AccuWeather predicting an active season, the prospect of Barbara highlights the importance of preparedness in hurricane-prone areas. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two potential systems in the Eastern Pacific. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two potential systems in the Eastern Pacific. National Hurricane Center What To Know As of Friday morning, experts at the NHC assigned an 80 percent probability that the disturbance will organize into a named storm within the next week, up from just 30 percent the day prior. If it forms, Barbara would become the second named system of the 2025 Eastern Pacific hurricane season, following Tropical Storm Alvin. The system, identified as a broad area of low pressure, formed west of another system also being tracked for potential tropical development by the NHC. The western system's development has outpaced the one closer to Mexico. Continued development is likely, the NHC said, adding that a tropical depression will likely form over the weekend or early next week as the system moves west-northwestward. As of the latest NHC update, the system closer to Mexico also has a high chance of development in the next week at 70 percent. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season began earlier than the Atlantic and Central Pacific seasons. The basin historically sees its first storm around June 10, but early formations are not unusual, as AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva told Newsweek. AccuWeather projected 14 to 18 tropical storms and seven to 10 hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific for 2025, while official National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecasts called for 12 to 18 storms, with five to 10 becoming hurricanes and two to five reaching major hurricane status. As of the June 6 NHC update, there are no named cyclones active in the basin, though continued monitoring is underway. What People Are Saying Although two tropical storms before June 10 is not unusual, Feerick told Newsweek: "It certainly would be climatologically pretty early to have three named storms by the middle of June." NHC in a forecast about the system closer to Mexico: "Showers and thunderstorms have increased a little on the eastern side of a broad trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a short-lived tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves generally west-northwestward just off the coast of Mexico. Interests in southern and southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system." What Happens Next If either disturbance reaches tropical storm strength, it will be named Barbara. The NHC will continue to issue situational updates.
Newsweek
4 days ago
- Climate
- Newsweek
Map Shows Timeline of Two New Tropical Storms
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. A new forecast from AccuWeather outlines the timeline of the development for two potential tropical storms in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. The storms could form within days of each other, marking the second and third tropical storms of the season, an unusual occurrence if it happens, considering that would mark three tropical storms only a month into the hurricane season. However, AccuWeather senior meteorologist John Feerick told Newsweek that the two budding systems could also combine into one large system, although the more likely scenario is that one steals energy from the other, causing it to dissolve before it becomes a named storm. Why It Matters The Eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Central Pacific and Atlantic hurricane seasons, which started on June 1. Each hurricane season runs through November 30. Tropical Storm Alvin kicked off the Eastern Pacific hurricane season late last month when it formed off the coast of Mexico and brought heavy rain across the U.S. Southwest. Alvin formed a little earlier than is normal for the season, which typically sees its first storm around June 10. What to Know As of Thursday afternoon, two separate storm systems are developing south of Mexico. Neither of the systems is organized, so Feerick said it's "not out of the question" that they could combine into one system. A forecast from AccuWeather shows the potential timeline for development of two systems in the Eastern Pacific. A forecast from AccuWeather shows the potential timeline for development of two systems in the Eastern Pacific. AccuWeather However, forecast models anticipate them remaining separate. If they both end up strengthening into a tropical storm, AccuWeather anticipates the western system would form sooner, between June 6 and June 8. The eastern system could form between June 12 and June 14. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) also is tracking the systems. It puts the eastern system at a higher chance of development, with there being an 80 percent chance it will form within the next seven days. Meanwhile, the NHC says the western system has a 30 percent chance of development in the next seven days. AccuWeather meteorologists are anticipating 14 to 18 tropical storms and seven to 10 hurricanes for the Eastern Pacific this season. An average season produces 15 tropical storms and four hurricanes, according to AccuWeather. Meanwhile, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting a below-normal hurricane season for the Eastern Pacific with 12 to 18 named storms. Of those, five to 10 will likely become hurricanes, and two to five could develop into major hurricanes. AccuWeather also is tracking a potential system in the Caribbean, which is part of the Atlantic hurricane season. If that system forms, it would likely do so between June 12 and 16. What People Are Saying NHC in a tropical weather outlook: "Two areas of low pressure are forecast to form from a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that are currently located several hundred miles south of southern Mexico. One low is expected to form on the east side of an elongated trough during the next day or so a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves generally west-northwestward." Feerick told Newsweek: "It certainly would be climatologically pretty early to have three named storms by the middle of June." What Happens Next The NHC will likely issue more updates as the storms become more organized. People in high-risk areas of impact are urged to have a plan in place to prepare for the hurricane season.
Yahoo
16-04-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Easter weekend warmup coming to the Northeast
There's some good news for warm-weather fans in the Northeast, and it's coming just in time for the Easter holiday weekend, when travel and outdoor plans ramp up, AccuWeather meteorologists say. A southward dip in the jet stream, which has frequently visited the region in recent weeks, will pull back just enough to allow warmer air to stream in starting late this week and lasting into Easter Sunday. "Saturday could potentially be the warmest day of the spring so far over much of the I-95 corridor in the mid-Atlantic and New England," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist John Feerick said. There were a couple of days in late March when temperatures spiked to the levels forecast for this coming Saturday in the mid-Atlantic. Temperatures climbed well into the 70s to the mid-80s. Under the right conditions with plenty of sunshine and no rain, temperatures could match or exceed those levels. In Boston and southeastern New England, Saturday is looking to be the warmest day of the year so far, Feerick added. Boston peaked at 69 degrees--once around mid-March and again during the first week of April. Temperatures are forecast to climb well into the 70s. A few spots may even approach 80 in the Interstate 95 sector of southeastern New the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ The pattern this weekend will offer plenty of opportunities to get outdoors and perhaps take in an Easter egg hunt, some fishing or a walk or jog in the park. Large family gatherings may be able to sprawl outside instead of being cramped in small rooms, like much of the winter season. As is often the case in spring across the Northeast, a weather battle zone will linger nearby much of the weekend. Most of the time, a front will stall from the eastern Great Lakes to the St. Lawrence Valley with clouds, showers and even a few thunderstorms. Still, even in this wet zone, there will be occasional breaks long enough to get out and enjoy some fresh air for a couple of hours. From Sunday to Monday, this front is forecast to begin moving to the southeast with more general showers and thunderstorms. On Sunday afternoon, high temperatures over the northern and western tier of the Northeast will be trimmed back to the upper 40s to the mid-50s. Some cooler air will also sneak in from the northeast in eastern New England, with temperatures trending back into the 60s. A wedge of warm air is likely to linger the longest in the lower part of the mid-Atlantic, where highs in the 70s to the lower 80s are forecast on Easter Sunday before a cooldown arrives on Monday. Even in the cooler air next week, a return of the painfully cold conditions combined with gusty winds is not in the offing for most areas. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
11-02-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Mixed weather news: Cold front and rain coming to Florida. Will they affect Daytona 500?
Now that the Super Bowl is behind us, attention in Florida is turning to the Daytona 500 and the anticipated influx of spring break enthusiasts wanting relief from winter storms farther north. Ever since the freezing temperatures and record snowfall in January, Florida seems to have skipped spring and jumped straight into summer. ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location That continues this week with above-normal temperatures but a welcome break is coming next week with the arrival of a cold front. Here's the forecast. The Daytona 500 takes place at 2:30 p.m. Sunday, Feb. 16 at the Daytona Beach International Speedway. As of Tuesday, Feb. 11, the forecast for Daytona Beach calls for partly sunny skies with a 50% chance for showers. High near 82 with winds out of the west-southwest at 15 to 20 mph, gusting up to 30 mph, according to the National Weather Service, Melbourne. AccuWeather's forecast is similar, calling for temperatures in the upper 70s to near 80 Sunday afternoon for the race and lows in the 50s if you hang around or the race lasts well into the night. A cold front is expected to move across the area on Sunday, which increases the chance of rain on race day. After the front moves through, much cooler weather is expected into early next week, with lows in the mid-40s to low 50s north of Interstate 4 and the low 50s to low 60s to the south Monday morning, according to the National Weather Service. Highs in the mid-60s to mid-70s are forecast on Monday. The cooler temps Monday won't help race fans, unless the race is delayed due to rain. "There is expected to be a cold front approaching from the west, and it is possible that some rain and perhaps even a thunderstorm could move through the area and cause a delay and even a postponement can't be totally ruled out at this time," said John Feerick, AccuWeather senior meteorologist, in an email Tuesday morning. "Should a thunderstorm move through Sunday afternoon, there is the potential for strong wind gusts and flooding downpours. There is also the possibility that any rain holds off until after the race is over should the timing of the front be a bit slower." You don't have to look back too far to find the last time the Daytona 500 was delayed due to weather. In 2024, the race was rescheduled for the following Monday as a storm system moved over the state. In 2021, the race was delayed by five hours before finishing shortly after midnight on Monday. Before 2024, there have been two times the Daytona 500 was postponed because of rain. The 2020 Daytona 500 began on Sunday but was postponed shortly after because of rain. It resumed and finished Monday evening. In 2012, the race took three days, starting Sunday, getting postponed until Monday night and finally finishing after midnight Tuesday. Expect the foggy conditions across much of the state to continue, along with above-normal high temperatures Tuesday, according to the Florida Division of Emergency Services. Low temperatures will return to the 60s and low 70s across the state overnight. By Monday, temperatures will drop more than 20 degrees in some cities. NOAA predicted low temps ranging from 37 in the Panhandle to 65 in South Florida on Monday, Feb. 17. In comparison, low temps for Tallahassee and West Palm Beach on Tuesday, Feb. 11 were predicted to be 62 and 72, respectively. Eastern Panhandle: A stronger cold front is expected to move into the eastern Panhandle late Saturday into Sunday. Pensacola temps: Saturday: High 74. Low 62. Sunday: High 57. Low 39 President's Day: High 57. Central Panhandle: Severe weather and heavy rain possible Saturday, followed by cooler, drier weather by Monday. Tallahassee temps: Saturday: High 77. Low 65 Sunday: High 73. Low 38 President's Day: High 60 Northeast Florida: High rain chances return Sunday as another cold front pushes through the area. Expect much cooler temperatures Monday. Jacksonville temps: Saturday: High 81. Low 66 Sunday: High 79. Low 43 President's Day: High 60 East, Central Florida: Rain chances forecast to increase Sunday as cold front arrives, followed by much cooler weather. Melbourne temps: Saturday: High 81. Low 68 Sunday: High 86. Low 56 President's Day: High 70 South Florida: Increasing chances for shower Sunday. Highs expected to still be in the 80s, with heat indices around 90. Low will be in the 60s to near 70 into early next week. West Palm Beach temps: Saturday: High 78. Low 74 Sunday: High 82. Low 66 President's Day: High 73 Southwest Florida, West Coast: Showers and isolated thunderstorms moving across west central and southwest Florida Sunday, followed by drier cooler air. Sarasota temps: Saturday: High 79. Low 70 Sunday: High 76. Low 56 President's Day: High 67 We will continue to update our weather coverage as conditions warrant. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. Contributor, Dan Rorabaugh, Ken Willis, USA Today Network-Florida This article originally appeared on The Daytona Beach News-Journal: Florida weather forecast: Cold front coming, Daytona 500 could see rain
